NRL Punting Thread
- Thread starter BuggedOut
- Start date
Game 22 Results :-
Marika Koroibete To Score A Try : 2 units @ 1.90 = +1.8
Over 10.5 Points Melbourne 2nd Half : 2 units @ 2.00 = -2
Over 42.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.10 = -2
Warriors / Melbourne Halftime / Fulltime : 1 unit @ 8.05 = -1
Game 22 Total = -3.2 units
Misread the pace and intensity of this game. Thought Warriors would fade in the 2nd half but they are getting better (and fitter)
Game 23 Results :-
Under 41.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.80 = +2.4
Dragons +6.5 Match Handicap : 2 units @ 1.87 = +1.74
Dragons Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 11.00 = +5
Halftime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 11.00 = -0.5
Game 23 Total = +8.64 units
Got my bets on early because I saw the bad weather coming, but then Benji Marshall pulled out late and the market moved. Turned out a blessing in disguise as he is no wet-weather player anyway
Marika Koroibete To Score A Try : 2 units @ 1.90 = +1.8
Over 10.5 Points Melbourne 2nd Half : 2 units @ 2.00 = -2
Over 42.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.10 = -2
Warriors / Melbourne Halftime / Fulltime : 1 unit @ 8.05 = -1
Game 22 Total = -3.2 units
Misread the pace and intensity of this game. Thought Warriors would fade in the 2nd half but they are getting better (and fitter)
Game 23 Results :-
Under 41.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.80 = +2.4
Dragons +6.5 Match Handicap : 2 units @ 1.87 = +1.74
Dragons Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 11.00 = +5
Halftime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 11.00 = -0.5
Game 23 Total = +8.64 units
Got my bets on early because I saw the bad weather coming, but then Benji Marshall pulled out late and the market moved. Turned out a blessing in disguise as he is no wet-weather player anyway
BuggedOut said:
Ya sportsbet sucks today
Under 34
win Match @2
Sharks Penalty goal @6
Manly " "
Still worth laying?
Might have to start looking at others (Or you moved the markets too much lol)
EDIT
Just looked at tatts and they are even worse!)TeaPot&ChopSticks
New Member
Chickened out on betting last week - however I have to learn when to bet on the upset because if I was forced to put money on any games last week I would have gone with the dragons and the panthers. Started to bet seriously this year and still learning how to do things. Will leave out to Round 4 Bugged Out and if not comfortable there is always next week. I know unit betting is the way to go which I have done with soccer but with NRL and I bet the bank and it has paid nicely. However I think all the easy games are gone and it will be back to unit betting in the future of NRL Rounds this year. Did miss the Warriors games they gotta be the Wooden Spoons this year?
TP&CS
TP&CS
Game 24 Results :-
Under 34.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.90 = +2.7
Manly Win Match : 2 units @ 2.05 = +2.1
Sharks Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00 = -1
Manly Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00 = -1
Game 24 Total = +2.8 units
Bit of luck tonite never goes astray. That extra half point on the unders was definately appreciated!
Under 34.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.90 = +2.7
Manly Win Match : 2 units @ 2.05 = +2.1
Sharks Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00 = -1
Manly Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00 = -1
Game 24 Total = +2.8 units
Bit of luck tonite never goes astray. That extra half point on the unders was definately appreciated!
brisbanecoin said:BuggedOut said:
Ya sportsbet sucks today
Under 34
win Match @2
Sharks Penalty goal @6
Manly " "
Still worth laying?
Might have to start looking at others (Or you moved the markets too much lol)
EDIT
Bah, that Half point killed my profit. a well at least it was a push!
BuggedOut said:Game 24 Results :-
Under 34.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.90 = +2.7
Manly Win Match : 2 units @ 2.05 = +2.1
Sharks Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00 = -1
Manly Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00 = -1
Game 24 Total = +2.8 units
Bit of luck tonite never goes astray. That extra half point on the unders was definately appreciated!
Sportbet had the bet 'under 33.5 match points' .....so closeee...
NRL Round 3 Summary :-
Cowboys vs Roosters = +8.375
Bulldogs vs Parramatta = +3.53
Newcastle vs Canberra = +5.58
Penrith vs Brisbane = -2.04
Titans vs Tigers = -7.5
Warriors vs Melbourne = -3.2
Souths vs Dragons = +8.64
Manly vs Sharks = +2.8
NRL Round 3 Total = +16.185 units
Total Units Bet = 53.5
Return On Investment (ROI) = +30.2%
Bets Won / Placed = 15/35
Strike Rate (SR) = 42.8%
Notes from Round 3 :-
1. After 3 rounds I have not yet had a profitable Titans game. This suggests that I am not reading this team well and/or they are inconsistent/unpredictable. I need to take a much closer look at this teams results and discover what I am missing.
2. My 4 best games I staked 6 or 6.5 units each, while my worst 4 games I staked 7 or 7.5 units. This suggests I may be overstaking and/or getting overconfident. The fact my formline shows 3 wins -> 3 Losses -> 2 Wins is "streaky" and also reinforces this could be an issue.
Cowboys vs Roosters = +8.375
Bulldogs vs Parramatta = +3.53
Newcastle vs Canberra = +5.58
Penrith vs Brisbane = -2.04
Titans vs Tigers = -7.5
Warriors vs Melbourne = -3.2
Souths vs Dragons = +8.64
Manly vs Sharks = +2.8
NRL Round 3 Total = +16.185 units
Total Units Bet = 53.5
Return On Investment (ROI) = +30.2%
Bets Won / Placed = 15/35
Strike Rate (SR) = 42.8%
Notes from Round 3 :-
1. After 3 rounds I have not yet had a profitable Titans game. This suggests that I am not reading this team well and/or they are inconsistent/unpredictable. I need to take a much closer look at this teams results and discover what I am missing.
2. My 4 best games I staked 6 or 6.5 units each, while my worst 4 games I staked 7 or 7.5 units. This suggests I may be overstaking and/or getting overconfident. The fact my formline shows 3 wins -> 3 Losses -> 2 Wins is "streaky" and also reinforces this could be an issue.
BuggedOut said:
For sure, although I have the feeling the betting came in to heavy and the market moved as I checked Sportsbet, tatts, William Hill and Ladbrokes. If you have some others that are good feel free to PM a Referral link and I will look into signing up!
Keep up the good work!
Game 25 Results :-
Bulldogs -1.5 Handicap 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.80 = +1.6
Under 37.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 1.90 = -2
Bulldogs -14.5 Match Handicap : 1 unit @ 4.00 = +3
Penalty Goal 1st Score Type : 1 unit @ 5.50 = -1
Curtis Rona 1st Tryscorer : 1 unit @ 8.40 = -1
Game 25 Total = +0.6 units
Wow. Souths just not the same team without Sam Burgess. Should have backed Rona like I did in round 1 - he got the 1st try in the 2nd half.
Bulldogs -1.5 Handicap 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.80 = +1.6
Under 37.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 1.90 = -2
Bulldogs -14.5 Match Handicap : 1 unit @ 4.00 = +3
Penalty Goal 1st Score Type : 1 unit @ 5.50 = -1
Curtis Rona 1st Tryscorer : 1 unit @ 8.40 = -1
Game 25 Total = +0.6 units
Wow. Souths just not the same team without Sam Burgess. Should have backed Rona like I did in round 1 - he got the 1st try in the 2nd half.
Game 26 - Brisbane vs Cowboys
Brisbane Win 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.83
Over 38.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.05
Matt Gillett To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 3.90
Alex Glenn To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 4.75
Andrew McCullough To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 6.50
Sam Thiaday To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 8.00
Brisbane Penalty 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 9.00
Brisbane / Cowboys Halftime / Fulltime Double : 0.5 unit @ 10.00
Brisbane Win 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.83
Over 38.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.05
Matt Gillett To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 3.90
Alex Glenn To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 4.75
Andrew McCullough To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 6.50
Sam Thiaday To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 8.00
Brisbane Penalty 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 9.00
Brisbane / Cowboys Halftime / Fulltime Double : 0.5 unit @ 10.00
Game 26 Results :-
Brisbane Win 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.83 = +1.66
Over 38.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.05 = +2.1
Matt Gillett To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 3.90 = -0.5
Alex Glenn To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 4.75 = -0.5
Andrew McCullough To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 6.50 = -0.5
Sam Thiaday To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 8.00 = -0.5
Brisbane Penalty 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 9.00 = +4
Brisbane / Cowboys Halftime / Fulltime Double : 0.5 unit @ 10.00 = -0.5
Game 26 Total = +5.26 units
What an absolutely cracking game! Should have got a try for Gillett which was wrongly overturned by the bunker. Almost got the HT/FT double too. No complaints though 'cos I had some great in-play trade to top it off.
Brisbane Win 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.83 = +1.66
Over 38.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.05 = +2.1
Matt Gillett To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 3.90 = -0.5
Alex Glenn To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 4.75 = -0.5
Andrew McCullough To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 6.50 = -0.5
Sam Thiaday To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 8.00 = -0.5
Brisbane Penalty 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 9.00 = +4
Brisbane / Cowboys Halftime / Fulltime Double : 0.5 unit @ 10.00 = -0.5
Game 26 Total = +5.26 units
What an absolutely cracking game! Should have got a try for Gillett which was wrongly overturned by the bunker. Almost got the HT/FT double too. No complaints though 'cos I had some great in-play trade to top it off.