Which company to look into for Lithium?

kramer said:
all just my 2c

Nice write up kramer, thanks for taking the time.

Do you have an opinion on CUL or BYR ?

I'm at square 1 with these two, although been sitting on them for a while.
 
kramer said:
southerncross my thoughts.

ADV- have spod but the resource size is the questionable thing. i still have a smallish position in them. it may run. good grades of spod but not as thick as i would like on the drilling so far. still early days. i may buy back in to increase exposure.
DKO - too small - i have no interest there. they may be able to expand the resource base but the tenement is limited in size and the small resource is low grade. DKO might JV with PLS for mining.
PIO - have a considerable investment there, expect at least a doubling from here near term and they are diversified which i quite like. got on at 2.2, expect easily over 10c near term.
BGS - large resource. largest current lithium stock position is in this one. late to the party got in at 11c, averaged up to 13.5c. happy to hold here. should have started researching a year ago.
VMC - nearology to dko / pls. i have a fair chunk here on the chance they rerate but i will look to exit that after disappointing results with DKO. i expect it can still jump with it's tiny market cap and lots of tenements to play with but for now it's going nowhere and there's a bot messing around everytime i try to sell. will have a crack on the open on monday. naturally they will announce big news when i sell out.
GXY - sold off fully there after a run from 30 - 48c. they will likely do alright but the hardrock resource is a while away.
EMH - have a minimal position here. great resource which i believe they can double in size but the low grade is the problem.

few options you might consider for diversification:
BAR - cobalt resource and a sexy high quality one at that. if your looking to diversify there it's a solid play..
CDV - expecting increase in size of their gold resource, i'm overweight on this one also. 3 drills on site, news should come thick and fast of a massive pit size resource. i might sell heads and buy options. dont expire until 2019 and are in the money.
FND - lowest AISC copper miner, mining in indonesia for years and upscaling their plant which should come online june to august. not exciting but making money in a bear market and with a huge hedge book worth millions at current copper prices.


next week for my punts:
PSC - resource the size of BGS, spodumene and also amblygonite (8-10% grade) which is higher grade than spodumene (4-8% grade) and sells for a premium for glass / ceramics industry. Zimbabwe is not as bad as people say and is the 5th highest exporter of lithium currently. Should easily double / triple the share price near term IMO and they have 5 gold mines which are being refurbished for low cost production. historical mines being brought online again with new techniques.
exploration target is (15-18 million tons at 3 - 5% Li2O.) management is solid and cashed up. they also have a option announced recently for a 12km long gold tenement which they may exercise. i'm holding 660,000 shares there. will look to increase up to 2m worth if i can get on it now before a run back up in price. expecting 2 bags from here very near term to catch up to bgs market cap. this will of course increase as bgs creeps up on drilling announcements and PSC drilling.

AZS - best silver play on the asx i believe. They are drilling at the moment and are also hitting gold. i'm holding but looking to increase below $0.42. jumps in the price of silver will see it run as well as increasing the resource which i believe they will do.

cxx - ran out of money to play on this one, can't buy everything! It's trending upwards. CXX have a jorc'd niobium resource which is required in steel making. there are very few niobium producers worldwide and their plan to production are solid. they would be a takeover target for deep pockets for sure.

overall i will look to lower exposure to shares with economic headwinds being what they are. Spodumene resources will be the only ones viable in a downturn scenario so not too fussed expecially the ones diversified with gold.
gold stocks were sold down in the GFC but they bounced back just as fast and the price of gold didn't drop so it was just following the herd panicking not based on the fundamental commodity value.

all just my 2c

Again loving your work M8, I am intrigued by ADV, the latest Ann had a couple of nice hotspots 2km apart and they do have a lot of land, and some nice graphite deposits as well.

DKO, I bailed on before the drop, I still think they may come back as the Lynas find to the SW is still to be properly drilled and heads towards the monster at PLS next door and they also have the new pegmatite finds in the same area, Still though as you say it will never be a huge resource overall, but may in the future be a take over or toll agreement happen.

VMC I have looked at, nearology might see them climb but I don't really rate them at this stage compared to the neighbours. Mngt seem a bit wishy washy as well, Stannum next door (MCT) I think is along the same type as DKO, IE to small and the deposit is also running outside of VMC's area N to S.

BGS, Going to blow some sock's off I think, I have held for years so am a tad biased, got in at .005 pre consol, I think they will create a stir with the neighbours in Mali once results come in on the lithium. OKU being one of them , I'd like your thoughts on them Kramer they are neighbours at Bougouni and also the B word deposit as well.

PIO, Liking them more all the time. A well planned strategic portfolio, I think once the market gets a grasp of what they have 20c will be cheap.

PSC, Soooo Much to like here, and if it were anywhere else on earth I would already be in..... But I can't help feeling it is a tad like a gorgeous slut at a party giving me the eye who you just want to smash the back out of, But, you just know you will wake up with crabs, herpes or something worse though, even with protection. I am so tempted, and the deposit seems to be excellent grade and size and the price at the moment is crazy cheap and the possible rewards are huge. Management are local and seemingly know their way around but the Sov risk is massive in any language. I've been reading up all day and still have my doubts but , High Risk, High Rewards right ? I might be in with some play money this week.

Also looking at QUR, TMX, TKL. would like your thoughts.

Edited to Add: CXO as well, they have tenements in the N.T that have a similar mineralogy to that found at Greenbushes in WA, now one of the largest suppliers of chem grade Li in the world.
I know the area well from my youth. The current lease covers the old Mt Finnis tin/tantalum mine and has a near identical mineral signature to that of greenbushes, along with historic lithium being recorded in the same area. The historic Li found was quite minimal but they were not looking for it at the time and it was only by chance that it was recorded at all. Also has big boy neighbours looking for the same.
 
scrooged said:
kramer said:
all just my 2c

Nice write up kramer, thanks for taking the time.

Do you have an opinion on CUL or BYR ?

I'm at square 1 with these two, although been sitting on them for a while.

scrooged, i'm in CUL - 500,000@ 0.004. just waiting on applications and it will run. Finland might be interesting. worth a punt for a couple grand. still a low market cap. we're all sitting on this one heh.

BYR is cheap and comparable to CDV. i will get onto the oppies for that one. large size resource. Hold tight mate.

few other punts i have WKT, MTH, CFE, ARM. ARM is interesting as it has a market cap worth half it's holding in 3 small caps + cash.
 
Found this on Hotcopper, about having battery that recharges at off peak rates to be used for home, car or to sell back (not sure of the $ gain there), mentioned in the above video. Can't see it working after a high uptake, utilities will just reduce the spread between peak and off peak rates. Batteries still beneficial if used for solar storage.
http://www.dezeen.com/2016/05/12/vehicle-to-grid-v2g-trial-nissan-battery-system-for-the-home/
Cheers to everyone posting recommendations. Even though I'm not trading and just keeping what I have, it helps to separate the wheat from the chaff and gives everyone something to research and watch for future purchases.
 
Caput Lupinum said:
Lithium is a bubble waiting to pop. The amount of other base metal and gold explorers adding lithium to their tool kit is growing by the day. There's no immediate increase in demand to warrant such a frenzy and the big suppliers such as Chengdu and Albemarle could easily ramp up supply if needed

I was just having a laugh when i saw this comment...

I agree on the quantity of other base metals explorers adding to their tool kit.

But i think you're other comment regarding supply/demand fundamentals is well off the mark... somewhere between here in Pluto in fact. Just about every car manufacturer is now talking EV's (or will be shortly)... add on Bikes, Buses, Trucks, anything with a motor really... will become electric powered within 15-20 years. AND! Nothing at the present time can beat lithium on a cost curve basis, which is commercially available, for many years to come IMO.

Example! Just the tip of the ice-burg because we're on a precious metals forum;

Under Ground Mining, requires diesel driving equipment to undertake deep (often vein chasing) mining methods. Well change that diesel fleet over to a electric powered fleet and what do we get?

- Less heat generated from the mining fleet ~half the heat.
- Minimal diesel = minimal toxic fumes (health benefits and save heaps of diesel/fleet maintenance)
- Minimal heat/toxic fumes = huge reductions in the ventilation systems twisting and turning down the deep mine (cost benefits)
- Reductions in ventilation systems = reductions in shaft area (waste ore) which were required to support the venting system (cost benefits)
- Reductions in shaft area = reduced time in travelling the network to the ore-face and more ore-face time (cost benefits)

I could go on and detail most sectors but people need to DYOR to draw conclusions about how EV's are going to change this world and become the most disruptive technology since PC's or the Mobile were born. Lithium will play a huge role in this vision until such time as something can beat it on the cost curve, which is commercially available. Until that time... don't talk to me about a bubble :lol:

Cheers,
BB
 
There will be a broader market and economic downturn over the next few years that will impact most industrial metals including lithium. Get back to me after the downturn I'll have interest in lithium
 
Caput Lupinum said:
There will be a broader market and economic downturn over the next few years that will impact most industrial metals including lithium. Get back to me after the downturn I'll have interest in lithium

I agree that there will be a world-wide downturn (deflationary wave) as the debt pile collapses in a sh*t heap... and people wonder WTF happened.

Will that stop people purchasing and driving automobiles, bikes, trucks, buses, boats, lawnmowers, forklifts, tractor's, trains... using power tools, playing with battery toys, wind power generation, using mobiles... what about at-home energy storage systems. All of which are cheaper to run AND maintain when compared to their current competitors... its a easy sales gig for a recession really;

- EV 1% of the moving parts (next to no maintenance/servicing costs)
- 90% cheaper to run (forget about petrol price swings)
- EV cost v Combustion cost (once this aligns... it will be the final straw)

A downturn will have an impact I agree ... but it will not change the current trajectory enough to seriously influence the future of EV's/Storage system.

After the downturn ill send you a pic of my electric Porsche :D
 
Lithium mining/exploration stocks are a bubble in the making. They are a con.
All the rationalisation about lithium itself is just a tool to inflate the price of stocks flying the lithium flag.
None of you who into these stocks will hang around for production and a share of the profits coz you suspect it isnt going to happen.
 
bellinvest said:
Will that stop people purchasing and driving automobiles, bikes, trucks, buses, boats, lawnmowers, forklifts, tractor's, trains... using power tools, playing with battery toys, wind power generation, using mobiles... what about at-home energy storage systems. All of which are cheaper to run AND maintain when compared to their current competitors... its a easy sales gig for a recession really;

Well yes hence why it's called a downturn. Consumers, companies and governments will reduce spending which will mean there is less demand for lithium, iron ore, nickel, zinc and copper all of which go into making the items you mentioned.

I agree that lithium will play an increasingly important role in technology in the future. I've never denied this. What I don't agree on is the straight line lithium mining investors believe it will take to get there without taking into account the broader economic headwinds going into the future. Lithium as it stands today, not 5 years into the future but today is in a bubble hyped up by Telsa pumpers and the like. It'll crash before it advances
 
finicky said:
Lithium mining/exploration stocks are a bubble in the making. They are a con.
All the rationalisation about lithium itself is just a tool to inflate the price of stocks flying the lithium flag.
None of you who into these stocks will hang around for production and a share of the profits coz you suspect it isnt going to happen.

For a bubbles to emerge here you need lithium supply to outstrip lithium demand by a large factor... together with other underlying factors, then everyone comes back down to reality.

There is simply not enough supply of lithium for the immediate foreseeable future to meet the incredible demand increase.

If you can tell me about another mineral which is going to commercially available and cheaper on the cost-curve when compared to lithium for all those millions upon millions of EV batteries, I would like to hear about it? Do you really think combustion engine vehicles are going to continue to dominate the market whilst EV's are taking off? hardly... welcome to the future. The real underlying question is... what's after lithium. What will eventually come along and be cheaper/more efficient etc. on the cost-curve to complete? Then you have Lithium-Air batteries which are being tested in labs... still years away.

Are you saying PLS/GXY/NMT/AJM aren't going to start production? PFS all nearing completion... and puff... they all just throw them away... bin their off-take contracts'... like EV's was some kind of mirage?

Cheers,
B
 
Caput Lupinum said:
bellinvest said:
Will that stop people purchasing and driving automobiles, bikes, trucks, buses, boats, lawnmowers, forklifts, tractor's, trains... using power tools, playing with battery toys, wind power generation, using mobiles... what about at-home energy storage systems. All of which are cheaper to run AND maintain when compared to their current competitors... its a easy sales gig for a recession really;

Well yes hence why it's called a downturn. Consumers, companies and governments will reduce spending which will mean there is less demand for lithium, iron ore, nickel, zinc and copper all of which go into making the items you mentioned.

I agree that lithium will play an increasingly important role in technology in the future. I've never denied this. What I don't agree on is the straight line lithium mining investors believe it will take to get there without taking into account the broader economic headwinds going into the future. Lithium as it stands today, not 5 years into the future but today is in a bubble hyped up by Telsa pumpers and the like. It'll crash before it advances

I agree on the belt tightening during a downturn/recession... totally agree. What I see being different is if I went to a young family and said 'hey! I have a new car here... it's about $30K (e.g. only)... it will cost you $10/week to operate (charging stations) and you wont need to service it. I think that is a compelling opportunity no matter what the economy is doing.

Every market moves up/down/up/down so I'm not concerned with some corrections along the way, this is a healthy free-market activity.

Cheers,
B
 
quote=bellinvest

There is simply not enough supply of lithium for the immediate foreseeable future to meet the incredible demand increase.

At this time, just a promulgated theory that will make a few people rich is what i will believe. The motive behind the 'investing' fad is obvious. The bubble is in the hype, the exaggeration, the excitement being generated.

Are you saying PLS/GXY/NMT/AJM aren't going to start production? PFS all nearing completion... and puff... they all just throw them away... bin their off-take contracts'...

I mean, that says it all - not in PFS (pre-feasibilty study), that would be laughable enough, but "PFS all nearing completion". I have been in junior companies for years, waiting through the torturous processes as they go through great drill campaigns, pre feasibility study, definitive feasibilty study, bank loans, share raisings, development, MINING, more cap raisings (due to some things they didn't foresee, like they havent squeezed every dollar possible out of the scam yet) and finally - after the last failed cap raise - administration.


like EV's was some kind of mirage?

Electric vehicles are being conflated with lithium, which in turn is being thrown in with gypping greasy little australian listed resource explorers.
 
finicky said:
quote=bellinvest

There is simply not enough supply of lithium for the immediate foreseeable future to meet the incredible demand increase.

At this time, just a promulgated theory that will make a few people rich is what i will believe. The motive behind the 'investing' fad is obvious. The bubble is in the hype, the exaggeration, the excitement being generated.

Are you saying PLS/GXY/NMT/AJM aren't going to start production? PFS all nearing completion... and puff... they all just throw them away... bin their off-take contracts'...

I mean, that says it all - not in PFS (pre-feasibilty study), that would be laughable enough, but "PFS all nearing completion". I have been in junior companies for years, waiting through the torturous processes as they go through great drill campaigns, pre feasibility study, definitive feasibilty study, bank loans, share raisings, development, MINING, more cap raisings (due to some things they didn't foresee, like they havent squeezed every dollar possible out of the scam yet) and finally - after the last failed cap raise - administration.


like EV's was some kind of mirage?

Electric vehicles are being conflated with lithium, which in turn is being thrown in with gypping greasy little australian listed resource explorers.

Finicky,

Thanks for your input.

Do you see any other future product trading on the ASX that has a bright future that I might throw some money at?

Cheers
 
Yes Boneyard - SILVER! lol
Its staring us right in the face.

"There is simply not enough supply of Silver for the immediate foreseeable future to meet the incredible demand increase."

Soon silver'll put on $5 or so and you'll see prospects spring up everywhere. If you see a photo on a forum of some well fed looking MD holding a piece of silver mineralised rock, thats the buy signal. Look for for the expression of quiet triumph on his face. Nicely blended with the character lines of good will towards shareholders. He should look like an amiable, hands in the soil, uncle.
 
AZS for silver looks great to me. i'll be topping up on the capital raise, just gotta figure out what to let go of to do that.
 
finicky said:
Yes Boneyard - SILVER! lol
Its staring us right in the face.

"There is simply not enough supply of Silver for the immediate foreseeable future to meet the incredible demand increase."

Soon silver'll put on $5 or so and you'll see prospects spring up everywhere. If you see a photo on a forum of some well fed looking MD holding a piece of silver mineralised rock, thats the buy signal. Look for for the expression of quiet triumph on his face. Nicely blended with the character lines of good will towards shareholders. He should look like an amiable, hands in the soil, uncle.


So the lack of supply of Silver will will drive the silver miners higher, but the lack of supply in Lithium for the foreseeable future is a bubble ?
 
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