It's interesting to see the BS from these miners. A year ago the pt stockpile was estimated at 12months annual supply, which is about 4 million oz. there were multiple statements to this stockpile estimate. Then we had the 8 month South African strike which shut off supply for over a year. One must realise you cannot switch a mine off and on like a light switch. South Africa produces 75% of the world Pt. From what I read it seems like 80% of the SA supply was cut last year. In my estimate that is about 3 million oz. Then this year we get a notification that the strike cost 700,000 oz ? Please explain. In my simple arithmetic calculation we have a million oz left which is about 3 months supply, not 2.5 years. These figures have all been quoted and now they change. I heard this years back with Pd and suddenly and unexpectedly it was all gone. I suspect the same will happen soon with Pt.
Another inaccuracy or half truth. "Less Pt is needed for gasoline engines". That makes it sound like we need less metal - wrong. It is because they substitute pt with Pd. With Pd prices approaching Pt prices will that continue? However ill informed we are on Pt stockpiles the Russians are giving nothing away with Pd stockpiles.
I honestly believe that the Pt miners want to get out of SA. They are losing money. Last year estimates are that the cost of production before the strike and subsequent wage increases was US$ 1500/ oz. There is talk of nationalisation. This price fall gives them an excuse. Remember the miners control the market in Pt. They are the only supply. Something is not right.