Situation snapshot:
- Common story: price in dollar is lower than the previous bottom but price in euro's is not. Silver still costs as much as the previous bottom(revisits).
- Futures hedge (the lower the better), a 3 months term indicator, dropped to 16767. Low / bottom figure on the multiyear term, but we've seen lower bottoms.
- The stock market still didn't collapse yet.
- Gold is still held up by central banks and institutionals.
- Silver ETF stocks are rising (now a multiyear high) but small impact on price since 2011 (fluctuation span = 40 Moz) but big impact on decade term since they are stockpiles and stockpiles will be sold, meaning a price hammer as heavy as half a worlds annual supply/demand.
- Gold ETF stocks are dropping (now a tad above multiyear bottom, they are now less than half what they were on end 2012 but on the decade term they still only dumped a quarter of what they added)
- US Mint sales dropped to abit under the "normal" average level of 2010-2012. 2013-juni2014 were record high.
- The average price of 2004-2014 was $18. 1993-2003 was $5. 1983-1992 was $6. 1970-1982 was $7. Last decades (and todays) price could be seen as 3 decades inflation adjustment. It could be sustained, but it's an average, and I try to be in the cheaper half of the average.
If I had have dollars instead of euro's, I'd have added some silver now. But for me, euro case, it's a bottom revisit, and since things (see above) don't appear like needing hurry I think I skip this occasion to wait for a better one. Maybe end this year. The current cycle is probably ending next week / soon, or did already end. And again a typical 3-4 months cycle period, which occurs since 2011.
No gut feelings / I thinks / triangles wedges support levels and backwards-swimming sheeps technical analysis.
No selective time frames as to predraw any conclusion.
Just market data, and ALL time frames.