volrathy said:
Australia has AGES until we are in trouble compared to the rest of the world though
$1.37 trillion GDP
$250 billion government debt
we can run a $20 billion deficit every year for the next 70 years before we get into the same position america is in. John Howard left us in a great position and heaps of room with our government finances to get through basically any global financial distaster.
I doubt it.
Firstly, we are not in the same era as the Howard years.
Secondly, our Total National Debt imo is what is far more important.
Total National Debt: $ 4,791,192,169,749 / 23,129,825 = $207,143 per Capita
IMO, thats a far more realistic figure for basing the health of our economy because
it includes all debt of both Gov't, Private and Public.
Just our Housing Debt alone is $ 1,275,115,647,116
http://www.australiandebtclock.com.au/
When countries are all focusing on QE to see which currency will reach the bottom first
then we will really see some fun and games for the little Aussie Bleeder.
I expect the YEN to be the first in spectacular fashion.
Below is some stats showing the devalueing of 158 currencies compared to Gold over the last 12mths.
http://goldsilver.com/article/race-to-debase-2012-fiat-currencies-vs-gold-and-silver/
You currently have the Swiss in a currency war with the Sterling.
As various nations currencies become more debased, they will be looking at a flight to safety,
including Gold and Silver. The AUD will be well and truly on their watchlist.
Problem for us while all this is taking shape, our dollar will increase unless Stevens does the
unthinkable and increases interest rates. Higher dollar means we become less competitive
as our exports shrink. Now if a major trading partner such as Japan or China were hit for a six
we will be one of the first countries to feel the pain and very quickly. Of course the other
way would be to devalue our currency.
I cannot see any other way out of this folly.
IMO, its not a matter of if, its a matter of when.
Don't think resources will save us.
More and more is being owned by China.
Yeah sure, they will invest, but at what cost?
And thats the good news.
Cheers markcoinoz