silver sultan said:
I'm looking at buying shares in oil exploration company's and various mining and junior mining ??? Why avoid them ?? Please explain
Short answer:
Because the managements of these companies are liars and out to rip you off. Read on if you want to get bored.
against my better judgement:
silver sultan, I tried to make money in that sector for over a decade and lost it instead. That makes me a little prejudiced of course, but ask yourself in your own self interest, why you would do better? I lost because of bad luck, inexperience, stupidity, and the fact that I am more an investor than a speculator - I seldom took profits or cut losses. My goal was to buy something and hold it for a long period and make money from its expanding profits and free cashflow. My goal has never (or rarely anyway) been to make money from a bigger fool.
Are you more experienced than me and more lucky than me? Is your project to make money from another punter rather than from profits and free cashflow from a company's operations? If so have a dabble.
But what are you going to base your speculation on? I can tell you with utter certainty - you are going to base your speculation on an evolving story from the management via their public announcements (or maybe a tip from a friend, article, or forum poster). Or possibly you are going to base it on a chart pattern.
You are
never going to base your speculations in this sector on true facts. Even the factual report of a rich drill intersection carries an implication that it is going to lead to a profitable mine or oil well in the future. The reason for buying/holding is only about future predicted outcomes. Nine times out of ten these outcomes never happen. This sector is choc-o-bloc with unpredicted disastrous events.
There is no reliable earnings record to rely upon, so the faith of the speculator always stems from what the management is saying about future prospects, and the managements of these companies draw their $300,000+ salaries from share subscriptions. There's also the value of the free options to protect. Management is going to tell you as little as possible about the risks and emphasize to the max the tattslotto dream; so that you buy and do not sell the shares.
In short they are almost all liars in the sense that a salesman is a liar, or a politician wanting to get reelected is a liar. Lying is part of their livelihood and it molds the story they are telling you about the future. They wan't you to take all the risk, while they reap the salaries/fees and get a free ticket from options. They are almost white collar criminals but inhabit the same class as those who make the laws and regulations. Good luck but I'll stick to profit making non resource companies.