Watching the crash live as it happens

The Greek government capitulated on Thursday to demands from its creditors for severe austerity measures in return for a modest debt write-off, raising hopes that a rescue deal could be signed at an emergency meeting of EU leaders on Sunday.

Athens is understood to have put forward a package of reforms and public spending cuts worth 13bn with the aim of securing a third bailout from creditors that would raise 53.5bn and allow it to stay inside the currency union.

A cabinet meeting signed off the reform package after ministers agreed that the dire state of the economy and the debilitating closure of the country's banks meant it had no option but to agree to almost all the creditors terms.

Parliament is expected to endorse the package after a frantic few days of negotiation that followed a landmark referendum last Sunday in which Greek voters backed the radical leftist Syriza government's call for debt relief.

Syriza, which is in coalition with the rightwing populist Independent party, is expected to meet huge opposition from within its own ranks and from trade unions and youth groups that viewed the referendum as a vote against any austerity.

Panagiotis Lafazanis, the energy minister and influential hard-leftist, who on Wednesday welcomed a deal for a new 2bn gas pipeline from Russia, has ruled out a new tough austerity package.

Lafazanis represents around 70 Syriza MPs who have previously taken a hard line against further austerity measures and could yet wreck any top-level agreement.

Emphasising the likelihood of further strife in Greece next week even should a deal be concluded, Brussels officials talked privately of plans to fly in humanitarian aid such as food parcels and medicines to major cities.

The urgency of Greek efforts to prevent an exit from the euro came after Brussels set a midnight Thursday deadline for Greece to produce a package of measures in line with previous demands.

The new proposals include sweeping reforms to VAT to raise 1% of GDP and moving more items to the 23% top rate of tax, including restaurants a key battleground before.

Greece has also dropped its opposition to abolishing the lower VAT rate on its islands, starting with the most popular tourist attractions. Athens also appears to have made significant concessions on pensions, agreeing to phase out solidarity payments for the poorest pensioners by December 2019, a year earlier than planned. It would also raise the retirement age to 67 by 2022.

And it has agreed to raise corporation tax to 28%, as the IMF wanted, not 29%, as previously targeted.

In return, Greece appears to be seeking a three-year loan deal worth 53.5bn.

The Greek government said parliament would vote on the proposals later today, before an emergency summit on Sunday of all 28 European Union leaders.

Several EU leaders said the troika of creditors the European commission, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank - must also make concessions to secure Greece's future inside the eurozone.

Donald Tusk, who chairs the EU summits, said European officials would make an effort to address Greece's key request for a debt write-off.

"The realistic proposal from Greece will have to be matched by an equally realistic proposal on debt sustainability from the creditors. Only then will we have a win-win situation," Tusk said.

Tusk, a former prime minister of Poland, aligned himself with France and Italy in seeking a way through the political maze that has defeated all previous efforts to find a breakthrough.

Sources close to Greece's chief negotiator and finance minister, Euclid Tsakalotos, said he had finalised and submitted a plan of reforms for a third bailout to give creditors time to review it ahead of a summit of EU members on Sunday.

On Thursday, the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schuble said the possibility of some kind of debt relief would be discussed over coming days, although he cautioned it may not provide much help.

"The room for manoeuvre through debt reprofiling or restructuring is very small," he said.

Greece has long argued its debt is too high to be paid back and that the country requires some form of debt relief. The IMF agrees, but key European states such as Germany have resisted the idea.

Making Greece's debt more sustainable would likely involve lowering the interest rates and extending the repayment dates on its bailout loans. Germany and many other European countries rule out an outright debt cut, arguing it would be illegal under European treaties.

The developments on Thursday boosted market confidence that a compromise will be found. The Stoxx 50 index of top European shares was up 2.4% in late afternoon trading.

Prime minister Alexis Tsipras met with finance ministry officials ahead of the cabinet meeting on Thursday afternoon which finalised his country's plan, a day after his government requested a new three-year aid programme from Europe's bailout fund and promised to immediately enact reforms.

The last-minute negotiations come as Greece's financial system teeters on the brink of collapse. It has imposed restrictions on banking transactions since 29 June, limiting cash withdrawals to 60 per day to staunch a bank run. Banks and the stock market have been shut for just as long.

The closures, which have been extended until Monday, have led to daily lines at cash machines and have hammered businesses. Payments abroad have been banned without special permission.

Greece's financial institutions have been kept afloat so far by emergency liquidity assistance from the ECB. But the central bank has not increased the amount in days, giving the lenders a stranglehold despite capital controls.

German ECB governing council member Jens Weidmann argued Greek banks should not get more emergency credit from the central bank unless a bailout deal is struck.
He said it was up to eurozone governments and Greek leaders themselves to rescue Greece.

The central bank "has no mandate to safeguard the solvency of banks and governments," he said in a speech.

The ECB capped emergency credit to Greek banks amid doubt over whether the country will win further rescue loans from other countries. The banks closed and limited cash withdrawals because they had no other way to replace deposits.

Weidmann said he welcomed the fact that central bank credit "is no longer being used to finance capital flight caused by the Greek government".

http://www.theguardian.com/business...accepts-harsh-austerity-as-bailout-deal-nears

Looks like Varoufakis was the real deal, Tsipras has bent over
 
Greek MPs to vote on bailout plan
3 minutes ago

Catharina Moh reports: ''Greece's reform package will now be scrutinised by experts''
Greek MPs are to vote later on whether to back PM Alexis Tsipras's tough new proposals to secure a third bailout.

The proposals are aimed at staving off financial collapse and preventing a possible exit from the eurozone.

Eurozone finance ministers will examine the new proposals, which include pension cuts and tax rises, ahead of a full EU summit on Sunday.

Correspondents say Mr Tsipras's new plan contains many elements rejected in a referendum last Sunday.

He is likely to face opposition from the left of his own Syriza party.

However, a parliamentary spokesman for Syriza, Nikos Filis, said he was confident parliament would give the government the mandate to negotiate the new bailout package.

The coalition government has 162 seats in the 300-strong parliament and also has the backing of many opposition MPs.


Analysis: BBC's Mark Lowen in Athens

Greece's parliament is likely to give approval to negotiate the deal, because support from the opposition will outweigh critics on the far left of the governing Syriza party.

But with the tax hikes and pension reforms very similar to what the creditors were originally demanding, what has Alexis Tsipras achieved by holding last Sunday's referendum?

Possibly some concessions on debt relief and growth measures - or possibly by showing Greeks that he was fighting until the 11th-hour, it will strengthen his hand here and allow him to implement the reforms.

There will, though, be plenty of critics who say he was elected because he promised to end austerity and he won a "No" vote just last Sunday. And now he's gone back on virtually every pledge.
Bbc neews
 
sterling-nz said:
It is all to easy to forget that behind all this money we discuss so casually every day REAL PEOPLE EXIST.
People that have trusted those that appear to know what they are talking about and committing much of their wealth to their (expert/sarc) hands.

Anyone know what Mr Jin Average has tied up in their local Chinese sharemarket? How exposed are the people to all this?
 
If debt relief or extension in the maturity isn't generous this will be an epic level of failure
 
SilverDJ said:
sterling-nz said:
It is all to easy to forget that behind all this money we discuss so casually every day REAL PEOPLE EXIST.
People that have trusted those that appear to know what they are talking about and committing much of their wealth to their (expert/sarc) hands.

Anyone know what Mr Jin Average has tied up in their local Chinese sharemarket? How exposed are the people to all this?
From what i have read the China stock market is a full 80% Mum and Dad investors.
So if that is even close to true the citizens are the big losers.
 
Meanwhile, the plans face possible opposition in Greece for having embraced many of the austerity measures rejected at a referendum last Sunday.

Earlier, a spokesman for Mr Tsipras' Syriza party said he was confident MPs would give the government the mandate to negotiate the new bailout package.

The coalition government has 162 seats in the 300-strong parliament, and also has the backing of many opposition MPs.

However, the BBC's Mark Lowen in Athens says that Mr Tsipras has made a major climb-down.

Mr Tsipras has asked eurozone and other creditors for 53.5bn ($59.47bn) to cover Greece's debts until 2018.

He submitted the proposals to Greece's creditors - the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund - by the Thursday deadline they had set.

The measures submitted in the new Greek document include:

tax rise on shipping companies

unifying VAT rates at standard 23%, including restaurants and catering

phasing out solidarity grant for pensioners by 2019

300m ($332m; 216m) defence spending cuts by 2016

privatisation of ports and sell-off of remaining shares in telecoms giant OTE

scrapping 30% tax break for wealthiest islands

Greece's creditors have already provided more than 200bn in two bailouts since a rescue plan began five years ago. The second bailout expired on 30 June.

Greece's banks are still closed and the 60 (43; $66) daily limit on cash machine withdrawals for Greeks, imposed on 28 June, remains in force. With a shortage of 20 notes, for many the limit is in effect 50.

BBC News
 
bull_bear said:
Aparently a deal has been reached over a third Greek Bailout, (circa 9am Brussels time - after the key people have been putting in an all nighter) but there is not sign of spikes on fx markets so Im not sure whats happening.

and there is no Grexit, says Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker.

http://www.theguardian.com/business...sis-eu-leaders-meeting-cancelled-no-deal-live

Yep i just watched ABC 24 news and a new deal of 50Billion has been done.

It will take a few weeks to all be processed apparently.

Ther will be NO Grexit! (well at least for now).
 
Key Points

Eurozone leaders agree to a deal over Greece after night-long talks
Greek parliament will have to pass deal agreed in Brussels
EU's Juncker 'convinced' that Greek parliament will pass deal
Merkel: Greek debt relief 'out of the question'
Greek assets to be put in special fund to help fund banks
BBC news
 
I'm not so convinced, there are no significant concessions to the Greeks, people who voted no are going to be pissed. I'm not saying the greeks shouldn't have done the deal, I think Tsipras has done the right thing ultimately even if it's probably at a higher cost than might have otherwise been had.

I think you can expect protests and possibly a parliamentary backlash. The real details haven't been hashed out though and I don't think the public has come to grips with this 50B fund. Details of how liquidity and capital controls are going to be managed I'm the short term haven't been worked out either. This story isn't over and even though we've had 3 good sessions I think there's more to hear from China as well.
 
I think they will need to pass some reforms through parliament as a show of good faith before a deal is done
 
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JSBhI_0at0[/youtube]

janet-yellen.jpg

Source: cbc.ca

This wednesday and thursday at midnight east coast australian time
 
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The European Stability Mechanism bailout fund will contribute between 40 and 50 billion euros ($44-55 billion) to a three-year package for Greece to cover financing needs of 82 to 86 billion euros, a European official said on Tuesday.

Further contributions would come from the International Monetary Fund, which has 16 billion euros still available under a programme expiring in March, and potential revenues from privatisation of Greek state assets.

Greece should also toward the end of the bailout period be able to raise funds for itself in financial markets, the official said.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/14/eurozone-greece-latest-idUSL8N0ZR0TG20150714

Mark Carney is doing some jawboning saying they are closer to UK rate rises

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-for-first-boe-rate-increase-is-moving-closer
 
Gouliamaki

Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras has defended a bailout deal struck at a eurozone summit, saying although it had been "a bad night for Europe" and "imposed" on Greece, the agreement saved it from exiting the euro and must be implemented.

"I am fully assuming my responsibilities, for mistakes and for oversights, and for the responsibility of signing a text that I do not believe in, but that I am obliged to implement," Mr Tsipras said in an interview on public television.

Mr Tsipras said he had fought a battle to not cut wages and pensions, adding that the fiscal adjustment agreed to in the deal was milder than adjustments agreed to in the past.

The prime minister, who faces strong discontent within his Syriza party over the deal, said Greece must stick to the deal and added that he intended to serve a full four-year term, ruling out early elections.

"I won't escape these responsibilities and will try to implement my political programme over a four-year period," he said.

"The hard truth is this one-way street for Greece was imposed on us."

With around 30 hardline Syriza politicians threatening to oppose the latest tough reforms demanded by Greece's international creditors, Mr Tsipras faced the unenviable task of turning to pro-austerity opposition parties to push the deal through parliament by Wednesday.
ABC
 
I was thinking last night about just what they threated Greece with to make Greece backflip so quickly and make them accept the 'bad deal'.

Perhaps a 'Libya' intervention, or establishing Greece as a battleground for some war. It must have been a blanching discussion.
 
JulieW said:
I was thinking last night about just what they threated Greece with to make Greece backflip so quickly and make them accept the 'bad deal'.

Perhaps a 'Libya' intervention, or establishing Greece as a battleground for some war. It must have been a blanching discussion.
Why not just a nice cash deal for the politicians and a promise of silence and immunity from prosecution for certain indiscretions that security agencies had uncovered?
 
SilverPete said:
JulieW said:
I was thinking last night about just what they threated Greece with to make Greece backflip so quickly and make them accept the 'bad deal'.

Perhaps a 'Libya' intervention, or establishing Greece as a battleground for some war. It must have been a blanching discussion.
Why not just a nice cash deal for the politicians and a promise of silence and immunity from prosecution for certain indiscretions that security agencies had uncovered?

The latter perhaps, but being elected gives them no money worries. I assume there is some skerrick of patriotism there, so I imagine a big stick rather than a carrot.
 
IMF says Greek debt is 'highly unsustainable'
Growth forecasts for Greece unrealistic says IMF
Greek parliament due to vote on bailout offer Wednesday night
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras faces rebellion in his own party
All times BST (GMT+1)
 
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