The silver price looks weird

SteveS

Member
Looking at the price chart just now, the trading over the last hour looks a bit suss to me. Mind you, I once came first in a skeptics contest but wouldn't accept the trophy because I thought it was rigged.

The thing is, it looks to me as though the price is trying to go up but something keeps yanking it down again. The movement is quite pronounced. It goes up then, a minute or so later bam, it plunges like somebody has intervened and sold to pull it down again. The chart looks like a really jagged sawtooth pattern.

Is it me? Maybe this is normal.
 
don't worry it happens all the time. only look long terms silver possibly will hit 30 in next a few years.
 
Quirky silver 'price' movement has been noticed for many years.
Looking for another breakout - such as what happened in late June.
 
Of course the silver price looks weird, the entire $14 > $20 uptrend was due to those on the comex futures market, being orders that nearly never end in delivery of the underlying of the derivative, silver, just in delivery of dollars.
Coin sales, ETF stockpiling, etc just stayed what they were.
Those comex orders now sit on a decades record high, like double the usual peak value.

So it's like in a village for even the at the baker. Customers see the same amount folks in the shop as before, yet the bread price increased, and increased, ... until some figure that becomes too hard to be believed. And then the hedge holders have to struggle to keep the price high. What you see is this struggle.

My impression is thus the opposite: there is lack of cash market demand, sales back to dealers increase, the price thus receives downwards pressure, but dealers prefer $20 instead of $14 so they try to keep it up. :D
 
There is a straightforward explanation though, I've noticed that in the past, a major silver price trend reversal doesn't happen on its own.
It's not an standalone event on the markets.
Big funds / big groups of frontrunners tend to observe same data, and central planners / institutions like pension funds, operate on alot markets simultaneous.
So maybe they didn't decide yet to bring such a marketwide trend reversal, or just didn't planned it right now in school vacation summer. :D
So, they wanna hold prices in place, for the time being.
Just imagine that silvers price would drop to $15, while other prices just continue their for the time normal movements.
Would raise eyebrows. They don't want that, our good 'ol planners.
 
they, they, they ... the market for silver is so small that even one real player can make it move big in any direction
so why to bother about current price is out of my understanding.

keep stacking!
 
worldbubble said:
they, they, they ... the market for silver is so small that even one real player can make it move big in any direction
so why to bother about current price is out of my understanding.
keep stacking!
1798_slapgif2.gif


All price changes are due to "real players".
Those players, can be categorized by their intentions. Some stack silver as savings method, some buy it to sell it some months later, rinse and repeat, and yet others buy/sell derivatives like futures positions to try to make the former pay more, and get a part of their money (which for the former translates in less ounces).
So what is your "real player" in this?
Those I refer to, are the latter. Why: because this category caused the 2016, and 2015, and 2014, and 2013, and 2012 price spikes.
It isn't that hard to understand.
 
Pirocco said:
My impression is thus the opposite: there is lack of cash market demand, sales back to dealers increase, the price thus receives downwards pressure, but dealers prefer $20 instead of $14 so they try to keep it up. :D

Why would dealers prefer $20 silver rather than $14? When silver collapsed to $14 last year sales went through the roof. At $20 no one is buying. Dealer makes the same per coin at $14 or $20. And at $14 people can buy a lot more coins for the same amount of money.
 
monopolize said:
Pirocco said:
My impression is thus the opposite: there is lack of cash market demand, sales back to dealers increase, the price thus receives downwards pressure, but dealers prefer $20 instead of $14 so they try to keep it up. :D

Why would dealers prefer $20 silver rather than $14? When silver collapsed to $14 last year sales went through the roof. At $20 no one is buying. Dealer makes the same per coin at $14 or $20. And at $14 people can buy a lot more coins for the same amount of money.
Do you think dealers bother about quantities coins sold?
They bother about amounts dollars selling delivers, which is a function of ounces AND price per ounce, and they crank up the price (along futures) as much as they can.
Of course, until demand dries up and / or customers sales back increase.
Then they quickly crank down the price, as to have to give less dollars for the back sales and lure again demand.
Until the opposite happens and the story repeats.

What are "through the roof" (a more accurate claim, for ex, 1.3 times previous has more substance) sales anyway, compared to a futures bogus order of last week 550 Moz?
Clearly ppl DO did at $20, otherwise it wouldn't have been there. Yesterday I've seen a post about silver bars purchased last week, with sequential serie numbers. That's 1 purchase, in the peanut scope that this forum delivers.
About sales back, well another peanut element: SilverSale sold for a tidy profit. Well, some1 bought there too.

There is some general logic in things, but sometimes (often?) it's missed due to too narrow scopes for the trend of the subject.
 
Pirocco said:
Do you think dealers bother about quantities coins sold?
They bother about amounts dollars selling delivers, which is a function of ounces AND price per ounce, and they crank up the price (along futures) as much as they can.
Of course, until demand dries up and / or customers sales back increase.
Then they quickly crank down the price, as to have to give less dollars for the back sales and lure again demand.
Until the opposite happens and the story repeats.

What are "through the roof" (a more accurate claim, for ex, 1.3 times previous has more substance) sales anyway, compared to a futures bogus order of last week 550 Moz?
Clearly ppl DO did at $20, otherwise it wouldn't have been there. Yesterday I've seen a post about silver bars purchased last week, with sequential serie numbers. That's 1 purchase, in the peanut scope that this forum delivers.
About sales back, well another peanut element: SilverSale sold for a tidy profit. Well, some1 bought there too.

There is some general logic in things, but sometimes (often?) it's missed due to too narrow scopes for the trend of the subject.

Higher total sales amount does not equal higher profit. You clearly do not understand business. Of course they care about quantity. They want volume. Not higher total sales amount. It matters not to them what price they buy it because it's all hedged. What they want is to move volume. If they can move a million coins at $14 and make $1 per coin that's $1 million on sales of $14 million. If they move a million coins at $20 and make $1 per coin that's still $1 million on sales of $20 million. And with the current lower physical demand they've actually had to reduce their premiums to move that same million coins.

If you want evidence of physical demand read this post I made on Indian demand.

http://forums.silverstackers.com/topic-76030-next-two-weeks-pivotal-for-precious-metals-page-2.html

And listen to this interview with CEO of sunshine mint.

http://www.silverdoctors.com/silver...sunshine-minting-ceo-tom-power-silver-prices/

What do you mean people clearly do buy at $20 otherwise it wouldn't be at that price? How is a price of $20 a reflection of people buying physical silver. The price of silver is based on the Comex futures contract. I never claimed physical demand is the primary determinant of silver price so I'm not sure why you mentioned the sequential numbered bars or silversale making a profit on a small sale. I simply stated that your claim that dealers prefer $20 silver rather than $14 silver is incorrect.
 
WTF is happening? Definitely looks like either manipulation to keep it at this USD 20 range or someone just bought a shit tonne of the stuff
 
I'm sorry to have to break the news to you, but I alone am the one responsible for the price volatility.....because I like it that way. I am the "manipulation" you fear and get so angry about!


This year I am dialing silver prices higher and with the normal volatility I enjoy. By the end of the year, a paltry $20 for silver will be a thing of the past.


The Silver Phoenix will rise again in 2016!





.
 
monopolize said:
Pirocco said:
Do you think dealers bother about quantities coins sold?
They bother about amounts dollars selling delivers, which is a function of ounces AND price per ounce, and they crank up the price (along futures) as much as they can.
Of course, until demand dries up and / or customers sales back increase.
Then they quickly crank down the price, as to have to give less dollars for the back sales and lure again demand.
Until the opposite happens and the story repeats.

What are "through the roof" (a more accurate claim, for ex, 1.3 times previous has more substance) sales anyway, compared to a futures bogus order of last week 550 Moz?
Clearly ppl DO did at $20, otherwise it wouldn't have been there. Yesterday I've seen a post about silver bars purchased last week, with sequential serie numbers. That's 1 purchase, in the peanut scope that this forum delivers.
About sales back, well another peanut element: SilverSale sold for a tidy profit. Well, some1 bought there too.

There is some general logic in things, but sometimes (often?) it's missed due to too narrow scopes for the trend of the subject.

Higher total sales amount does not equal higher profit. You clearly do not understand business. Of course they care about quantity. They want volume. Not higher total sales amount. It matters not to them what price they buy it because it's all hedged. What they want is to move volume. If they can move a million coins at $14 and make $1 per coin that's $1 million on sales of $14 million. If they move a million coins at $20 and make $1 per coin that's still $1 million on sales of $20 million. And with the current lower physical demand they've actually had to reduce their premiums to move that same million coins.

If you want evidence of physical demand read this post I made on Indian demand.

http://forums.silverstackers.com/topic-76030-next-two-weeks-pivotal-for-precious-metals-page-2.html

And listen to this interview with CEO of sunshine mint.

http://www.silverdoctors.com/silver...sunshine-minting-ceo-tom-power-silver-prices/

What do you mean people clearly do buy at $20 otherwise it wouldn't be at that price? How is a price of $20 a reflection of people buying physical silver. The price of silver is based on the Comex futures contract. I never claimed physical demand is the primary determinant of silver price so I'm not sure why you mentioned the sequential numbered bars or silversale making a profit on a small sale. I simply stated that your claim that dealers prefer $20 silver rather than $14 silver is incorrect.
Your said earlier "sales went through the roof".
Sales expressed in what?
I assumed ounces, like ASE / Perth Mint etc report.
So I answered that it's not ounces alone that determines the dollars that come in, but ounces AND price.
And now you state
"of course they care about quantity".
AND
"volume"
AND
"not higher total sales amount".
AND
"moving million coins"

Can you follow yourself here?
I can't.
I see what a dealer receives, simply as ounces x price per ounce, as a dollar sum of all sales, at the sale specific price / ounce.
What else?

And of course dealers prefer to sell at higher prices. $20 preferred above $14. Every seller prefers a higher price. Every buyer prefers a lower. I can't grasp how you can deny this.
You said that demand dried up at $20. Well, there are people that bought / buy there. Otherwise that price wouldn't have been there in the first place.
 
If this is a downtrend to continue, then the old story repeats: selling at steadily lower prices, until the last sucker sells at what turns out to have been the bottom price. :D
Just think about those that sold less than a year ago at $14, hoping for $10 or so (difference should exceed difference sell / buy back in otherwise it's not worth selling in the 1st place.
To then see that they could have sold at $20.
Just to say another time, paying too much can be an as big error as asking too less.
 
Ladies and Gentlemen, we recorded yet another Friday Smackdown.
A full 29 cents in USD down!
On a single damn day!
The US manipulators must be driven to extremes!

Though!

We have a Friday Smackup in the EU.
The EU manipulators failed miserably!
The price is a full 1 cent UP there!
We have LIFT OF!
We EU stackers beated them!
The EU price suppression is about to break up!
The train is leaving the station!
Hurry, jump!
We all gonna become as rich as the sea deep is!
 
Pirocco said:
monopolize said:
Pirocco said:
Do you think dealers bother about quantities coins sold?
They bother about amounts dollars selling delivers, which is a function of ounces AND price per ounce, and they crank up the price (along futures) as much as they can.
Of course, until demand dries up and / or customers sales back increase.
Then they quickly crank down the price, as to have to give less dollars for the back sales and lure again demand.
Until the opposite happens and the story repeats.

What are "through the roof" (a more accurate claim, for ex, 1.3 times previous has more substance) sales anyway, compared to a futures bogus order of last week 550 Moz?
Clearly ppl DO did at $20, otherwise it wouldn't have been there. Yesterday I've seen a post about silver bars purchased last week, with sequential serie numbers. That's 1 purchase, in the peanut scope that this forum delivers.
About sales back, well another peanut element: SilverSale sold for a tidy profit. Well, some1 bought there too.

There is some general logic in things, but sometimes (often?) it's missed due to too narrow scopes for the trend of the subject.

Higher total sales amount does not equal higher profit. You clearly do not understand business. Of course they care about quantity. They want volume. Not higher total sales amount. It matters not to them what price they buy it because it's all hedged. What they want is to move volume. If they can move a million coins at $14 and make $1 per coin that's $1 million on sales of $14 million. If they move a million coins at $20 and make $1 per coin that's still $1 million on sales of $20 million. And with the current lower physical demand they've actually had to reduce their premiums to move that same million coins.

If you want evidence of physical demand read this post I made on Indian demand.

http://forums.silverstackers.com/topic-76030-next-two-weeks-pivotal-for-precious-metals-page-2.html

And listen to this interview with CEO of sunshine mint.

http://www.silverdoctors.com/silver...sunshine-minting-ceo-tom-power-silver-prices/

What do you mean people clearly do buy at $20 otherwise it wouldn't be at that price? How is a price of $20 a reflection of people buying physical silver. The price of silver is based on the Comex futures contract. I never claimed physical demand is the primary determinant of silver price so I'm not sure why you mentioned the sequential numbered bars or silversale making a profit on a small sale. I simply stated that your claim that dealers prefer $20 silver rather than $14 silver is incorrect.
Your said earlier "sales went through the roof".
Sales expressed in what?
I assumed ounces, like ASE / Perth Mint etc report.
So I answered that it's not ounces alone that determines the dollars that come in, but ounces AND price.
And now you state
"of course they care about quantity".
AND
"volume"
AND
"not higher total sales amount".
AND
"moving million coins"

Can you follow yourself here?
I can't.
I see what a dealer receives, simply as ounces x price per ounce, as a dollar sum of all sales, at the sale specific price / ounce.
What else?

And of course dealers prefer to sell at higher prices. $20 preferred above $14. Every seller prefers a higher price. Every buyer prefers a lower. I can't grasp how you can deny this.
You said that demand dried up at $20. Well, there are people that bought / buy there. Otherwise that price wouldn't have been there in the first place.

Hmm.. I thought it was just logical fallacy.. But that requires some sort of logic in the first place..
 
monopolize said:
Hmm.. I thought it was just logical fallacy.. But that requires some sort of logic in the first place..
It's not because the topic contains "weird", that you have to post weird..
 
BulkCoins15 said:
Yeah right ...

A bit like I influence the gold price ....

AFTER I sell, price goes up.

AFTER I buy, price goes down.

Let me know when you want the price to go up, and I'll sell something the day before ....

Please sell everything mate!
 
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