The 'Sell Out' has begun, 'The Big Crash' is now much closer

[raven]

The only reason why rates elevate in Australia, is when the reserve bank, is "told to" by the federal reserve.



banks in this country would love to raise rates, but have no choice but to kowtow to their owners.

Rates will rise here, when the opportunity to steal is too to good to not to !

 

[Phransisku]

Indicators I look at are suggesting this, it's not from another source

First of all, thank you for sharing your detailed reasoning, as now it's easier for me to understand what you claim in the OP. What you tell makes sense but I would ask for you to provide sources to support the following claims:

The markets have already started to weaken just as they did last time

(I don't see that. The Dow Jones and the S&P500 seem to be in good shape.)

Smaller companies are going under and larger ones are cutting back

almost everyone and every company is looking to keep what liquidity they can as available circulating money dries up

the RBA said that they are having issues keeping pace with the demand for cash while spending is actually down

___

I would also like to make questions about some other claims:

PE ratio's of many blue chips are un-realistic suggesting excess cash has flowed into stocks as a safe haven

What are the PE levels you're seeing that make you claim they are un-realistic? What is the boundary you suggest to separate realistic from un-realistic levels (I think this is quite subjective)?

The Australian dollar has already started falling against the USD which to me suggests the flight to safety has already begun...Same with commodities, look at ones with long shelf lives and necessary for future building works, iron, copper etc.

This only happens when a crisis is coming? Or they're just 2 of many things you add to your overview?

In a Fiat currency system we need to create enough new debt to cover at least the interest only portion of existing debt but when almost all currency is only paying debt then even adding extra currency will not stimulate any growth

By stimulating growth you mean inflate numbers in order for things to seem better?

 

[dozerz]

doom and gloom goes hand in hand with silver stacking, don't try and read too much more than that into it.

i am more interested in when we can say we ware safe from "the big crash" or is that mid 2015?

 

[SpacePete]

Its one month since the original post and nothing much has happened so far. Any updates or adjustments on the prediction? How are things looking?

 

[long88]

Apparently we are waiting for the next leg up in stock (which is happening now ).

Then the decline in market sets in. Trigger could be fomc meeting, ebola outbreak or any other black swan.

Pm will be expected to rise. Stock market down.

 

[dozerz]

the dow has just hit all time high, we are running out of time for this "big crash" to happen.

 

[SpacePete]

the dow has just hit all time high, we are running out of time for this "big crash" to happen.

Maybe the "big crash" is referring to the price of precious metals?

 

[sammysilver]

Stay calm and keep stacking.

 

[thatguy]

Check out the colossal hanging man candle on the monthly S&P500

[imgz=http://forums.silverstackers.com/uploads/1021_hangingman.png]

[/imgz]

Old article on this sort of thing I googled

http://etfdailynews.com/2011/04/12/...g-man-candlestick-in-41-years-spy-sh-sds-sso/


Similar to one in oct 2000

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hangingman.asp

 

[ytrader]

Reporting season, be careful with your shorts!

 

[SpacePete]

Stay calm and keep stacking.

Problem is, the silver spot price is inversely proportional to the size of the blocks of silver I can purchase... which has led to a storage space problem.

If this trend continues I'll be spending my beer money on industrial sized ingots.

 

[sammysilver]

Stack your silver bars in the fridge, then use them in your Esky to keep the beer cold. Simples.

 

[House]

Its one month since the original post and nothing much has happened so far. Any updates or adjustments on the prediction? How are things looking?

3.5 years later...

 

[willrocks]

It's just around the corner ... buy my book to find out

 

[bubblebobble2]

Nah mate... never gonna happen.... we're in mining boom....housing boom...boom boom boom, lets go back to my room.... the rest is ya'kno...!

 

[Golightly]

AHH, this is old thread, I didn't notice till i got to nonrecourse commenting.

 

[sammy]

It's hard reading these old threads because I used to believe this kind of hype once. I think we were all in the same boat once upon a time.

 

[House]

It's hard reading these old threads because I used to believe this kind of hype once. I think we were all in the same boat once upon a time.

Hence why I bump these old threads every now and again

 

[Skyrocket]

My trusty crystal ball says the end is near. All them absurd over inflated bubbles are going to pop soon....especially the big fat housing one!

 

[Court Jester]

My trusty crystal ball says the end is near. All them absurd over inflated bubbles are going to pop soon....especially the big fat housing one!

the housing bubble has been going to pop in Australia for the last 30 years

a broken clock is still correct 2 x times a day