Topherclaus
Active Member
I came across this study just now into silver production into the future:
"We evaluated the silver supply for the whole globe in a generalized way, and include simulations that cover both the short term and long time into the future, giving simulations covering the time-span of 500 years (18402340). To undertake this task for silver, we pulled into the picture the availability of fossil fuels and the size of the human population of the future. This was done by using a preliminary version of a global civilization model presently under development; The WORLD model (Sverdrup et al., 2013c). Previously authors have published some estimates of quantification of when a peak in silver production may occur, but none have ever done any integrated systems modelling on the issue. References of earlier work that we build on include Ragnarsdottir et al. (2011), and Sverdrup et al. (2013c) who gave the peak production year 2032, based on a simple analysis with the Hubbert's peak production model."
Seems like I should just bury the safes for now and forget about it.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921344913002747
"We evaluated the silver supply for the whole globe in a generalized way, and include simulations that cover both the short term and long time into the future, giving simulations covering the time-span of 500 years (18402340). To undertake this task for silver, we pulled into the picture the availability of fossil fuels and the size of the human population of the future. This was done by using a preliminary version of a global civilization model presently under development; The WORLD model (Sverdrup et al., 2013c). Previously authors have published some estimates of quantification of when a peak in silver production may occur, but none have ever done any integrated systems modelling on the issue. References of earlier work that we build on include Ragnarsdottir et al. (2011), and Sverdrup et al. (2013c) who gave the peak production year 2032, based on a simple analysis with the Hubbert's peak production model."
Seems like I should just bury the safes for now and forget about it.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921344913002747