The NFL Punting thread

Miami +7.5 @1.97 [colour=red]Lost -1 stake [/colour]

Player Props:

Indianapolis Colts At Jacksonville Jaguars
Player A Total Tackles + Assists
D'Qwell Jackson Under (8.5) @ 1.87 5 stakes [colour=green]WIN +9.35 Stakes[/colour]

Carolina Panthers At Atlanta Falcons
Player A Total Tackles + Assists
Luke Kuechly Over (8.5) @1.87 5 stakes [colour=green]WIN +9.35 Stakes[/colour]

2 leg Multi 2.5 stakes [colour=green]WIN +8.742 Stakes[/colour]

Total Stakes Wagered 13.5 Total Stakes returned 27.44 For a profit of [colour=green]+13.94 Stakes[/colour]
 
Crown Bet
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons X2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour]
Julio Jones Receiving Yards O/U
Under 90.5 @ $1.88

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons X2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour]
Cam Newton Passing Yards O/U
Over 252.5 @ $1.75

Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets [colour=red] Lost -1 stakes [/colour]
Matt Forte Rushing Yards O/U
Over 64.5 @ $1.88
$10.00

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears X2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour]
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards O/U
Over 280.5 @ $1.88

Cleveland Browns @ Washington Redskins X2 stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour]
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards O/U
Over 285.5 @ $1.88

Oakland Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens [colour=grey] VOID [/colour]
Justin Forsett Rushing Yards O/U
Under 42.5 @ $1.88

Sports Bet

Buffalo Bills At New England Patriots [colour=green] Win +1.87 Stakes [/colour]
Player A Total Tackles + Assists
Corey Graham Under (6.5) @ 1.87 2h 33m

Kansas City Chiefs At Pittsburgh Steelers [colour=green] Win +1.87 Stakes [/colour]
Player F Total Receiving Yards
Sammie Coates Over (38.5) @ 1.87

Denver Broncos At Tampa Bay Buccaneers [colour=green] Win +1.87 Stakes [/colour]
Player B Total Passing Yards
Jameis Winston Under (242.5) @ 1.87

Total 12 stakes wagered, 5.61 Stakes returned for a [colour=red] Net loss of -6.39 stakes [/colour]
 
Alright guys, thanks for following so far! I have been continuing to review footage, and revise my stat books as well as implementing new systems I have been working on. This week was a bit funny as I lost every bet on Crown and Won every bet on Sports bet! Overall a profitable week however here is the monthly summary

Week 1- Loss -0.58 Units
Week 2- Profit +6.135 Units
Week 3- Loss -8.213 Units
Week 4- Profit +7.55 Units
1st Month= Profit +4.89 Units

I had a slip in Week three where I actually had almost 50 stakes laid out where I have originally said to split into 40 stakes so will Try to avoid that in the future. Also working on some New Models that hopefully will help me back up some Stats but Gee I can't believe Detroit losing to Chicago. Chicago missing the Starting QB, RB, TE, Star LB and Safety with Detroit owning them statistically and Stafford dominating them the last two meets. Didn't see that one coming at all....

I will keep going and still plenty of time left in the season and starting to get a better overall view of the teams!
 
Good work.

I sometimes find that I win with some books and lose with others on certain sports. It can actually help you to be aware of that because some bookies are consistently better than others at pricing certain sports and if you know that, you can use pricing of sharper bookies as an input to your analysis (if that makes sense) to avoid losses and adjust stakes ;)
 
Only 1 bet for tomorrow:
Sports Bet:
Arizona Cardinals At San Francisco 49ers
Player A Total Rushing + Receiving Yds
David Johnson Over (128.5) @ 1.87 1 Stake

I don't normally explain my bets as I don't always have the time but some insight into why i picked this.
So far this year DJ has these all purpose yds:
Game 1:132
Game 2:143
Game 3:111
Game 4:124

Well statistically its 50/50 Carson Palmer (Arizona's Quarter back is out) and his back up tends to throw a lot of interceptions, Therefore they should be running the ball or using quick screens a lot more then they have been. On top of that San Francisco's Defence is missing Navorro Bowman (Inside linebacker). When he went down, San fran went from leading the game to letting Dallas run all over them. He would also be the one defending the quick screen which should mean a few extra meters for DJ. So good luck tomorrow and hopefully we Smash it out!

Also get on before Monday is
Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions
Big Win Little Win
Philadelphia Eagles 14+ Pts @ 6.20 1 stake

Chicago actually dominated Detroit despite missing key players in important positions and right now Phili is a much better team then Chicago on both sides of the ball. They have won there last three games by 19,15 and 31 as well as coming off the bye week which gave them extra time to rest and prepare!

Will be more for next week, will update Sunday once the markets come out!
 
Great start to the week, DJ actually had his highest total today putting up 157yds in Rushing alone! He had another 28yds in receiving for a grand total of 185yds!


Sports Bet:
Arizona Cardinals At San Francisco 49ers
Player A Total Rushing + Receiving Yds
David Johnson Over (128.5) @ 1.87 1 Stake [colour=green]WIN 1.87 Stakes [/colour]
 
Unfortunately I didn't get on, but I did note that your analysis was very good this morning. You are thinking like a pro and that's a well deserved win. :)
 
Sports Bet

Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Carolina Panthers
Player B Total Tackles + Assists
Luke Kuechly Over (8.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes

New York Giants At Green Bay Packers
Player B Total Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers Under (265.5) @ 1.87

Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins
Player A Total Rushing Yards
DeMarco Murray Over (80.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes

Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins
Player B Total Tackles + Assists
Kiko Alonso Over (8.0) @ 1.82

Atlanta Falcons At Denver Broncos
Player A Total Passing Yards
Matt Ryan Under (256.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes

Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
Player A Total Passing Yards
Andy Dalton Over (274.5) @ 1.87

Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
Player B Total Passing Yards
Dak Prescott Over (230.5) @ 1.87

Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
Player B Total Rushing Yards
Ezekiel Elliott Over (80.5) @ 1.87

San Diego Chargers At Oakland Raiders
Player B Total Tackles + Assists
Khalil Mack Under (7.5) @ 1.78

Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts
Player A Total Passing Yards
Brian Hoyer Over (260.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes

Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts
Player A Total Tackles + Assists
D'Qwell Jackson Under (7.5) @ 1.87

Houston Texans At Minnesota Vikings
Player A Total Receiving Yards
DeAndre Hopkins Under (74.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes

Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions
Player A Total Pass Completions
Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes

New York Jets At Pittsburgh Steelers
Player E Total Receiving Yards
Sammie Coates Over (42.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes

New England Patriots At Cleveland Browns
Player B Total Rushing Yards
Isaiah Crowell Over (68.5) @ 1.87

All H2H MIN, DEN, PHI, PIT Multi @ 3.75 x3 Stakes
 
Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions
Big Win Little Win
Philadelphia Eagles 14+ Pts @ 6.20 1 stake [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Carolina Panthers
Player B Total Tackles + Assists
Luke Kuechly Over (8.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

New York Giants At Green Bay Packers
Player B Total Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers Under (265.5) @ 1.87 [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour]

Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins
Player A Total Rushing Yards
DeMarco Murray Over (80.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins
Player B Total Tackles + Assists
Kiko Alonso Over (8.0) @ 1.82 [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour]

Atlanta Falcons At Denver Broncos
Player A Total Passing Yards
Matt Ryan Under (256.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost 2 Stakes [/colour]

Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
Player A Total Passing Yards
Andy Dalton Over (274.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
Player B Total Passing Yards
Dak Prescott Over (230.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour]
Player B Total Rushing Yards
Ezekiel Elliott Over (80.5) @ 1.87

San Diego Chargers At Oakland Raiders [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour]
Player B Total Tackles + Assists
Khalil Mack Under (7.5) @ 1.78

Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts
Player A Total Passing Yards
Brian Hoyer Over (260.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts
Player A Total Tackles + Assists
D'Qwell Jackson Under (7.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

Houston Texans At Minnesota Vikings
Player A Total Receiving Yards
DeAndre Hopkins Under (74.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions
Player A Total Pass Completions
Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

New York Jets At Pittsburgh Steelers
Player E Total Receiving Yards
Sammie Coates Over (42.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

New England Patriots At Cleveland Browns
Player B Total Rushing Yards
Isaiah Crowell Over (68.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

All H2H MIN, DEN, PHI, PIT Multi @ 3.75 x3 Stakes [colour=red] Lost 3 Stakes [/colour]

Total of 27 Stakes Wagered With 29.92 Stakes returned for a [colour=green]profit of 2.92 Stakes [/colour]!
 
Crown Bet

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears
Brian Hoyer Passing Yards Over/Under
Brian Hoyer Over 265.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
Sammie Coates Receiving Yards Over/Under
Sammie Coates Over 55.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes

Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
Tom Brady Passing Yards Over/Under
Tom Brady Over 295.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
Kiko Alonso Tackles Over/Under
Kiko Alonso Under 9.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes

Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
Pick Your Own Line
New England Patriots (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
Pick Your Own Line
Pittsburgh Steelers (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win)

San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills
Pick Your Own Line
Buffalo Bills (-17.5) @ $3.60 (Win)

Sports Bet
Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints
Player B Total Receptions
Greg Olsen Over (5.0) @ 1.87 2 Stakes

Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints
Player B Total Receiving Yards
Greg Olsen Over (70.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes

Jacksonville Jaguars At Chicago Bears
Player F Total Receiving Yards
Eddie Royal Over (39.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes

Philadelphia Eagles At Washington Redskins
Player A Total Pass Completions
Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes


American Football - Multi Bet
New England Patriots / Pittsburgh Steelers / Buffalo Bills H2H Winner - @2.02 5 stakes
 
M. Gordon anytime touchdown scorer @1.83 [colour=red]Loss 1 stake[/colour]

Crown Bet

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears
Brian Hoyer Passing Yards Over/Under
Brian Hoyer Over 265.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.76 stakes[/colour]


Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
Sammie Coates Receiving Yards Over/Under
Sammie Coates Over 55.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes[colour=grey]VOID[/colour]

Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
Tom Brady Passing Yards Over/Under
Tom Brady Over 295.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.76 stakes[/colour]

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
Kiko Alonso Tackles Over/Under
Kiko Alonso Under 9.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.76 stakes[/colour]

Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
Pick Your Own Line
New England Patriots (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win) [colour=green]Win 2.75 stakes[/colour]

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
Pick Your Own Line
Pittsburgh Steelers (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win) [colour=red]Loss 1 stake[/colour]

San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills
Pick Your Own Line
Buffalo Bills (-17.5) @ $3.60 (Win) [colour=green]Win 3.6 stakes[/colour]

Sports Bet
Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints
Player B Total Receptions
Greg Olsen Over (5.0) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.74 stakes[/colour]

Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints
Player B Total Receiving Yards
Greg Olsen Over (70.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.74 stakes[/colour]

Jacksonville Jaguars At Chicago Bears
Player F Total Receiving Yards
Eddie Royal Over (39.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.74 stakes[/colour]

Philadelphia Eagles At Washington Redskins
Player A Total Pass Completions
Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=red]Loss 2 stakes[/colour]


American Football - Multi Bet
New England Patriots / Pittsburgh Steelers / Buffalo Bills H2H Winner - @2.02 5 stakes [colour=red]Loss 5 stakes[/colour]

23 Stakes spend and 28.85 Stakes returned for a[colour=green] Profit of 5.85 Stakes[/colour]
 
Just updated the above post as Crownbet has pushed Sammie Coates for not playing instead of a loss! Without him and and injury to Big Ben, it gives Pittsburgh excuses even though it cost us 5 stakes.
 
You're doing well, keep it up!

I need to set an alarm clock, or something so I can get on :)
 
Not much I like tomorrow, I really like D. Johnson but Jet statistically haven't been giving up the yards despite Johnson Statistically hitting the overs. Giving it the miss this week, the only one that seems a bit of value for money is

New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals
To Score 2+ Touchdowns
Larry Fitzgerald @ $7.00 0.5 stakes

He has scored 2 in 40% of games this season and the Jets have been giving up most TD's to WR!
 
BuggedOut said:
You're doing well, keep it up!

I need to set an alarm clock, or something so I can get on :)
Click to expand...

Lol ya its a bit hard because they don't put up the player markets until the day before so I can't see what available and what the odds are; Then I have to cross check it against my stat sheets and review injuries I cross check it against next gen stats and then add my own analysis from what I watch. When they all fall into line that's what I like to bet!
 
Sounds good to me. Took a saver on him for Anytime TD at 2.05 as well. Might actually get to watch the game tomorrow :)
 
New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals
To Score 2+ Touchdowns
Larry Fitzgerald @ $7.00 0.5 stakes [colour=red] Loss 0.5 stake [/colour]

Should have stuck with DJ most TD's of the season with 3 in one game.

Brings us to a weekly total [colour=green]of 5.35 stakes of profit[/colour]



Tips for next week, get on early as I'm sure these lines will move.



CROWN BET

American Football
Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles
Winning Margin (Inc OT)
Minnesota Vikings Win By Over 12 Points @ $5.50 (Win) 1 stake


American Football
New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Winning Margin (Inc OT)
New England Patriots Win By Over 12 Points @ $2.76 (Win) 1 stake

Multi the above two- @15.18 - 2 stakes
 
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