Yeti Hunter
Member
But if the premiums are so high, how do you come by the numis at a good price in the first place? It strikes me as being somewhat bubbly.
Yeti Hunter said:But if the premiums are so high, how do you come by the numis at a good price in the first place? It strikes me as being somewhat bubbly.
Jonesy said:the middle part of 2010 the silver price was hovering a little below what it is today, and the Australian dollar was even lower than it is now. 1 oz Lunar Tigers at the time cost $25.00 from dealers. Quite the premium. Fast forward to today, 2013. Since then we went from around $18.00 spot up to the high 40's and back nearly to where we started from. What's a 1 oz Tiger worth right now? They are currently finishing on Ebay at $60.00 and upwards.
chrissilver said:barsenault, can you get me some kooks? You never reply to my PMs :lol:
barsenault said:chrissilver said:barsenault, can you get me some kooks? You never reply to my PMs :lol:
hmmm. I haven't received an email. Interesting. Are you sending it to [email protected]? Sure, I'd be happy to help. Try sending it there, and I'll check my spam folder. Sorry about that.
Yeti Hunter said:... Say you got a panda for $30AU in 2010, and sold it this year for, say, $60. Double your money in three years, therefore yearly ROI = 2^(1/3) = 26%. With cash averaging about 5-6% over the same timeframe, that's got "too good to be true" written all over it. I would be uncomfortable basing my stacking strategy on the assumption of strongly market-beating returns such as that continuing...
yennus said:Yeti Hunter said:... Say you got a panda for $30AU in 2010, and sold it this year for, say, $60. Double your money in three years, therefore yearly ROI = 2^(1/3) = 26%. With cash averaging about 5-6% over the same timeframe, that's got "too good to be true" written all over it. I would be uncomfortable basing my stacking strategy on the assumption of strongly market-beating returns such as that continuing...
It's been true and good since 1982... the fun might end tomorrow, but so far it is pretty much historical fact, and observable math.
With the wealth of Asia increasing, the popularity of silver increasing, and the base of collectors growing too, I don't see why the fundamentals would shift downwards. If anything, those market-beating returns are likely to get much bigger.
yennus said:Yeti Hunter said:... Say you got a panda for $30AU in 2010, and sold it this year for, say, $60. Double your money in three years, therefore yearly ROI = 2^(1/3) = 26%. With cash averaging about 5-6% over the same timeframe, that's got "too good to be true" written all over it. I would be uncomfortable basing my stacking strategy on the assumption of strongly market-beating returns such as that continuing...
It's been true and good since 1982... the fun might end tomorrow, but so far it is pretty much historical fact, and observable math.
With the wealth of Asia increasing, the popularity of silver increasing, and the base of collectors growing too, I don't see why the fundamentals would shift downwards. If anything, those market-beating returns are likely to get much bigger.
malachii said:Even in times of "apocolypse" in recent history (last couple of hundred years) you will find that "art" sells easier and for more than "blogs of precious metals". If you go back to the Asian Crisis, Argentinian currency crisis, Gulf War, Vietnam War, Zimbabwean inflation crisis, WW2, Depressions etc - any that you can thing of - you will find that "art collections" will always be more valuable and sort after than a plain blog of pm. HOWEVER - you wont get the most for it if you take it down the corner store for a carton of milk!
When the Nazis plundered Europe they didn't only collect gold and throw out all the artwork and melt down all the jewellery and coins that were "found". When Iraq was plundered and invaded the Museums were gutted - not for their precious metals but for their art, antiquities and coins.
There is always money in "scarcity" - which is where SOME limited edition coins fit in - such as Kooks, Lunars and Pandas (not sure about future Pandas with the changing of mintage numbers but previous years are good).
You can buy the current years stock (ok - not 2013 so much but when the 2014 is released you will be able to) of Kooks and Lunars for spot plus 10-15% usually if you hunt around. At worst they will follow spot - but even this I doubt (particularly Lunars as Series 2 cannot have more than 300 000 minted - it is set by Commonwealth legislation) as previous history can attest. Blobs of silver though - even Pamps or Perth Mints nice as they are - will never be worth more than spot plus about 5%.
malachii