Silver Charting and Silver TA Chat

Gunna said:
Little confused and still learning. What is the volume chart actually measuring?


Hi Gunna,

The number of contracts traded... from sellers to buyers.

Even thought, when using charting tools and fin instos charting tools, they might not be 100% accurate.

Volume is a great insight for reference...

Read below for a better explanation:


http://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/volume.asp


The number of shares or contracts traded in a security or an entire market during a given period of time. It is simply the amount of shares that trade hands from sellers to buyers as a measure of activity. If a buyer of a stock purchases 100 shares from a seller, then the volume for that period increases by 100 shares based on that transaction.


Volume is an important indicator in technical analysis as it is used to measure the worth of a market move. If the markets have made strong price move either up or down the perceived strength of that move depends on the volume for that period. The higher the volume during that price move the more significant the move.


cheers

Trader10 :)
 
Gunna said:
Little confused and still learning. What is the volume chart actually measuring?

The amount of contract that exchanged hands. The larger the volume the larger the amount of exchange.
eg the amount of exchange yesterday was HUGE, when silver break the $26. EVERYBODY was selling.
 
thatguy said:
wrcmad said:
Yeeeeeaaaaaahhhhh baby!!!!! :lol:
Been waiting for this set up to fire for about 18 months, and the wait has been well worth it!
Patience is a virtue. ;)
T/A has been totally validated yet again, the nay sayers can read it and weep.
Once completed, I will post the mechanics of the last couple of days trading.
Good work... congratulations, your posts have been most valuable as have the other contributors.

If you don't mind me asking have you closed your short positions? Are you now long? Personally I closed out a few of my short gold last night, but am still waiting on 2130. Still not game to go long even at these prices. My entry point will be when the 18DMA is pointing up.

Please keep us posted wrcmad, gonna be fun on the way up :D
Still short with multiple contracts. $23 is a key level for me. I will update tonight.
 
SS said:
I really have to fix up this mentality game.

It is sooooo obvious what will happen the moment 26 was taken out. But why do I stand aside and watch? Why don't I go short instead of waiting for $20?

There were soooo many clues where we are going, especially on the smaller time frame charts. Even more so where we finished off on Friday.

I have an order going long after friday close with 20c stop. Why didn't set up an order going short with 20c stop?

Like wise with the $23 support/resistance line.
Psychology is 90% of trading.
Once you have it sorted you will reap the rewards. :)
 
daily candle is looking fantastic for the bottom to be in... will see where it finishes though as some hours still left in the day
 
Yippe-Ki-Ya said:
so you guys reckon the price falls are explainable with tech analysis ?

:lol:

Nope.
Technical analysis doesn't try to explain. Rather take the facts (price, market forces) and use them to trade. ;)
Fundamentals tries to explain.... but from my reading of the last 18 months of this forum, it does a shyte job of that. :D
 
Trading the drop:

It has been publicised for well over a year that the $26 support was a key level, which if broken would make an excellent short trade.
Long-term support lines with constant testing like this one don't come along very often:

4088_silver2013416.jpg


Entry level (short) = 2582
Stop loss = 2612 (30 pips)
Margin required per 500oz contract = USD$189

First target was weak support at $23.
Risk:rewards = 1:7.5 (they don't come much better than this)

Exit level = 2316 (stopped out)
Profit per contract = USD$1330 = 700% in 4 days. :D

4088_silver2013164222.jpg


This trade reduced the average buy price for my physical stack by around $3 per oz.
My average buy price for the last 18 months is now well under $20 per oz, and some purchases were made in the $30's.

I have said it before, and I will say it again:

Fundamental analysis approaches the price decision-making process by attempting to determine intrinsic value using available information, extrapolated by interpretation and translation which often contains a phsycological bias (eg. to da' moon). The problem with fundamental analysis is that it assumes information is disseminated perfectly and acted on rationally. Most stackers will tell you this does not happen in real markets (eg cartel), but ironically, their investment strategy is based on these two contradictory observations.

Technical analysis approaches the price decision-making process by examining the market for the instrument itself using data such as price, volume, open interest etc. It is not concerned with the value of whatever underlies the financial instrument, but with how the forces of supply and demand are impacting upon it's price.

In short: Fundamental analysis tells us what should happen to prices, technical analysis tells us what is happening to prices.

Ignore market forces at your own peril. ;)
 
I'm not convinced of a long term bottom TG what do you like so much about yesterday's candle? The next trade setup I am really waiting for here (depending on how it gets to it) will be a short at about $25.95. First near hit of what is now mega resistance should bear fruit :)

Please no one follow me. I'm in silver, that in its self should say enough :)
 
upandaway said:
I'm not convinced of a long term bottom TG what do you like so much about yesterday's candle? The next trade setup I am really waiting for here (depending on how it gets to it) will be a short at about $25.95. First near hit of what is now mega resistance should bear fruit :)
I will be watching this too.
Note the 30min chart above shows MACD divergence - indicating a good chance of an upward retracement from the $23 level.
 
The bigger picture, from my point of view :)

silvermonthly20130417.png



We are being protected by very long term .618 retracement at $20.00~$21.50 (it is also a long-term previous high). There is also a support at the bottom of the upward channel.

This is why I see much more upside than downside from here on in.
 
upandaway said:
I'm not convinced of a long term bottom TG what do you like so much about yesterday's candle? The next trade setup I am really waiting for here (depending on how it gets to it) will be a short at about $25.95. First near hit of what is now mega resistance should bear fruit :)

Please no one follow me. I'm in silver, that in its self should say enough :)
Here's what I mean... Bit of a hammer
1021_tail.jpg

we will test the lows again I think... if not actually get to 21.30ish
 
thatguy said:
we will test the lows again I think... if not actually get to 21.30ish
Agree. It wouldn't surprise me at all if it reached the $20 support.
I haven't bought yet during this dip.... I just have this gut feel.....
 
I saw some get sold out on that tail stop loss harvest.
I couldn't play the paper myself, though charting is interesting.
I am a simpleton. Seven sigma moves, c'mon.
Once the margin calls are over you might as well throw darts for the next three months.
 
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