Phransisku said:
Topherclaus said:
It has been suggested for a while that industry may start to worry about their supply as investor interest grows and current mining stock shrinking, so they may make some sizable purchases just to guarantee stocks for their products.
Base metal production and therefore silver have taken a big dive, while investor demand is on track for its largest year ever. Sounds like a reasonable call for industry to make.
Also it could be as simple as Brexit spooking investors and some bigger players parking funds in something looking a bit more stable.
Just some thoughts...
Thank you for your thoughts.
However, I'm not sure if those sizable purchases you talk about are in fact reasonable calls for the industry to make. It is true that investor interest has been growing but:
1 - On the demand side: It is specially strong when prices are lower. I'm not sure what will happen to investor demand if prices continue to grow.
2 - On the supply side: Investors may become a significant source of supply too. As prices rise, more and more people (who are into silver for quite some time) may find the metal to be finally in their profitable range. And those investors may want to sell their positions.
2-On the other hand a Metal bug who bought physical four or five years ago and is still sitting after that amount of time is not about to sell now when they know prices are on the rise, especially in the current uncertain climate. I personally know quite a few who will not sell below $50-60.
1- On the demand side, Supply has been decimated over the last five years, mines have closed , been placed on maintenance or gone under. The paper amount on the supply side is not a true representation of reality, it is a figment, a pseudo supply, A LIE. Paper investors are physically unable to become a source of supply as their ounces of silver do not actually exist in reality.
If supply was constant, plentiful, available, the price would be constant and stable in line with availability and industry would not be needing to secure future supply at an elevated price. The Investors would not be buying unless they expect a price rise, and the weak hands of the metal bug's have long since sold out.
The paper Silver (and Gold) has always been many multiples of the actual physical supply, it would only ever take a single month of total delivery demanded to stand for the whole house of cards to come tumbling down, as the total amount on promise at any one time comes nowhere near the reality of what can be produced physically.
The traders know this, the paper holders know this, the institutions know this, Industry knows this, The stupid dumb fuck sheeple are still unaware to this day though.
The traders get a higher price for their paper, the institutions are willing to pay it so they do not have to deliver or default (although there is very little difference), and the stackers keep on stacking because they know that one day, reality will catch up with the previous two equations.