How long he can do it will be the question to answer.
I would say as long as other countries can artificially support their currencies.
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How long he can do it will be the question to answer.
The rouble is artificially supported right now because European countries are forced to open accounts with Russian banks to buy roubles in order to satisfy Putin’s demand for all energy purchases to be made in that currency. Putin is able to pull this off for a while because the rouble is a relatively tiny currency and it can therefore be manipulated heavily because it has so little mass and inertia. It’s a balloon that is easy to inflate temporarily by manipulation. How long he can do it will be the question to answer.
Russia's wheat/potash/fertiliser shipments in April are on track to triple on the year and are well above the previous five-year average, according to line-up data and global trade data.
you think so? I'd stack a few Rubles along side my small stack of US$ no problems. Gold, Silver and pebbles (gems) for good measure as insurance for whatever rocky times might be ahead for us all collectively. Perhaps a small grainery of wheat wouldn't go astray so long as their is no "sanction" on keeping your own wheat along with water and home produce.Star collecting rubbles, pebbles, seashells, rocks... they have intrinsic value!
Russia and the rouble appear to be doing fine but that's in many ways only an appearance. The sanctions are hurting the country very badly in non-obvious ways. An example: Putin changed the aviation laws and regulations at the beginning of this conflict to firstly allow Russian airlines to default on their lease obligations and to therefore take possession of Airbus and Boeing aircraft that are effectively stolen property. He also allowed the aircraft to have their airworthiness certificates re-issued by Russia, effectively making them Russian owned and certified.
The problem with that is that it means that those aircraft can henceforth only be flown domestically within Russian airspace. Boeing and Airbus have cut off support for these aircraft in terms of supplying parts and maintenance. Every part in an Airbus passenger jet is serialised and has a service life. If Airbus supplied and logged parts are not installed at the correct maintenance intervals then the aircraft is then deemed by the manufacturer as not airworthy and that the chain of inspection and maintenance is broken. The manufacturer knows that the aircraft is being flown without correct maintenance and parts and has no idea what parts are now a part of that aircraft or where they were scavenged from and as a result the value of that aircraft falls to its scrap value. It's effectively a write-off as its maintenance and safety confidence chain is broken. If it is flown out of Russia and landed anywhere else in the world it will immediately be grounded, classified as not safe and not airworthy and not allowed to be flown.
There are endless industrial components that Russia cannot make domestically for their foreign sourced industrial equipment. Gas turbine parts, power station components, chemical compounds, sensors, coatings, and on and on. They can get some of them from China via the black market but nothing like what they need to keep their industry running.
It works both ways to some degree, other countries are dependant on some Russian manufactured aerospace and industrial components too but Russia is in a bad place here.
If the Millartary complex can drive US economy during down times,
Overblown, Iran had Boeing and Airbus planes running for a decade after being cut off. The number of extra planes Russia have seized cant see any issue with spare parts for two decade.
Until they land one in any country outside Russia....
Russia and the rouble appear to be doing fine but that's in many ways only an appearance. The sanctions are hurting the country very badly in non-obvious ways. An example: Putin changed the aviation laws and regulations at the beginning of this conflict to firstly allow Russian airlines to default on their lease obligations and to therefore take possession of Airbus and Boeing aircraft that are effectively stolen property. He also allowed the aircraft to have their airworthiness certificates re-issued by Russia, effectively making them Russian owned and certified.
The problem with that is that it means that those aircraft can henceforth only be flown domestically within Russian airspace. Boeing and Airbus have cut off support for these aircraft in terms of supplying parts and maintenance. Every part in an Airbus passenger jet is serialised and has a service life. If Airbus supplied and logged parts are not installed at the correct maintenance intervals then the aircraft is then deemed by the manufacturer as not airworthy and that the chain of inspection and maintenance is broken. The manufacturer knows that the aircraft is being flown without correct maintenance and parts and has no idea what parts are now a part of that aircraft or where they were scavenged from and as a result the value of that aircraft falls to its scrap value. It's effectively a write-off as its maintenance and safety confidence chain is broken. If it is flown out of Russia and landed anywhere else in the world it will immediately be grounded, classified as not safe and not airworthy and not allowed to be flown.
There are endless industrial components that Russia cannot make domestically for their foreign sourced industrial equipment. Gas turbine parts, power station components, chemical compounds, sensors, coatings, and on and on. They can get some of them from China via the black market but nothing like what they need to keep their industry running.
It works both ways to some degree, other countries are dependant on some Russian manufactured aerospace and industrial components too but Russia is in a bad place here.
you think so? I'd stack a few Rubles along side my small stack of US$ no problems. Gold, Silver and pebbles (gems) for good measure as insurance for whatever rocky times might be ahead for us all collectively. Perhaps a small grainery of wheat wouldn't go astray so long as their is no "sanction" on keeping your own wheat along with water and home produce.https://www.rt.com/business/557627-brics-developing-global-reserve-currency/
I bet Airbus and Boeing purposely make aircraft parts expire after a time period (just like HP does with printer parts).
I think they will proceed to "cannibalize" some aircraft for parts, but I bet most of these planes can fly for 10+ years without any major issues. The Russians aren't as low tech as the Iranians, so they can better reverse-engineer or combine parts made by their own manufacturers (Sukhoi produces a number of modern passenger jets, so I think they can do at least part of the maintenance for Airbus and Boeing). Besides, this will help their internal jet industry. Especially if they start selling planes to China, Iran and other "axis of evil" countries.
They have huge distances within their country, plenty of pilots and now with the stronger rouble they can finance their domestic airlines by buying CHEAPER internally produced fuel. But they can't fly to the west. Also due to Europe becoming a "no fly zone" for Russian airlines and air traffic overall.
What's bad is that now European planes have to fly to Asia via the already agglomerated flight paths in the south/Middle East (Turkey, Iran, the Arab countries) and that's yet another "hot zone" where conflicts can erupt at any times (just a few years ago I was flying in the area, when airplanes started avoiding Iran and Iraq. Now with the Saudi and Caucasian conflicts and, Turkey also "heating up" with Syria, there will be no other option to operate to Asia. Besides flying via African countries.
I think Russia will simply team up with China an produce their own jets. This is an opportunity to them. Also fighter jets. Both countries will see this as a necessity now that the west is trying to isolate them both. Iran, North Korea or Cuba can be isolated from external technology, but attempting to do this with China and Russia? Oh, come on! They will team up.
China can simply supply Russia with all that they need in terms of technology (chips... not poker chips and not potato chipsmicroelectronics etc.). And there must be millions of Chinese students, specialists with foreign experience/studies made in the west (EU, USA, Canada) who "stole" technology and know how. For a little gas and political support from Russia, they will hand these over to them.
China reverse-engineered a bunch of helicopters and jets, some of the technology was STOLEN from US factories.