Purchase before or after US election?

N

Neoag

New Member
Hi all,

I get a bonus at Christmas every year and want to get some more silver to my stack.

I do have some money in a savings account that I could use at the end of oct and replace it with my bonus.

What's everyone's prediction will it jump sky high or drop like a stone?

All thoughts are welcome
 
Do you expect war or economic collapse on the day?
I think gold and silver will move according to what other factors in the market.
 
I am buying before.

My personal opinion is that Clinton is likely to bring war and Trump is likely to bring economic shock.
 
BuggedOut said:
I am buying before.

My personal opinion is that Clinton is likely to bring war and Trump is likely to bring economic shock.
Click to expand...
Just an FYI

American go to vote late November and a new president elect is decided.

The president elect doe not become president for a full 2 months. Its their constitution, unlike Australia which by tradition is usually the few days after the winner decided.
 
OK, so there is also greater chance that when the new President is elected, people usually have some confident in him/her so the Stock & bond market will be bullish, hence depreciating Gold & Silver slowly.

Correct me if I'm wrong :-|

Plus, the pattern from last year bearish, will not be repeated again I believe.
 
My impression is that Clinton is the wall st candidate, so whatever else the markets are doing, Trump equals uncertainty
 
fidgitha said:
My impression is that Clinton is the wall st candidate, so whatever else the markets are doing, Trump equals uncertainty
Click to expand...

:cool: do you mean the Establishment (Rockefeller & the Illuminati groups).

If that's the case then yes, I believe that Donald Trump will become the US president next year.
 
Ipv6Ready said:
BuggedOut said:
I am buying before.

My personal opinion is that Clinton is likely to bring war and Trump is likely to bring economic shock.
Click to expand...
Just an FYI

American go to vote late November and a new president elect is decided.

The president elect doe not become president for a full 2 months. Its their constitution, unlike Australia which by tradition is usually the few days after the winner decided.
Click to expand...

Yes, I am aware of that. Thanks.

If Clinton wins I don't expect war to break out immediately. Most likely some time in 2017-18 (after inauguration) once she's rattled the Russia and/or China and/or Iran cage a bit more.

Trump, on the other hand, represents a loss of control for the establishment and potentially a loss of confidence in the financial ponzi. So the economic shock could easily occur before he even takes office.

I also think there is a high probability that Trump would face assassination before election/inauguration and that could also create an economic shock before January.
 
The stock market and housing markets are at all time highs, and both candidates bring their own instability to the mix, so odds would have to be there will be some economic system correction after the election. That usually bodes well for metals.
So yeah, I'd buy before. Not guaranteed, but better odds I think.
 
fidgitha said:
..the "correction" could come before the election if there's a strong movement in polling towards Trump
Click to expand...

I'm expecting the central banks to pull all stops to make sure this doesn't happen before the election.

Any financial shock between now and November will deliver the election to Trump.

Aside - Considering the current whispers about a rate rise at Sept FOMC that are suppressing prices, the best day to buy may well be Sept 20 if you're inclined (like me) to call the Feds bluff. DYOR.
 
BuggedOut said:
fidgitha said:
..the "correction" could come before the election if there's a strong movement in polling towards Trump
Click to expand...

I'm expecting the central banks to pull all stops to make sure this doesn't happen before the election.

Any financial shock between now and November will deliver the election to Trump.

Aside - Considering the current whispers about a rate rise at Sept FOMC that are suppressing prices, the best day to buy may well be Sept 20 if you're inclined (like me) to call the Feds bluff. DYOR.
Click to expand...

Bug,

I've read from this news source: http://www.sharecafe.com.au/sharecafe.asp?a=AV&ai=41094 it says that the Feds is planning to raise sometimes this year.

I guess that's their tactics to confuse :rolleyes: people like me who trades based on small hard earned money (non-day trader), while Professional trader / investor like you is started to buy before the US election date.
 
BuggedOut said:
Ipv6Ready said:
BuggedOut said:
I am buying before.

My personal opinion is that Clinton is likely to bring war and Trump is likely to bring economic shock.
Click to expand...
Just an FYI

American go to vote late November and a new president elect is decided.

The president elect doe not become president for a full 2 months. Its their constitution, unlike Australia which by tradition is usually the few days after the winner decided.
Click to expand...

Yes, I am aware of that. Thanks.

If Clinton wins I don't expect war to break out immediately. Most likely some time in 2017-18 (after inauguration) once she's rattled the Russia and/or China and/or Iran cage a bit more.

Trump, on the other hand, represents a loss of control for the establishment and potentially a loss of confidence in the financial ponzi. So the economic shock could easily occur before he even takes office.

I also think there is a high probability that Trump would face assassination before election/inauguration and that could also create an economic shock before January.
Click to expand...

I don't think there is that much to worry about in the business front. End of the day Trump is better connected to the banker than Clinton ever will be.

Ian planning buying few shares in his companies if they are public.
 
I wouldn't call myself a professional. More like a perpetual student :)

Consensus view is that the Fed will raise rates some time this year. Many commentaries will frequently update the % likelihood that the market thinks (bets) a raise is going to occur at each FOMC. Chance of a Sept rate rise is currently running at around 20-25% but my opinion is that we are more likely to see them hold off until after the election and raise rates in December.

Then if the market has a palpitation (like it did last December when they raised) then it won't disrupt the election chances of Hillary.
 
Ah I see,

Your analysis does make sense Mr. Bug.

When looking at the experts predictions in majority, they seems to predict that Gold is keep on increasing from this month as per below analysis:

Short term:
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Long Term:
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I have been buying now, I foresee Trump being elected but I beleive all hell will break loose regardless. Just my opinion based on what I see, don't take my advice though.
 
I personaly believe a small market hiccup during the election will be good for trump, he can come out and say, I will show you what to do ..,

That is solely based on the fact trump knows what big business requires and will facilitate big end of town.
He might say this or that but end of the day he knows how much of his business and such are run by Mexicans and how much his business can handle in interest rates etc.

He is not going to ruin or jeoperdise billions of his money.

That's why I think if Hillary gets in the monetary policy will be steady as she goes, but if trump gets in it will be very much pro big business.
 
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