Director said:
Pirocco,
"And I hold. No sell high buy back in low for me. That's just risking a second error. From 2009 till early 2011 the Comex side held 2 full years a 50K position. One that wanted to purchase silver should thus have waited 2 years. That's a risky story in a banking environment where they may decide to let the depositors pay a part ofbank bailouts. Imagine you had 200K on a bank account and you lose 100K due to such joke, that's like purchasing silver at a doubled price."
Can you parse that out for me a bit more? I am aware that they are planning to pinch our deposits a-la Cyprus in the next couple of years or so and so have just today started my PM stash. I assume you are saying that such a move by the government/banks would be good for PM prices?
Cheers
There is little to parse. It't already 'parsed'.
Speculating is all about weighting risks against eachother.
History proves that bank deposits devalued relative to alot things, especially houses. A house is about the biggest purchase most of us do in their life. So it matters.
If the house market collapses, the debt club collapses too. The banks that hold the savers deposits, are the core of the debt club. Bank deposits go with banks. Something to not forget.
So I swapped bank deposit for silver, but if I paid twice the price I should, then it comes down to the same loss as a 100,000 out of 200,000 bank deposit 'guarantee' loss.
Such a move by governments/banks is never good. It only benefits thieves. So I'm not hoping for such a move. PM prices should go up with inflation, as to undo it. That was/is my goal. But so far, 5 years later, that inflation still didnt arrive. And everybody that purchased pm's in 2011 en 2012, saw much cheaper pm's since.
That't how I look at this. I'm not hoping for economical collapses / bank bankruptcies and so on in the hope to see higher pm prices due to it. I even consider that a sick expectation. Hoping for disaster in order to benefit from it on other peoples back. No thanks.
My goal with pms is to hold the purchasing power I had when I earnt the fiat, better than what a bank account has been and very likely will be further. But it's harder than just saving on a bank account. Much harder. Monitoring/logging data everyday in order to find out a next price to target, is harder than just let the fiat accumulate. And with all this frontrunning on the pm market, by people that only buy to dump some months later, the work isn't avoidable. But I decided to give the being-speculator a try. It's possible that I end up having done better without, but if I continually improve my purchase moments, and keep on buying silver or other stuff then, then I can only move towards the succesful hedge side.