NRL Punting Thread

BuggedOut said:
Game 10 - Brisbane vs Warriors

Brisbane Under 25.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.87
Warriors 1st To 10 Points : 1.5 units @ 2.65
Warriors Try 1st Scoring Play : 1.5 units @ 2.75
Brisbane 1-12 Winning Margin : 1 unit @ 3.38
Warriors / Brisbane Halftime / Fulltime Double : 1 unit @ 7.75
Brisbane Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 13.00
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Not sure if you got the text from sportsbet but Brisbane 1-12 Winning margin moved to 4.5 in a mega bet special.

Also I know your tryscores haven't been doing to good but interested to see how you would split the betting units on:
Anytime tryscorer
Corey Oates @ 1.67
Kahu @1.91
Gillet @3.60
Johnson@3

First Hometeam tryscorer
Oates @5
Kahu @6
Gillet @12
 
Unfortunately I can't bet with Sportsbet because they kill off or limit winning accounts. But I'd take some of that Brisbane 1-12 at 4.50 if I could.

Wouldn't touch the anytime try scorers market for this game because I am leaning towards Unders and not expecting a lot of tries. For 1st Brisbane Tryscorer I like Oates as he's a good Tryscorer and has good form. I also do like Gillet at that price against the right sort of opponent, but not against the Warriors. I'm hoping for Warriors to return to playing a "power game" which would mean Brisbane might be more likely to go around them, than through them so I'd want to be on numbers 1 to 5.
 
BuggedOut said:
Unfortunately I can't bet with Sportsbet because they kill off or limit winning accounts. But I'd take some of that Brisbane 1-12 at 4.50 if I could.

Wouldn't touch the anytime try scorers market for this game because I am leaning towards Unders and not expecting a lot of tries. For 1st Brisbane Tryscorer I like Oates as he's a good Tryscorer and has good form. I also do like Gillet at that price against the right sort of opponent, but not against the Warriors. I'm hoping for Warriors to return to playing a "power game" which would mean Brisbane might be more likely to go around them, than through them so I'd want to be on numbers 1 to 5.
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That's terrible, about sportsbet. I didn't know they were allowed to pick and choose who they accept bets from. I only like them because of the cashout feature; I like some of the bitcoin betting sites because of the live online betting options. Thanks for the tip, and best of luck; will be following the tread closely!
 
Game 10 Results :-

Brisbane Under 25.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.87 = +2.61
Warriors 1st To 10 Points : 1.5 units @ 2.65 = -1.5
Warriors Try 1st Scoring Play : 1.5 units @ 2.75 = -1.5
Brisbane 1-12 Winning Margin : 1 unit @ 3.38 = -1
Warriors / Brisbane Halftime / Fulltime Double : 1 unit @ 7.75 = -1
Brisbane Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 13.00 = +6

Game 10 Total = +3.61 units

Always infuriating backing the Warriors. Seems I am getting the analysis right but the betting plans wrong at the moment. Should've taken my own advice and backed Corey Oates for 1st Tryscorer :p
 
Game 11 - Canberra vs Roosters

Roosters Win Match : 3 units @ 2.05
Roosters / Roosters Halftime / Fulltime Double : 2 units @ 3.00
Roosters 13+ Winning Margin : 2 units @ 4.75
 
I had the warriors for that game at 1-12 lead... Thought might be upset.

I dont think the Bunnies will smash Newcastle by to much (though I hope we do) another at 1-12 win, On obvious odds it's generally the market I would look at

Roosters to not make 8

Bulldogs, Bunnies, Storm and Broncos top 4 maybe Penrith as a darky
 
Game 11 - Souths vs Newcastle

Souths Over 12.5 Points 2nd Half : 3 units @ 2.18
Souths -29.5 Handicap : 2 units @ 7.45
Over 43.5 Total Match Points : 2 units @ 1.97
Alex Johnson To Score A Try : 2 units @ 1.70
 
Game 12 - Parramatta vs Cowboys

Parramatta +1.5 Handicap 1st Half : 2 units @ 2.00
Parramatta Try 1st Scoring Play : 1.5 units @ 2.25
Parramatta / Cowboys Halftime / Fulltime Double : 1.5 units @ 8.60
 
BuggedOut said:
Game 11 - Souths vs Newcastle

Souths Over 12.5 Points 2nd Half : 3 units @ 2.18
Souths -29.5 Handicap : 2 units @ 7.45
Over 43.5 Total Match Points : 2 units @ 1.97
Alex Johnson To Score A Try : 2 units @ 1.70
Click to expand...

Too good mate. Well done.
 
Game 11 Results :-

Roosters Win Match : 3 units @ 2.05 = -3
Roosters / Roosters Halftime / Fulltime Double : 2 units @ 3.00 = -2
Roosters 13+ Winning Margin : 2 units @ 4.75 = -2

Game 11 Total = -7 units

Ouch. Roosters lead by 10 at half time and are in front all game....until the end. Poor game management from the inexperienced Rooster halves cost me a good payout here. It's a fine line between pleasure and pain.... :mad:


Game 12 Results :-

Souths Over 12.5 Points 2nd Half : 3 units @ 2.18 = +3.54
Souths -29.5 Handicap : 2 units @ 7.45 = +12.9
Over 43.5 Total Match Points : 2 units @ 1.97 = +1.94
Alex Johnson To Score A Try : 2 units @ 1.70 = +1.4

Game 12 Total = +19.78 units

Cha-ching! Good to see an all-green result sheet after the pain of the Roosters game. Love a good scoreline blowout and the Bunnies are doing well for me so far this year. :cool:


Game 13 Results :-

Parramatta +1.5 Handicap 1st Half : 2 units @ 2.00 = +2
Parramatta Try 1st Scoring Play : 1.5 units @ 2.25 = -1.5
Parramatta / Cowboys Halftime / Fulltime Double : 1.5 units @ 8.60 = -1.5

Game 13 Total = -1 unit

Gritty and determined effort from Parra - they will win a lot of games this year if their top 17 stay injury free. Cowboys had the flat performance I was expecting to see last week. :|
 
Game 14 - Sharks vs Dragons

Sharks Win Match : 2 units @ 1.60
Under 18.5 Points 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.90
Sharks 1-12 Winning Margin : 1.5 units @ 3.10
Josh Dugan 1st Tryscorer Dragons : 1 unit @ 6.00
Halftime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 10.50
Ben Barba Last Tryscorer : 0.5 unit @ 16.00
 
Game 15 - Storm vs Titans

Titans +6.5 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.85
Titans Try 1st Scoring Play : 1.5 units @ 3.00
Titans 1st to 10 Points : 1.5 units @ 3.00
Storm 1-12 Winning Margin : 1.5 units @ 3.28
Halftime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 11.00
 
Game 14 Results :-

Sharks Win Match : 2 units @ 1.60 = +1.2
Under 18.5 Points 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.90 = -2
Sharks 1-12 Winning Margin : 1.5 units @ 3.10 = -1.5
Josh Dugan 1st Tryscorer Dragons : 1 unit @ 6.00 = -1
Halftime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 10.50 = -0.5
Ben Barba Last Tryscorer : 0.5 unit @ 16.00 = -0.5

Game 14 Total = -4.3 units

I really should have done better here considering a tagged Sharks as specials last week. Was sitting pretty with scores tied at 2-2 after 33 mins...then Dragons let in 3 tries in 7 mins to kill my unders by 1 conversion.


Game 15 Results :-

Titans +6.5 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.85 = -2
Titans Try 1st Scoring Play : 1.5 units @ 3.00 = -1.5
Titans 1st to 10 Points : 1.5 units @ 3.00 = +3
Storm 1-12 Winning Margin : 1.5 units @ 3.28 = -1.5
Halftime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 11.00 = -0.5

Game 15 Total = -2.5 units

Arghh! 2 games in a row I am looking good and get done just before half time. Titans up 10-6 after 36 mins and let in 2 tries in 3 mins to blow my 1st half handicap by 1 conversion.

No excuses. Just a sh1tty day. Think I might need a drink tonite! :mad:
 
BuggedOut said:
Arghh! 2 games in a row I am looking good and get done just before half time. Titans up 10-6 after 36 mins and let in 2 tries in 3 mins to blow my 1st half handicap by 1 conversion.

No excuses. Just a sh1tty day. Think I might need a drink tonite! :mad:
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You just got done in the last minutes before the half time...i feel for you! This week is pretty solid for you. :D
 
Have that drink, you deserve it.

Nice round. You're all over it.

Cards don't always fall in favour but there's no question you have solid understanding of the game.

Have taken 2 of your recommendations that matched mine and although you've been more bullish in your assessment (than my prediction) you've nailed it.

Keep up the good work mate and keep posting. Thanks.
 
Appreciate the kind words.

Will bounce back tomorrow. A bit excited to see how Marty Taupau goes tomorrow night.
 
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