Yesterday someone asked me "Where do you think the price is going now"?
I replied that I expected a quick rebound to 37.5 (or the 50 DMA as it moves up), then perhaps a struggle until next Wednesday (at the latest), then a renewed strong up-move to beyond the USD $50 mark.
Well, we saw a rebound to the 37.8 zone last night, and this level has consolidated throughout the day. Tonight's action will be very instructive. There is very little blood left in the "long" boat now, so we will probably see a small amount of volatility early in the evening followed by some overall price growth.
However, if we DO see any significant price attacks mounted tonight, then that will strongly suggest that JPM want to hold this level for a while longer - so we may be forced to hang around the 37-39 zone until later this week. Even if a major price attack is attempted tonight it won't do too much damage perhaps a couple of dollars followed by a nice bounce. (The 50-day moving average is close enough to lend support now that silver has been so wildly oversold.)
I doubt that JPM will try much tonight. Their favourite game is to pump the price in the medium term then drop it sharply - as we have just seen. This reduces the flow of silver to new entrants but doesn't touch you if you have silver coins performing antimicrobial duties in your sock drawer.
If we happen to get a strong up move again tonight, this will suggest that JPM are going to let the price run up again to tempt new participants into the market. Knowing JPM though, they will probably resist a strong move and allow the price to very gradually edge up over a few days.
People who are predicting a second major sell off this week are whistling in the wind. The pressure is now very much to the UPSIDE, and there is a growing chance of an upside explosion happening soon. Certainly we will be treated to some very strong growth days in the weeks ahead. James Turk expects to hit $50 within a matter of weeks. My own estimate says 7-8 weeks or less. Interesting times ahead.
Now, if you are waiting for 'another' pull back before you buy then frankly, I absolutely despair for you!! The silver boat went full retard, blew away two months of very strong growth, flew though a magical time warp back to Valentine's day prices, reversed up to the dock, lowered the ramps and blew the horn ten times to get your attention - then gave you a whole weekend to "get some argentum". Anyone now caught asking for 'just a few more days' around here will soon be taking a long walk off a very short plank!
Watching JPM is a bit like watching Wile E Coyote's never ending tricks. They are always coming up with something new(ish) - but you just KNOW it's all going to go very badly for them in the end!
Will we miss them when they're gone?
SPOT USD: $37.89 and rising