errol43 said:
Thanks for this post...I may be missing a few days as I rekover.ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ
Be bak maybe at de weekeend
Comand of de SS be all yours till den.
AK ER 43
Aye AK Errol43,
Tis good that ye take some well-earned shore leave while the rest of us continue our preparations for the big move northwards.
We won't leave port without ye!
Crew,
I think this might be a good point to drop the golden anchor.
From the chart below we can see some good support at the USD $31 level. (Silver only 'fell' (or was shoved!) below that line during the December violation when trading volumes were ultra light.)
Admiral James Turk sees a one-year flag formation in the chart (see 'his' green lines below drawn from memory so only approximate), whereas I tend to see a pennant (see my purple lines).
The only real difference is the timing of the resulting up-move. Both charts resolve themselves into dramatic up-moves.
(Generally the more 'often' your trend line touches the price line the 'stronger' the indicator. Jim's 'flag' baseline touches at two points, whilst my pennant baseline hits three. We might have to get an umpire call from Mr Retarded Monkey as to which one is actually best.)
My only concern with Jim's 'flag' is that it 'suggests' a whole lot of possible downside right now, whereas I can only see strong support at the $31 level, and don't expect much downside from here.
Furthermore, if you bring my Pennant baseline UP (moving it UP from the $26 triple bottom level) to the current $31 support area, the resulting (smaller) pennant suggests we might have to only wait another 3-4 months for the pattern to fully complete.
Of course, we might get a breakout before then but let's not get TOO bullish!
No guarantees though! Just what I seeing today over a mug of Edna's Gunpowder tea.
(Why, oh why didn't Blythe take after her nice mum and just open a small cafe somewhere selling rock scones and good tea? OK, the scones might kill a few customers but overall the world would be a much better place...)
Sigh! Every day brings more bad news for the USD... it's all just a matter of time.
(Twenty One Gun salute as AK Errol43 steps ashore!)
SPOT : USD $31.50