First some definitions to get you on the page:
Here's the thing. If the RMBS market is the strongest it has ever been, why in the world does the RBA need to buy self-securitised mortgages from the banks? Can't banks just sell all their mortgage risk onto SPVs and through to institutional investors? Apparently not, and why? Because investors don't want to buy impaired, unrateable mortgages, they only want the good stuff.
So what happens to the "bad" mortgages if the banks can't repackage and sell them? They silently accrue on the banks balance sheet raising their weighted risk profile, impacting their reserve ratios and increasing their capital requirements. So, if they keep accruing they would ultimately reduce the banks lending ability, reducing the availability of credit and bring the whole housing Ponzi crashing down.
So what do they do? Change the rules, of course. They allow banks to "self-securitise" their unrateable and otherwise unsaleable mortgages and offload them to the RBA, which is set to establish a $300B, new, so called Committed Liquidity Facility in 2015 to "insure" this toxic RMBS paper that the banks need to offload.
So, here are a few questions:
1) Where does the $300B come from if not printed out of thin air?;
2) What happens to the losses associated with the already $200B of self-securitised RMBS packages ALREADY with the RBA? and
3) Just where did that $8.5B of Smokin' Joe Hockium go, if not to make good the losses already realised on the $200B worth of toxic RMBS at the RBA?
Some context:
I could be wrong, but I think this housing Ponzi has come to consume the entire economy as there is no alternative to Real Estate for conservative investors seeking yield and the government, RBA and Banks are all colluding together to ensure it doesn't crash in a heap.
In short, I reckon the RBA, as the RMBS buyer of last resort, is / will be monetising the sub-prime mortgage losses of the banks to ensure they can keep writing mortgages.
By the way, I did some analysis of the meaning of that $200B of toxic RMBS sitting at the RBA:
Does that mean that 4.21% of Australians are currently living in a house financed by the RBA?
Is that the new role of the central bank under the Libs? To support unsustainable house prices by financing and insuring the toxic mortgages of the banks so the banks can keep lending with impunity ... by monetising those toxic mortgages?
Self-securitisation
Internal securitisation, also referred to as self-securitisation, is a process in which an originator sells a pool of assets to a related special purpose vehicle (SPV), and the SPV in turn issues debt securities, which are held entirely by the originator. These securities are eligible for use as collateral in repurchase agreements (repos) with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
Source: ABS
Repurchase Agreement (Repo)
A repurchase agreement, also known as a Repo, RP, or sale and repurchase agreement, is a transaction involving the sale of securities together with a simultaneous agreement for the seller to buy back the securities at a future date at an agreed price. The repurchase price, which includes interest, will be greater than the original sale price.
Source: AFMA (PDF)
The RBA creates a $300B Committed Liquidity Facility
The CLF will enable participating ADIs to access a pre-specified amount of liquidity by entering into repurchase agreements of eligible securities outside the Reserve Bank's normal market operations
In addition, for the purposes of the CLF, the Reserve Bank will allow ADIs to present certain related-party assets issued by bankruptcy remote vehicles, such as self-securitised residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). This reflects a desire from a systemic risk perspective to avoid promoting excessive cross-holdings of bank-issued instruments.
Source: RBA
RMBS Market Status Update (September 2013)
In its semi-annual financial stability review, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) said conditions in the RMBS market remained stronger than in previous years. "Spreads are currently around their lowest level since the beginning of the financial crisis in 2007."
Smaller institutions have accounted for over two-thirds of the $10 billion RMBS issuance in the last six months, reflecting their less ready access to bond markets than the major banks.When discussing the banking sector's liquidity the RBA noted that the banks' holdings of self-securitised RMBS have risen "substantially" in recent years and now account for more than $200 billion, or eight per cent, of their Australian dollar domestic assets.
"APRA, in consultation with the Reserve Bank, is currently considering the appropriate composition of banks' portfolios of Committed Liquidity Facility-eligible securities, including the amount of self-securitised RMBS and securities issued by other banks."
Source: AB+F (Australian Banking and Finance)
Here's the thing. If the RMBS market is the strongest it has ever been, why in the world does the RBA need to buy self-securitised mortgages from the banks? Can't banks just sell all their mortgage risk onto SPVs and through to institutional investors? Apparently not, and why? Because investors don't want to buy impaired, unrateable mortgages, they only want the good stuff.
So what happens to the "bad" mortgages if the banks can't repackage and sell them? They silently accrue on the banks balance sheet raising their weighted risk profile, impacting their reserve ratios and increasing their capital requirements. So, if they keep accruing they would ultimately reduce the banks lending ability, reducing the availability of credit and bring the whole housing Ponzi crashing down.
So what do they do? Change the rules, of course. They allow banks to "self-securitise" their unrateable and otherwise unsaleable mortgages and offload them to the RBA, which is set to establish a $300B, new, so called Committed Liquidity Facility in 2015 to "insure" this toxic RMBS paper that the banks need to offload.
So, here are a few questions:
1) Where does the $300B come from if not printed out of thin air?;
2) What happens to the losses associated with the already $200B of self-securitised RMBS packages ALREADY with the RBA? and
3) Just where did that $8.5B of Smokin' Joe Hockium go, if not to make good the losses already realised on the $200B worth of toxic RMBS at the RBA?
Some context:
Housing Loan Defaults Rise
QBE's mortgage insurance arm was hit by a sharp rise in claims last year, as the weakening economy caused a growing number of borrowers to default on their home loans.
Source: Sydney Morning Herald
I could be wrong, but I think this housing Ponzi has come to consume the entire economy as there is no alternative to Real Estate for conservative investors seeking yield and the government, RBA and Banks are all colluding together to ensure it doesn't crash in a heap.
In short, I reckon the RBA, as the RMBS buyer of last resort, is / will be monetising the sub-prime mortgage losses of the banks to ensure they can keep writing mortgages.
By the way, I did some analysis of the meaning of that $200B of toxic RMBS sitting at the RBA:
$200B in toxic RMBS instruments equates to 408,163 homes at a median capital city house price of $490,000. With an average of 2.4 people per household, that is 979,591 people living under an RBA owned mortgage, or 4.21% of the total Australian population of 23.286M.
Does that mean that 4.21% of Australians are currently living in a house financed by the RBA?
Is that the new role of the central bank under the Libs? To support unsustainable house prices by financing and insuring the toxic mortgages of the banks so the banks can keep lending with impunity ... by monetising those toxic mortgages?