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ZHIndia is now considering leasing out the 200 tonnes of gold it bought from the International Monetary Fund in 2009.
For India, this may be the nuclear option: its central bank, starved for dollars, is considering every initiative to procure short-term dollar liquidity to fund massive USD-denominated investor withdrawals out of the country, which as hammering the Indian Rupee, and which if unmet, threatens the entire financial system in the country.
Indeed, as the HBL reports that the gold will be leased in the international market for dollars so as to shore up the sagging rupee, which plunged below Rs 64 against the US dollar in Tuesday's trade. A final decision may be taken next month, Finance Ministry sources said.
The move can fetch around $23 billion, David Gornall, Chairman of the London Bullion Market Association, has estimated.
This marks a tidy increase in the Reserve Bank of India's investment. In November 2009, the RBI purchased 200 tonnes of gold from the IMF, under the Fund's limited gold sales programme, for $6.7 billion, cash.
$23 billion for a $6.7 billion investment: not a bad return. And why not do it: after all it's not like India actually has possession of the gold, which most likely is located somewhere deep beneath the New York Fed. Ot is that the JPMorgan office at 1 CMP?
According to RBI sources, this gold was never brought into the country. It was just a book transfer.
Speaking at the India International Gold Convention in Jaipur last week, Gornall had said the RBI can organise a gold-dollar swap without divesting its holding or incurring any further interest charges.
"By swapping gold for a payable currency, you can benefit by having access to dollars for a period of your choice, while remaining a long-term holder of the gold, as the swap is a transfer of asset for a limited period. You will have bullion bank counter-party risk but this is successfully managed at the RBI, which has the strictest lending criteria of any central bank in the world," Gornall had argued.