Yeh, how is silver an investment once your paying $40-48 for a 1oz coin. It's crazy. You would have to wait for 10-15yrs to see a return on it. I think once all the hype dies down it will be back to $26 a ounce hopefully.
can i ask how you are basing silver to go back to $26 an ounce (my question has more to do with direction rather than the price itself)? Is it from a fundamental or technical perspective?
Because if it’s fundamentals, the fundamentals are saying that central banks all over the world are printing money like there’s no tomorrow and as a result should naturally show up in prices, first gold then silver most likely.
Also, prices for silver pre-COVID did not price in COVID so you have to understand that this is the market pricing this in.
And COVID is not the only problem, there is the bigger problem of what will happen to the economy after all this and the aftermath of the US elections and what the next President will do, both are determined to print more money as far as I’m aware.
once COVID is over, do you expect conditions to go back to pre-COVID levels that warranted that price, and even back then there was a lot of talk about how undervalued silver was.
From a technical perspective, there’s the gold price and the silver price and the gold/silver ratio (I won’t get too much into it here as it would take too much space), where for example the 20 day EMA for the silver chart is currently above $26Aud, which acts as good support (if that breaks that’s another story though). From the technical side, there’s also the possibility that price drops will be scooped up.
Also, the gold price in US dollars is looking close to $2000 an ounce and would most likely break it sooner or later (this can be said to be a technical play to break the 2k psychological barrier), if this happens, can I ask why silver would go down and not go up? Or at least move sideways?
We might get a pullback, we might not get one. But would the pullbacks be enough to change the direction of the metals? If I flip the question to you and say that silver went up instead of going down due to the fundamental and technical points I made, then was that $43 dollar silver coin cheap or expensive?
There is also the nice factor that even if silver went down to $26 and below, there is no guarantee that anyone would sell it at that price either, or whether there would be sufficient supply and whether you would be able to get your hands on it (at least silver is being sold at $43 at the dealers, if it goes down to your $26 price target, would there be any silver available at the amount you want? What scenario do you prefer?). Dealers/individuals might ask for a higher premium to make up for the price fall so for you to buy at $26, silver would have to sufficiently go below that price if you factor in premiums.
There are several factors in play and while I’m not saying it can’t happen, I would like to ask how and in what scenario you think silver will go down long term given the points I made above.