Dusty said:
I just can't get my head around the fact that if everything turns as bad as is prodicted by so many people that coins like lunurs would be worth more than a kooka after all they are both still only weight the same.
Am I missing something?
If everything turns bad then maybe 1 ounce is 1 ounce when you want a bag of rice, milk, bread, petrol etc.... However, if you are selling your silver for the usual reasons, to realise gains or release savings, then you may get more of a return for a more highly desired coin. Take the scenario where even if it went bad and I was a seller of a bag of rice I would take the lunar over a less desirable coin or plain round. Assuming I was not desperate I'd put it away till the real scarcity value could be realised. If the person wanting rice knew this, he could perhaps bargain for an extra kilo or two and it might be worth it to me.
Anything that people want, that is in limited supply, will be in more demand and perceived to be of more value. There will be another kookaburra next year and the year after, even if with a different design. There will not be another lunar rabbit for 12 years, and if/when there is it will be part of a new series.
The way to get your head around these things is to do research and absorb enough of it that it becomes intrinsic to your understanding about silver. That way, although everyone still has varying opinions, you can understand why they think that way. See what earlier release coins sell for on ebay, APMEX etc and you will see that, even if it is hard to understand, the disparity in price and demand exists nonetheless.
A further note - I have found the PM has lately been better in price on bars, but not usually on coins. If buying more than one or two ounces at a time even with postage if sometimes works out cheaper elsewhere. BUT, it would not be stupid to go in the doors and walk out with some silver. Just do it soon so you can get a feel for what it is all about.
