Lunardragon said:As the spot closed below 1180, where do we stand now? Play a waiting game?
Looks terrible doesn't it? 'Waiting game' looks like what we're stuck with.
Say someone covered up the label on the gold chart so you couldn't see what commodity or stock or currency the chart represented. After 17 months of consolidating the previous decline from a top in 2011 you finally get a break of triple support (1180) for the item. Failing a lightning quick recovery I'd be expecting significantly more down for whatever the item is. However I would be looking at next week and taking that as confirmation or negation of the critical break of support? 'False' breakouts and breakdown do happen. But it seems a forlorn hope.
It now looks like silver was showing the way as it broke well before gold - silver in the past has been referred to as a leading indicator for gold. Maybe we should wait to buy some gold when silver shows signs of reversal? Platinum fell below previous lows in late Sept, also leading gold you could argue.
I'm saying this with hindsight of course because I didn't know which way it was going to go.