That got me pondering.
My instinct tells me any hope of success (value shooting up) this coin has won't be driven by Harry Potter fans.
And when i say any hope it has - that sounds dismissive of it but i certainly don't mean to be.
I too love the design, but as all seasoned buyers are thinking and have already said here, it's just too cheekily expensive right out of the gate, and the mintage is too big.
So that rules out a whole bunch of initial buyers straight away.
The issue price has already gobbled up the reasonable increase it might have expected to get over time.
Had it been $90-ish i'd be delighted to own one just for myself even with the 5000 mintage.
I feel it will be a success for sure, they'll sell eventually, the HP brand will see to that, but i have doubts the serious fans will go manic for one.
Will many HP fans who aren't coin collectors suddenly like-omg-have-to-have-one no matter the cost, even if they're aware of a coin existing in the first place?
I think they'd rather spend their money on other merchandising.
And the enthusiastic HP fans who are coin collectors.... hmm....
Hard to know. But speaking for myself, i think collectors who are willing to pay for a coin the kind of figures we'd be talking about in the future, are of a certain age bracket, and with that age comes a certain clinical way of looking at things rather than a strictly emotional and hype driven purchase (especially for a movie tie-in which will see interest wane in that time).
I have my doubts even the serious HP fan, who happens to collect coins too, falls into that bracket of buyer.
But hey, i'm ok with having a good laugh at myself if this time next year it's selling for double.
By the way, i too can confirm i am not mmissinglink, as someone of the tinfoil hat brigade suggested lately.
