Don't mean to be a party pooper guys and gals, but regardless of which PM you think will be the better investment in the future we shouldn't forget the simple fact that all PM prices are tied to the US dollar and therefore any future price rises (or falls) are relative to the USD/AUD comparison rate.
For example, in Feb 2009 when spot gold was trading at just over US$1,000, gold was priced at approx AU$1,565 because of the relative low value of the Aussie dollar. Today spot gold is currently trading a little over $1,400 and yet in Aussie dollars you can still buy a 1 oz gold bar for $1,475, which is less than what you could when spot gold was at $1,000 in Feb 09.
So in terms of local currency, gold hasn't booked any gains for almost 22 months simply because of the strong Aussie dollar, even though the gold price has increased by $400 (40%) in US dollar terms. So this is something we all need to be aware of and possibily factor into any future price predictions.
Now if and when silver or gold start to go to the moon as some predict (as do I), it will all depend on what level the US dollar is as to how much it will appreciate in Aussie dollars. I suspect that if the PM's go vertical, then it will be because the US dollar is getting trashed.
If this is the case, then you can expect the Aussie dollar to be much higher than it is now and therefore any gains in the PM's will be watered down in our own currency.
I'm not saying it won't be worth stacking silver or gold, because it will, and that's why I'm heavily invested in silver and will be for some time to come. But if silver goes to US$100 in the future, there is a chance it may be less than this in Aussie dollars. How much lower, maybe $10, $20 or $30 - no one knows. However even silver at AU$70 is definitely much better than it is now, so yes it will be worth it
One way to combat this is to buy USD/AUD as a hedge against any falls in the US dollar. This is not for everyone, but it's an option.
Hope I wasn't too much of a party pooper
