COMEX Gold Inventories Collapse by Largest Amount on Record

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Over the last 90 days without any announcement, stocks of gold held at Comex warehouses plunged by the largest figure ever on record during a single quarter since eligible record keeping began in 2001 (roughly the beginning of the bull market). See chart below.
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Total drainage of physical inventories reached nearly 2 million oz.'s of gold, which at today's prices represent roughly $3,000,000,000 dollars.
According to chart sage Nick Laird, this data indicates that, "Eligible stocks which are owned in LBMA/Comex good delivery form are being drawn downwhich means they are being removed from the warehouses. As to how and why they are [being] removed, that is a mystery. [Up until now], eligible stocks were on the continual increase throughout the bull market. Now that trend has changed."
What is most interesting in reviewing this chart data, is seeing where the largest drops have occurred. The largest inventory drainage is being reported from JP Morgan Chase & Scotia Mocatta warehouses. See charts below.
joxWsMx.jpg


Scotia Mocatta's gold stockpile removals were nominal in size when compared to JPM's, but registered in at over 650k oz's of gold, or over $1 billion dollars worth of physical gold was removed from its vaults over the last 90 days.

Bottom line: While mainstream voices question whether or not gold is still in a bull market, smart money appears to be questioning something else. They appear to be asking themselves, "Do we want to continue storing our physical metal within the Comex system? How can we best whisk it away from fraud, theft, or bankruptcy (including our own)?"
The timing of this trend change is also quite shocking, as it's happening during a time in which public sentiment towards the metals are at their worse levels in years.
 
Gunna said:
Can someone explain to me what it means by them pulling their gold?
Generally held urban myth is they practice fictional reserve banking with their inventories... thus first in gets a chair and soon the music stops
 
Its Soros "exiting / dumping" GLD .... oh wait, he is just taking delivery ..... ;)

Could you borrow me $17.000.000 so I can tak delivery myself? Please? :D
 
Gunna said:
Can someone explain to me what it means by them pulling their gold?

Contracts are expiring, and people are taking delivery of the physical metal.
 
Bullion Baron said:
thatguy said:
Gunna said:
Can someone explain to me what it means by them pulling their gold?
Generally held urban myth is they practice fictional reserve banking with their inventories... thus first in gets a chair and soon the music stops
It's not an urban myth that that it operates that way. The COMEX usually only has deliverable equal to maybe a few percent of open interest, but was once said if there is ever a significant run on the COMEX, price would solve everything. I guess that might depend on the nature of the crisis that led to the withdrawal though!

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CjAeriVttw0[/youtube]

"And then we went and looked at the COMEX. The COMEX at the time they had about $80 billion in open interest between futures and futures options. In the warehouse they had $2.7 billion of deliverables. So $80 billion in open interest $2.7 billion in deliverables. We're gonna own it a long time. You're on the board, as a fiduciary, what do you do? That's an easy one. You go get it. So you go take a billion of $2.7 billion and you let them worry about the rest."
"When I talked to the head of deliveries at COMEX NYMEX, I was like, 'What if 4% of the people want deliveries?' He said, 'Oh Kyle, that never happens. We rarely ever get a 1% delivery.' And I asked, 'Well what if it does happen?' And he said, 'Price will solve everything' and I said, 'Thanks, give me the gold.'"
 
Bullion Baron said:
thatguy said:
Gunna said:
Can someone explain to me what it means by them pulling their gold?
Generally held urban myth is they practice fictional reserve banking with their inventories... thus first in gets a chair and soon the music stops
It's not an urban myth that that it operates that way. The COMEX usually only has deliverable equal to maybe a few percent of open interest, but was once said if there is ever a significant run on the COMEX, price would solve everything. I guess that might depend on the nature of the crisis that led to the withdrawal though!
The myth i'm referring to is that "Total Comex Gold Stockpile = 9.27 Million Ounces" is a little creative accounting and real inventory is ?? maybe 1/2 of that. So In reality they will default with "a couple of Moz" still showing in the warehouse
 
House said:
Bullion Baron said:
thatguy said:
Generally held urban myth is they practice fictional reserve banking with their inventories... thus first in gets a chair and soon the music stops
It's not an urban myth that that it operates that way. The COMEX usually only has deliverable equal to maybe a few percent of open interest, but was once said if there is ever a significant run on the COMEX, price would solve everything. I guess that might depend on the nature of the crisis that led to the withdrawal though!

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CjAeriVttw0[/youtube]

"And then we went and looked at the COMEX. The COMEX at the time they had about $80 billion in open interest between futures and futures options. In the warehouse they had $2.7 billion of deliverables. So $80 billion in open interest $2.7 billion in deliverables. We're gonna own it a long time. You're on the board, as a fiduciary, what do you do? That's an easy one. You go get it. So you go take a billion of $2.7 billion and you let them worry about the rest."
"When I talked to the head of deliveries at COMEX NYMEX, I was like, 'What if 4% of the people want deliveries?' He said, 'Oh Kyle, that never happens. We rarely ever get a 1% delivery.' And I asked, 'Well what if it does happen?' And he said, 'Price will solve everything' and I said, 'Thanks, give me the gold.'"


So price will go through the roof due to supply not meeting demand or will it crash as people realize the paper gold they thought they owned is actually worthless?
 
Gunna said:
So price will go through the roof due to supply not meeting demand or will it crash as people realize the paper gold they thought they owned is actually worthless?

^^^ Both.
 
Gunna said:
So price will go through the roof due to supply not meeting demand or will it crash as people realize the paper gold they thought they owned is actually worthless?
good question... the case for $0 gold
 
Eureka Moments said:
Goldman Sachs reckons gold's buggered.

The gold team at Goldman now sees an average price of $1,545 an ounce in 2013, down from an earlier forecast of $1,610, with average prices falling even further to $1,350 in 2014 from $1,490 expected previously.

From: http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetel...old-goldman-sachs-slashes-2013-2014-forecast/
I guess all the gold miners should lock in current prices for future production before the price slips further south.
 
The very same was said in april 2011 for silver.
Then the announced 'Comex run out of silver' and 'shortage' all of sudden changed to massive oversupply that brought price down 36%.
In a few days.
And there are plenty other examples of how a certain (high or low) stock didn't lead to a specific outcome. It happened that stock is high and the price drops afterwards, and it happens that the stock is high and the price rises afterwards. Same story for low stock.

Gold is going to $1800.
Shortage!
Then some gold owners sell.
Oversupply!
Gold goes back to $1500.
Then some become gold owner again.
Gold goes back to $1800.
Shortage!
Then some gold owners sell.

OMG a price mechanism!
 
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