Skyblues
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How do you think this will affect silver?
Pasting the article below from Ubank
Pasting the article below from Ubank
China announces new five-year plan
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China's economy is defined as socialism with Chinese characteristics. It develops in organised, strategic increments called five-year plans. Five-year Plan #12 has the following basic aims.
1. Moving China away from exporting and into greener pastures. China wants to go from being the world's biggest factory to being its biggest consumer market. It's transitioning from being a cheap destination for making stuff for richer countries to providing goods and services for its growing middle class. Right now it has a lot of manufacturing but not much of a services sector - health care, hospitality, retail etc. As a services sector will employ a lot more people it's the only way China can find jobs for the millions of rural Chinese flooding the cities. And the good news for the rest of the world is more services and less capital-intensive manufacturing means a lot less emissions.
2. Reining in gap between rich and poor. 15 to 20 million Chinese p.a. move to the city to get rich. The rural folk meanwhile have been lagging behind and today there's a 30% income gap. The central government fears, quite rightly, that unless something is done about this the rural population will start to resent and therefore resist Beijing control. BTW this is a traditional concern stretching back centuries and China hopes to nip this in the bud using taxes and better technology on farms to improve productivity and by making it easier to own land.
3. Building a safety net. This means stuff like the dole, the pension and a Medicare equivalent. This will free up the huge amounts of money people currently save up in case they get sick or lose their job so it can be spent on goods and services to grow the economy.
4. Chilling things with Taiwan. While this is not strictly economics it affects us all. The new plan wants to pursue "peaceful reunification" and the policy of "one country, two systems". I worry about "peaceful reunification" as Taiwan wants no part of any reunification.
Put simply, the twelfth five-year plan is set to create the biggest consumer-led growth spurt in history, which is good news considering the economy will probably be pretty tough over the next few years. Mmm, I might start that business selling Aussie flags made out of recycled Big Kev shirts.