notanother
New Member
Not so different nonrecourse, I understand the perpetual true value of gold and silver, I also understand the madness of crowds and what they can do to a healthy normal market place. If gold goes well beyond it's intrinsic historical value I will not waste that free gift, I will sell (not all) and convert the profit into something undervalued. Gold and silver were very undervalued when I found out about them and now I believe gold is at or about it's inflation adjusted true value. If it doubles or quadruples from here there will be no reason in my mind not to convert some of those gains into arable land say.
Imagine if you held thousands of ounces of ag back in 1979 and you made a choice to exit when you recognized the bubble topping. You could have sold half or better of your holdings and then bought back 10 times the amount in just a year or two. Gold and silver may be money still but they no longer act like money, they act more like commodities and that is the reality. Silver at $5/oz ? That was the lowest price in all of recorded history and there was no valid fundamental reason for it to go that low. Fundamentals mean very little anymore sadly. Past history must always be tempered with the reality that we live in a world controlled by debt flows, the mass media, big interests and public sentiment. This is my belief for what it's worth.
Imagine if you held thousands of ounces of ag back in 1979 and you made a choice to exit when you recognized the bubble topping. You could have sold half or better of your holdings and then bought back 10 times the amount in just a year or two. Gold and silver may be money still but they no longer act like money, they act more like commodities and that is the reality. Silver at $5/oz ? That was the lowest price in all of recorded history and there was no valid fundamental reason for it to go that low. Fundamentals mean very little anymore sadly. Past history must always be tempered with the reality that we live in a world controlled by debt flows, the mass media, big interests and public sentiment. This is my belief for what it's worth.