A POINTLESS EXERECISE

L

Lurkalot

New Member
After listening to the 5 part broadcast linked on the "Biggest names discuss silver" thread, I started to wonder what fellow stackers thought about silver prices over the coming years and if that tallied with what the 'experts' reckon.

Obviously none of us can be absolutely certain regarding future prices. I think we are all agreed that there's some way to go and a lot can happen, but I would be very interested to see what your current thoughts are.

So (if you can be arsed my silver chums), purely as an exercise, what do you reckon silver prices (in USD) will be in 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years?

Remember, not what you hope silver will be at, but what your best guess is, or what your gut feeling tells you.


I'll go for .

1 YEAR: $75

3 YEARS: $145

5 YEARS: $120


Cheers guys.
 
I'm bullish

The factors involved are bullish

But the coming events are hard to predict (time wise)

1 year = $65
3 year = $340
5 year = $500 plus plus plus

When the debt issues go ar*se up things will get faster and faster. When they will occur is anyones guess.

Remember, the metal doesnt change, its the paper and plastic that do.
 
Well if your like many silver bugs you would say

1 month $100
1 year $ 200
18 moths years $500
2 years $1 gazillion dollars

But me personally..

I dont know, Ill be happy to sell most at $70-$90

Really depends on how fast silver moves up and the market conditions though, if its slow and steady id be more inclined to sell at even higher prices if they come.
 
I like to think in 5yrs+ what we know as "dollars" has changed so much that $100 in today's money is worth maybe $1000 then...

I'll go $400 in 5 years
 
Easier question would be; What do you reckon silver price will be 1 month after the beginning of QE3, QE4, and QE5?
 
1 Year = $36 AUD
3 Year = $39 AUD
5 Year = $41 AUD

A nice conservative rise, if it keeps pace with inflation I will consider it worthwhile.
 
1 year = 1 bottle of Vodka

3 years= 2 bottles of Vodka

4 years #$ Wot da tha hell who cares anymore bottoms up.
 
Sargeant Argent said:
1 year $55 - 60
3 years $90 - $110
5 years $45 - $55
Click to expand...


Why are you on a Silver stackers site ? Can I please write up a binding agreement for us where as you sell me your stack at the agreed upon price of $90 an oz in three years time ?

Or even half at $90 in three years and the remainder @ $45 in 5 years ?

$45 is cheaper than you can get a Kook for on ebay at the moment buy now , you should just sell up now and buy U.S bonds .
 
A lot of optimists out there !

End of year 1 - $40
End of year 3 - $46
End of year 5 - $55

Prices relate to SPOT silver and NOT "e-Bay" Kooks etc which will likely be up to 50% higher.
 
I'm just being real I see silver breaking one hundred in the next 3 years followed by a massive sell off and crash back down into the high 40's low 50's. Then people will start buying again and the cycle will repeat. Silver is volatile if u don't believe me look at last month or any of the 30 - 40 percent price drops that seem to happen after every 18 months of upswing. I'll be happy if I'm right as I'll be able to convert into gold and buy more silver and if I'm wrong that's even better as we'll all be rich bitch!
 
Photonaware said:
A lot of optimists out there !

End of year 1 - $40
End of year 3 - $46
End of year 5 - $55

Prices relate to SPOT silver and NOT "e-Bay" Kooks etc which will likely be up to 50% higher.
Click to expand...

Your dreaming , the price of a 1 oz 2011 koala is currently $46.19 on bullion mark , If you haven't heard already spot and physical are about to dismount. Paper is not physical my man, It might look good but it dont walk da walk nor talk da talk any more.
 
At what point does spot price become obsolete for physical? If premiums continue to raise for physical eventually the gap will become too large. They'll either have to stop issuing paper silver altogether or create a physical price and paper price at which point sheeple will realize the difference between the two and choose physical. Either way paper is on the way out!
 
Ernster said:
Well if your like many silver bugs you would say

1 month $100
1 year $ 200
18 moths years $500
2 years $1 gazillion dollars

But me personally..

I dont know, Ill be happy to sell most at $70-$90

Really depends on how fast silver moves up and the market conditions though, if its slow and steady id be more inclined to sell at even higher prices if they come.
Click to expand...

Just curious, but why would you be happy to sell at $70 to $90? What's the appeal of holding rapidly depreciating fiat?
Or is is just that you'd rather pay more for RE? After all if you held onto your PMs you'd probably pick up RE at much reduced value ito PMs and perhaps you'd feel a bit guilty of acquiring said RE for a "steal" ... :)
 
projack said:
Easier question would be; What do you reckon silver price will be 1 month after the beginning of QE3, QE4, and QE5?
Click to expand...

Good point. But I believe an even better way of measuring the true value of PMs would be to ask the question:
How much would you need to purchase the average family home?

Now: 350 Oz gold
14 400 Oz silver

2012: ? Oz gold
? Oz silver

2013 .... ?
?

etc ..

This will indicate the true value of where PMs are going. Ernster - perhaps you'd like to comment on this way of thinking? Would you still be so keen to sell you silver stack for under $90/Oz? I believe this price will be reached by sometime during 2012, but its quite possible late 2011.

Just something to think about mate
 
Jislizard said:
1 Year = $36 AUD
3 Year = $39 AUD
5 Year = $41 AUD

A nice conservative rise, if it keeps pace with inflation I will consider it worthwhile.
Click to expand...

lol

Two slight problems with that.
1. The current price of silver is nowhere near its realistic value - the 'accounting' for all the fiat in existance today must (and will) still occur...
2. I believe you underestimate the real rate of inflation. The official inflation rate is a joke
 
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