I’m reading Mike Maloney’s book again Investing in Gold & Silver.
Robert Kiyosaki writes in the Foreword that he purchased some gold at $300 an ounce and is thrilled to see it reach $1000 an ounce but is also saddened. (2008)
Saddened because he says that when gold and silver rise like they currently are it means capitalism is crumbling. People lose their life savings, jobs and houses. It also means inflation which makes the basic things we need more expensive. It means we are poorer everyday.
He says “for this reason I pray that gold doesn’t reach $5000 an ounce. Rather I hope that the dollar will get back on its feet again.
What are your thoughts on his comments in light of what we are going through today?
Will we see $5000 gold? What will life look like if we do? I wonder what Roberts thoughts are now on the price of Gold.
I think it is highly likely that we will see 5000 $ gold, but I'm one of those people who believes that one can also gain from the price increase.
The prices of various items and services don't run in parallel. And gold can help you buy more/better when its price goes up.
Real estate might go down, while food prices could go up and at the same time car prices could also go down.
Expensive gold might not be a bad thing, unless we're talking about extreme hyperinflationary situation, like the ones in Zimbabwe, Venezuela.
In extreme hyperinflation I expect the following:
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gold might not follow the pace of food price inflation, so it will help much: food shortage, low value currency, but lower demand for gold (also because few will be able to afford it, governments might impose limits regarding trade etc.) will implicate a lower price increase for gold
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almost no-one will buy your gold
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you will only be able to trade very small amounts (1-2 g or even less!), because if even 1 gram will be worth 7,000 $ and a bread will cost 1,200 $, then few people/dealers will be able to give you that amount of money
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PM dealers will close/go bankrupt: they live mainly out of selling gold at a high price, NOT FROM BUYING IT BACK!
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high commissions when selling your gold: during a hyperinflationary extreme scenario, the dealers will obviously have to live out of BUYING GOLD BACK, not necessarily reselling it (of course, they will also have to re-sell some amounts, otherwise they will "get clogged"), so they will slam you with 10-25-50 % commission, because they can't afford to go out of business
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you might have to cut your gold up in fragments: you might find yourself in difficulty with several gold bars that you don't want to sell one-by-one, so fragments of smaller parts might be a good idea