A to expect scenario is a currencies trend reversal (dollar lower, euro higher), then the marketwide swappers will take more commodity futures as to make the price higher for the foreign-purchasing power gaining (euro) side.
http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=SI&p=w1
and
http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=DX&p=w1
Take the 2012 mark as the center.
On the silver chart, pre 2012, the surface between green trendline below and 0 was bigger.
On the dollar chart, pre 2012, the price trend average sat lower.
On the silver chart, post 2012, the surface between green trendline and 0 is smaller.
On the dollar chart, post 2012, the price trend average sits higher.
So, when the dollar/euro trends reverse, the commodity price trends will be tilted higher by a "more permanently" higher futures market total net positions. As Caput Lutinum recently worded it: they will let their profits run (meaning that the futures markets positions stay in place, making people in the cash market (stackers that buy from dealers ex) paying more, with these extra dollars arriving on the futures positions accounts. Of course, they will sit then with longs instead of the shorts before. And also ofcourse, they need some good timing to swap, because they won't be alone doing /trying it.
Still, such market reversal is just a next part of a fluctuating trend. Fluctuations on this toplevel (marketwide, major currencies) stop when central planners think that enough existing money from bank depositors arrived on their excess reserves balances, as to destroy it. It's a matter of picking out the better moments to swap fiatsavings to silver.
Until such stabilisation, we see surprising up, and downtrends. Remember 2012, in august people talked about lower twenties 'soon', but 1-2 months later it was driven tol $35 instead, and it took another half year to see $22. Patience is a virtue, and some data avail here and there gives an idea of the term and outlook.
