lucky luke said:trader10 said:SilverPete said:How can the cycle change though? This provides intense pressure not to raise rates. And there'd probably be some provision to help bail out the indebted home owners.
The Cycle always comes... we have a very long one.. over 18 years now? I believe it will come from OS investors... when the new recession hit their pockets they will sell investments OS... here....... lol provision to bail out home owners? nah...... provision will be needed to bail out at least 2 of the large 4 banks... with no doubt.
And who will provide it ? lol the public..... and don't forget it.... AUS pension fund/ superannuation is a large pool for it.... over $1.3 trillion ! oh yeah.... they will tap on it sometime in the future... no doubt about it....
I distinctly remember 19% term deposit interest rates approx 1990 (with correspondingly high mortgage rates). No reason why it can't happen again.
Trillions of $ of government debt and Quadrillions of $ of interest rate derivatives says otherwise - it cannot go 20% again - doubt it can move up 0.5%