scrooged said:
Who has a stamp collection that once upon a time was worth a lot more than it is today?
I don't, but I'm sure there's thousands of collectors still out there wishing they'd taken the profit at hand.
Slightly off topic, but what killed the demise of stamp collection? Lack of new punters coming through the ranks, a major financial catastrophe or something else?
Curious, if anyone knows.
In general, anything that is less desirable becomes less valuable per se. And certainly generations of young people growing up not having much interest in postage stamps seems to be the driving factor as to why many if not most philatelic items have decreased in value. That's not to say that all philatelic items have suffered and it's not to say that I haven't seen spurts of intense interest in certain philatelic items. For example, I've recently sold some brand new philatelic items on eBay and made a nice profit on the cost to me of the items.
There's no reason to believe that the same can't happen to numismatic coins but at the same time, there's no good reason to believe that blobs of silver will have any real value at some point. It has been argued far and wide by silverbugs that back in time, silver could buy an enormous amount of goods or services for a tiny amount of silver. And it is for this reason that the permabull silverbugs have claimed that silver (rather than gold) is the metal worth having because tomorrow it will shoot to da moon and the value will return to it's alleged mean and you will again be able to buy enormous amounts of goods and services for the same weight of silver than was possible 2,000 years ago. Back in Roman times I believe, the price of a sheep is alleged to have ranged from 2.6 g to 16 g of silver. So according to these silvebugs, "tomorrow" you'll be able to buy a sheep with a few grams of silver. Now I'm not sure what planet silverbugs live on, but on earth that is a far fetched fantasy.
So whether it's silver collector coins or silver blobs, there's no reason to believe that either will always have any meaningful value especially since silver is not money and will almost invariably never again function like money on earth for the vast majority of people much like seashells doesn't function like money any longer for the vast majority of people on earth.
Now while there are similarities between the two types of collectables (collector stamps and collector coins), there are some important differences.
One of the important differences between postage stamps and coins is the actual physical material it's made from. One from a pulp the other from metal. While both can be affected by the environment, pulps are generally far more susceptible to the environment than metals. As just one example, I've had an entire album of postage stamp sheets get damaged due to just a small amount of steam where if these were coins, likely little to no damage would have occurred. Even a low amount of heat can also be a serious problem for philatelic items and not for coins generally.
I'm not saying that this difference is the reason why stamps are taking a major hit but coins can't, just that if I had equal interest in collector coins and stamps today, that physical difference would be a very important factor in where I allocate energy, time, and money for these interests.
And of course one can always argue that with collector coins, there's always the threat of milk spots and milk spots is a physical thing so therefore collecting any numi-type coins is no different than collecting stamps. But that argument isn't valid and here's why:
1) milk spots is not a physical characteristic of silver coins....milk spots are the result of a problematic manufacturing process for some mints that may to be traced as far back as around the 1990's
2) with certain finishes on coins there is a much, much, less likelihood of milk spots developing. As just two obvious examples, the U.S. Mint 5 oz. silver ATB coins with the vapor-blast finish and coins with an antique finish
3) one can buy silver collector coins/medals that will never develop milk spots
If interest in coin collecting is seriously impacted by "lack of exposure" then the interest in stacking will also be seriously impacted by "lack of exposure". Why is that important? Because the value of silver no matter what form it takes (collector coins or blobs) lives and dies as a result of continuing (or not) desire for it. Neither form is inherently safe and neither form doesn't come with it's own risks of devaluation. There's zero intrinsic value in silver. 100% of it's value is attached by humans and driven by the level of desire by some to own it (demand). We know this is true because all the time we can see here in this forum and elsewhere, stackers claiming that silver blobs are are too expensive when it costs more than X amount. That x represents
any amount. For some it's 18 for others it's 25, for others it's 32, and so on and so forth. If some stackers purchased silver when it was $4/oz, $8/oz for silver could very likely be silver that is over-valued.
Silver is not insurance. Silver can be a very poor way to invest one's money compared to other ways in which to invest money. Silver can be a very poor store of value. Silver is not a panacea.
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