I guess you must be panda coin collectors I am one of panda coin collector. Do it and done it. 12 oz and 5 oz are awaiting for me. Why I deduce that you are panda collector because Shenzhen snd Shanghai mints are the mints do it. Or you might be not panda collector too or you did not subscribe to peter Anthony pricepedia which did states this panda goat is minted by shenyang mints. Totally agree times will prove the appreciation of the products. China medal has produced since 1980 and earlier. Some are appreciated significantly but some are died and no value at all. This apply to coin too which is no exception. 2014 china medal issues has reduced comparing to previous years which is stated by mandarin article. I do not understand that you are saying it is flooded recently. In additional china medal demand is always lower than china coin which is fact from few decades till now. Low mintages due to low demand and collector which is true since decades. Any logic or statistic to prove the recent medal is lower Mintage than precious years ? On top of collecting china medal and coins which I also collect perth mints , New Zealand mints and others western mints coins and silver round. Each had their own Beuty as my view. 5 oz and 12 oz panda coins are good time to get in 2 years ago and even now. It had the peak which the price is super high and it is low now. It is type of cycle. It will be the same for medal. No way and no one can ensure a product can be star forever. I still believe buy whatever you like and love it within your financial ability. Do the homework before committing and buying.