southerncross said:
So what if they don't dump again until $35.00 and the price go's to $75.00 will you still wait for a $26.50 chance ? Basing your choice on the paper market "might" see you left hanging in the breeze in the event of a sudden black swan or some other unforeseen market effect. I don't begrudge your sound practice for buying on the dips but for those that have no metal in the draw so to speak, do you not think it prudent to at least have something in the draw IE buy on a dip that suit's their purchasing power ?
Not everybody has the nous nor time to base their buy as judged on the perceived paper market, for a new stacker wouldn't it be prudent to just buy when they can as they can rather than trying to interpret every nuance of the paper market ?
Who is gonna buy the silver to bring that $75?
See, a price isnt an economical agent, it just results from what economical agents (people that buy/sell) do.
In order to bring last years $50, IShares Silver Trust's stock was 11000 tonnes on 9 march 2011, and reached 18639 tonnes end april. That was 7639 tonnes or about 206 tonnes / 6,62 Moz EVERY market day, for 37 days in a row.
In recent weeks, Ishares Silver Trust's stock dropped from 10077 tonnes to 9758 tonnes (and is again abit up since recent days).
Since april 2012, the biggest stock move of IShares Silver Trust was a mere 622 tonnes.
To revisit $50, we need people buying 8000 tonnes silver.
Good luck expecting that. I don't. At least not without other prices going up in comparable degrees.
The Quantitative Easings were commonly perceived as inflationary, but reality is that most of those new US dollars moved to a balance named Excess Reserves. After 4 years, most of it (80%) is STILL not spent. So why hurry to buy silver then? It's exactly the opposite, people are now waiting for higher prices, to SELL.
This is all my humble 'educated' opinion, so if you don't like it, just go ahead and buy everytime the sun goes up.
But then don't complain about manipulators / JPMorgan / etc later... They can only try to make you buy, in the end, and unlike tax/forced regulation, it's still YOUR choice to do or NOT do so...