Ouija said:
Predictions are silly. They mean nothing. It's just like the people who think that there is something to learn from looking at historical price charts as if the charts were somehow able to predict future social/political events which might cause the price of silver to respond.
The historical price charts have absolutely no relevance to the future, because the events which caused the price movements in the past, don't follow any predictable pattern, and the reasons for a price change in either direction, are unique and will never be duplicated making the study of history irrelevant to the future.
Don't use the historical price charts to make investment decisions it would be just as helpful to consult the Ouija board or the Tarot cards, for future price predictions. Study current world events they are much more valuable in predicting the future.
I would disagree. All a chart shows is the past data laid out in a particular way. There are some "patterns" that one observes time after time in looking at charts, and said "patterns" often mean a high probability of some particular future movement is likely. Not saying these "patterns" are 100% predictive, but some are quite close.
If you think of what is printed on a chart as simply a different way of observing past HUMAN emotions, ie., behavior (buying and selling), one can understand how human emotions can behave in similar manners time after time, irregardless of the "motivation" for said emotions or behavior. The economy, reasons to buy and sell, dollar value, etc, can and do change over time, but humans really don't, especially human emotions. The charts display the past emotional behavior of humans vis a vis buying and selling patterns over time.
Some of the best chart patterns (those that are quite predictive) are those where long term trend lines are broken (up or down), head and shoulders (and reverse), etc. I used these in patterns in guiding my stock purchases years ago (before the QE nonsense) with good success. It is more difficult in markets that are "manipulated" more heavily such as those with multiple "markets" playing on the same "thing", such as silver, which as physical market, Comex, ETF's, derivatives, etc.
I am not in any way advocating theories like Elliot wave, etc. But I don't necessarily consider such methods as charting per se, since the practitioners I have observed never really can say whether it is a wave 4 or wave 5, etc, and keep changing what wave count we are in by the month it seems.
I guess your ouija claim might be true, assuming one could find a helpful discarnate who wants to give good answers and not mess with you.
Just my opinion.
Jim