Yippe-Ki-Ya said:
hiho said:
you shouldnt be all in if thats the way you feel, not saying you are but 20% in PM's is considered quite high by conservative investors
these kind of "conservative investors" are gonna be in a world of hurt when their paper portfoilios disintegrate
I completely disagree there YKY. If they have presence of mind to have 20% in PM like myself, I think they are very smart. If 20% is their insurance and at least exposed they are aware of the risks out there and will be the ones looking for that point when they go "all in". They are aware of how our corrupt money system works and are hopefully using it to their advantage until the day comes to "pull the trigger".
In saying that hopefully that 20% is just a percentage figure and not a set ounce or $ value in PM's. As they use the system to gain more wealth they will be adding ounces to the stack to keep them at the 20% etc.
In saying that I am a firm believer in having your money working for you, having 1000 ounces in a safe is great but those 1000 ounces don't sit in there and breed more ounces. I like the 20% figure because you can have the other 80% doing the breeding for you.
Take these two examples:
Punter A has 100k to invest, he buys 80% worth of his portfolio in silver @ $40 and ounce and sits on his 2000 ounces. Uses the last 20k to invest and manages a modest 10% return. Assuming during this cycle silver stays constant he adds 50 ounces a year to his stack. All the while he is completely exposed to very volatile silver prices that are manipulated with 100's of times worth of multiples in paper trading
Punter B is in the same situation and puts 20% into silver and sits on his 500 ounces and invests his 80k and manages a modest 10% return. He adds 8k = 200 ounces per year to his stack. He is 4 times less exposed to the JP Morgans of this world and closely monitors when the game is up to add his final 60% into his stack.
If I am right and it will take another crisis to light the after burners on this bull there is going to be a very good buying op that precedes it. assuming he makes his 8k annual profit before the market goes south, he has 68k of powder ready to pull the trigger on that buying op that should be significantly lower than the original $40oz buyin that both of them started with.
That's the way Im approaching this anyway. If someone has the presence of mind to be at least 20% exposed to physical right now before SHTF you can be sure they are aware of the risks ahead.