C'mon what's your view on silver.

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I believe it to be the best performing financial gift for the next 10 years plus it could continue upwards in the future decades. I think that a lazy 750oz or less will buy a nice $450,000 home here in Oz within 10 years.

I'm very excited about the outlook for silver. You?
 
To da moon.... one day soon. Next three to five years I think will see the highs, it might hold higher value down the track but will peak and trough with a bubble factor over the next five years.

Just my 1/10 worth.
 
I made a post on this the other day in another thread.

I mentioned the fact that all in ground silver - according to the USGS - would be mined by 2020. Someone kindly (and very correctly) added that this prediction assumed no production increase.

Add to this the fact that silver used industrially is effectively destroyed, as it's used in such small quantities as to be unrecoverable mostly.

These 2 fundamentals tell me that, manipulation today notwithstanding, I have a good idea where silver may be in 8 years from now.

And it suits me just fine, thank you very much :)
 
MatrixOpals said:
You're dreaming geewiz. Don't get me wrong; silver will be the hottest metal under the sun for many years to come, but you will not have a piece of the pie (and neither will 99.99% of 'us' silverstacker members).
Depopulation + Elitism/Slave world.

If the above does not come to pass then all metal trading/ownership will be outlawed along with Pepsie Cola soft drinks (cause we all know how crap that drink is).
.

Your dreaming Matrix cause there are boating and other mishaps everyday, even if what you do imagine happening occurs how easy are you yourself to find as an individual ?
 
I have been a bit negative on silver after its latest poor performance compared to gold - BUT - I think there is one real positive about to make it take off and that is the Hong Kong futures exchange market which has just started trading silver. It will take away the present dominance of the CME and its margin calls.
I feel a lot more positive now knowing that there should be a flood of Chinese trades coming into the market
 
goldpanner said:
It will take away the present dominance of the CME and its margin calls.
I feel a lot more positive now knowing that there should be a flood of Chinese trades coming into the market

this article touches on the HKMEX vs COMEX thing briefly

Another snake in the grass when it comes to precious metals investment is the COMEX itself. The COMEX is not a free market by any means of the term. It is in fact a highly micromanaged exchange owned and operated by an organization called the CME Group based out of Chicago. CME is the preeminent hand in the flow of trade in all commodities (at least until recently). Their main method for stifling the rise in metals is the use of "margin hikes". Buying silver equities "on margin" allows investors to borrow capital from a company with a certain percentage of their own cash as collateral, in order to get more silver than they would using their personal funds alone. When the silver margin sits at 50%, for example, an investor with $10,000 can borrow from the company to buy $20,000 worth of securities (ETFs). However, if the CME increases the margin from 50% to 75%, that investor will have to quickly increase his collateral by 25% or lower his silver holdings. CME has the ability to make these changes at will, and such margin hikes have the ability to trigger massive sell-offs in metals, especially silver. In May of this year, as silver edged towards $50 an ounce, CME hiked margins four times! Three times in the span of only seven days! Investors scrambled to unload their ETF's, which they could no longer afford to collateralize, and silver's price plummeted to around $30 an ounce.

As of this summer China now has its own Comex, called the Hong Kong Mercantile Exchange. The exchange opened for trade on May 18th (the CME's incredible margin hikes in silver began only weeks before, which suggests to me that they were trying to preempt the positive effects the HKMEX would have on metals). The HKMEX moved into action only five months after the Chinese Pan American Gold Exchange was instituted. The exchange issues its own ETF's in gold and silver. These securities, though, are not based on leverage or derivatives like most Comex based ETFs. The bottom line; the Comex global monopoly on commodities trade is over:

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2011-01/13/content_11846539.htm

http://af.reuters.com/article/metalsNews/idAFL3E7II0W920110718

This would explain gold's unstoppable expansion into the $1800 range, and how silver was able to climb back after the CME's brutal margin manipulation into the $40 range. Only last week, the CME issued a margin hike on gold of 22%. Despite this the fall in gold was minimal, showing that their influence, though vast, is beginning to wane. With competition, manipulation becomes more difficult, and room for growth is created.

The new Hong Kong Exchange coupled with the now explosive buying of physical PM's by Chinese consumers is slowly but surely overriding the long prevailing manipulations of corporate robber barons intent on ensuring gold and silver are never treated as a currency alternative to the dollar. Silver markets in the East were set into motion a bit more slowly than gold markets were, but given a little more time, I suspect that the resultant spike in silver prices will be the same.
 
Personally I think it's going to seriously struggle to get past $50 short term, with a high of about $200 in the future. At that price I could sell it and get everything I wanted out of my stack, when (if) that day comes I sell up and buy a farm with a natural spring which has always been the dream.

My confidence has taken a big hit this month I must admit, I no longer see Silver hitting $500+ and no longer beleive everything the Silver commentators say - if their views were correct Silver should have hit $50 easily in the last 2 weeks.
 
Photonaware said:
Why wait 10 years ?
I'll trade my 750oz for a 450k house today.

unless silver price magically jumps to 600/oz today, we'll have to wait for that day, if it ever happens, touch wood...
 
I think Gold is good for the short-mid term future...while the economic crisis is playing out. Silver is good for the the long term... Silver will not act like the monetary metal that everybody hopes it will be, but industrial demand is only going to increase over the next few years so that's why it will be good to hold it long term..

my uneducated opinion.
 
I doubt there is enough physical gold available to back a Reserve Currency without the help of Silver.

A new Gold Standard seems to me to be inevitable, so the demand will be there for both metals.

JMNHO

OC
 
geewiz, i'd struggle to believe that silver will get to $600/oz within 10 years.
$200 would be great but even then i'm not holding my breath.
I do think that when the world's global issues are sorted that silver will rise to 3 figures... but not in the short term.

P.S. i'm no global forecast expert either.
 
Anyone who thinks gold will revert to a reserve currency is dreaming...

They will pick something else they can fabricate out of thin air like.... Carbon credits..
 
Old Codger said:
I doubt there is enough physical gold available to back a Reserve Currency without the help of Silver.

A new Gold Standard seems to me to be inevitable, so the demand will be there for both metals.

JMNHO

OC

I'm not so sure that the Gold Standard is inevitable, it would be difficult to implement. I think it could be a very gradual process starting with smaller countries backing their currencies with gold eg the Swiss and maybe more countries getting on board when they have enough gold. If there are a group of reserve currencies (which I believe is more probable) then there would have to be gold backing for all of them. Difficult to see how or where they get all the gold from when other countries will be hanging onto what they have got. I think we would have to suffer another really bad GFC before governments considered going back to a gold standard.
 
Im reading a book, actually re reading over and over again as todays economic crisis plays out. The book was written 40 yrs ago. the man had a vision. He mentions economic confusion coming to Europe first then Japan then America, He said a time of economic boom (all this easy funny money/credit/debt) will precede the coming economic confusion. He also mentions silvers price will go wild!! Will become a very precious metal again. Everything that is happening at the moment is in his book. He used to be a pastor in America. He believes God gave him the vision. So far he is correct.
On the downside he mentions that because of the economic confusion the price wont be sustained over a long period of time. The only real security will be to put your money into land.
 
My view is its Shiny,makes great lures and ball sinkers...Damm wrong Forum again!
:(
 
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