Newcrest Mining (NCM)

Discussion in 'Stocks & Derivatives' started by SilverSanchez, Mar 8, 2012.

  1. Silverthorn

    Silverthorn Well-Known Member

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  2. SilverSanchez

    SilverSanchez Active Member

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    Looking Strong, broken out of a down trend
    Needs to stay above $23

    News was encouraging in the Quarterly

    My suspicion is that the XGD bottomed on Jan 10th and 11th (too early to confirm) needs to get above and stay about 4950 (i think NCM is a 10% weighting in the XGD index, I might be wrong on that).
     
  3. browski

    browski Member

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    Down to $21.90

    I know this is stupid, but I get the feeling with gold and gold stocks, that these least few days are like the retreating tide before a tsunami.
     
  4. SilverSanchez

    SilverSanchez Active Member

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    Capitulation finally, bit shocking but still - hold
     
  5. browski

    browski Member

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    FWIW, I dipped the toes in at $21.75
     
  6. SilverSanchez

    SilverSanchez Active Member

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    Nice price

    Book value is around $19
     
  7. Phiber

    Phiber Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Thinking of getting some of these...any thoughts on NCM Sanchez?
     
  8. SilverSanchez

    SilverSanchez Active Member

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    Low yeild
    Good outlook mid-long term as far as production
    Some soverign risk involved
    A target for social activists because of its size
    Can generate enough cash to suvive a crisis where most other ASX gold plays don't
    Currently undervalued by ev/total resource
    Substantial copper
    Good for accumulation (reinvest divs)
    I personally think they run a good business

    I have a total average share price of under $30 for my portfolio
    Obviously get the lowest price you can if you are going to invest
    The share price CAN move quickly

    And I think there is value upside
    It is the only top tier gold miner on the asx, which does give it a certain advantage in attracting the bigger money when institutions what a piece of the gold mining space.

    Should you buy it? Thats your personal choice.
    I think an Australian portfolio serious about the gold bull - should own some of Newcrest
    But obviously diversify and DYODD, and its not the cheapest stock, nor is it the biggest potential growth stock in the space

    I think you should read through the last 5 quarterlies to get a feel if the stock is right for you.
    I personally topped up at 21.40 - I was happy with that price
     
  9. Silverthorn

    Silverthorn Well-Known Member

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  10. browski

    browski Member

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    Whoaaaaaaa there, boy.
    NCM down 7.3% today alone.

    Michael Maloney said the other night that he didn't really like gold mining stocks because you always have to consider that the share price could be dragged down by poor management, difficult regulations and industrial action. He just preferred the physical stuff.
     
  11. Lunardragon

    Lunardragon Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    They cut their production guidance
     
  12. SilverSanchez

    SilverSanchez Active Member

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    If it gets below $20 ill be finding some money from somewhere to buy as much as I can between $19-20

    Freakin Bargain IMHO.

    Lower guidance at lower prices - if you are going to have a mine offline or lower production now is the time to do it with the lower gold prices.

    Whenever gold resumes its bull, these mines are going to be all-fixed-up and producing strong numbers.
     
  13. doomsday surprise

    doomsday surprise Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Christ, people think the PM prices are bad. My gold/silver portfolio looks like a train wreck. But NCM under $20 is an absolute bargain and I'll be buying more.
     
  14. browski

    browski Member

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    NCM today down another 3% to $19.50!
    This is officially the lowest price since Nov 2008
     
  15. finicky

    finicky Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    More down yet I would be betting. Could plumb the GFC lows at the least. Crap management and assets fundamentally plagued with weaknesses. I wouldn't even be tempted if it hit 16-15 bucks
     
  16. finicky

    finicky Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Down down
    Prices are down

    $15.02, down 5%
     
  17. Lunardragon

    Lunardragon Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Fin,
    lets put the floor price $12 *grin*
     
  18. SilverSanchez

    SilverSanchez Active Member

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    im loving this

    picked up $1k more at 14.65
     
  19. finicky

    finicky Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    2012-03-08
    Loads of gold loads of copper - the company name speaks for itself.
    Price $31

    2012-04-26
    Last time it was this price was Jan 2009! It opened below the support and everyone rushed to sell
    I bought today @ 25.9 This is a 38% drop from recent high - oversold imho

    2012-04-27
    you really need to get out of technical analising only and start looking at the bigger picture - just my opinion

    2012-04-29
    My call was 25.50 - we did that on thursday
    I seriously don't believe under $25 will happen without a rally first but if it does ill be selling juniors to buy it.

    2012-04-29
    See the big support is not at 30, its at $24! - no brainer - between 20-24 there will be support - it will trade sideways between 25 and 33

    2012-04-29
    you get the current sell off... 100% rise in 3 years with 40 or 50% correction - not worried on my end

    2012-05-17
    My target zone is 20 - 21

    2012-06-28
    It was in the buy zone!
    I got some, have one more order in if it tries to get to $20 where a major moving average is

    2012-08-10
    I believe its bottomed

    2012-08-11
    Why are you using a three monthly chart?
    Its the bottom (IMHO)

    2012-08-13
    Nice numbers

    2012-08-13
    Yeah nice numbers, im looking forward to this quarter

    2012-08-15
    As i said above - great numbers, and I like the future potential, share price has snuck up

    2012-08-17
    Good numbers

    2012-11-05
    bought some today below 25.50

    2013-01-22
    I have to assume NCM will also come down a little from here.

    2013-02-01
    Looking Strong, broken out of a down trend
    Needs to stay above $23

    2013-02-18
    Capitulation finally
    Price $21.80

    2013-03-28
    If it gets below $20 ill be finding some money from somewhere to buy as much as I can between $19-20
    Freakin Bargain IMHO.

    *
    *
    Very quiet time

    *
    *

    2013-05-16
    im loving this ... picked up $1k more at 14.65
     
  20. SilverSanchez

    SilverSanchez Active Member

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    Im sorry Finicky isnt really happy with my buying.... envious probably.
    Tall Poppy syndrome maybe
    He definately doesnt like Christians

    Either way it an honor to be the subject of so much of his personal time.
     

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