Monitoring the Crypto Bubble

Discussion in 'Digital Currencies' started by Bullion Baron, Dec 12, 2017.

Tags:
?

Where do you think we are in the crypto bubble?

  1. Very early (years left to run)

    21.1%
  2. Around the middle (could still run for months or a year)

    38.0%
  3. Very late (could end within days/weeks)

    23.9%
  4. It's not a bubble

    16.9%
  1. JohnnyBravo300

    JohnnyBravo300 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Mar 16, 2019
    Messages:
    3,608
    Likes Received:
    3,463
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Colorado USA
    If i had more certainty in the crypto markets i would hodl but id rather sell and keep my profits for reinvesting later. I dont have the hodl mentality at all and im glad i dont. Id hate seeing my gains vaporize like that.
     
  2. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 29, 2012
    Messages:
    4,499
    Likes Received:
    1,182
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Treasure Island
    Some of the coins are very low (they are somewhere at their last 1-2 years low), the ones that didn't crash are BTC, ETH, Solana etc. big ones.

    So, perhaps this is a buying opportunity for some of them.

    Also: I can imagine Bitcoin and Ethereum crashing and perhaps gold will also take a dive and only THEN, LATER will the stock market crash occur. So, I can imagine investors running to crypto and PM's as "safe haven".
    This is just my imagination, of course.

    It looks like cryptos are going to correct seriously and we still don't know when a stock market crash could occur...
     
  3. JohnnyBravo300

    JohnnyBravo300 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Mar 16, 2019
    Messages:
    3,608
    Likes Received:
    3,463
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Colorado USA
    Im going to try to ride that right shoulder for a little more cream before im out for awhile.

    Hopefully it takes a huge dive after that and i can have a second shot at 20k and its all i want for Christmas!!
    I promise ill be a good boy!
     
    TreasureHunter likes this.
  4. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2010
    Messages:
    18,687
    Likes Received:
    4,452
    Trophy Points:
    113
    The general consensus is that most people are better off HODLing than trying to time the market.
     
  5. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2010
    Messages:
    18,687
    Likes Received:
    4,452
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Feb 2020 = liquidity crisis. All markets tanked, the initial flight was to the USD. This presented a buying opportunity for anyone that had dry powder, following the correction money flooded into the stock market, crypto currencies, gold and RE. Now while the timeline for each event occurring was fairly close, history points to the share market collapsing firstly, probably because more institutions are exposed to it than crypto.

    If we look at what The Fed is currently doing with the tapering of purchases it presents a headwind for all markets, and while gold and crypto in particular may see larger declines than the share market neither will be the catalyst for a grey swan event. What may be likely to happen over the course of the coming months is once the tapering talk has died down, and the trillion or so $ currently held by Treasury (combined with the lifting of the debt ceiling) makes its way into the banking sector - together with the trillions held as savings by retail investors already in the banking sector - we will see asset prices rise once again, and this will include the price of many cryptos and to a lesser extent of course the POG.

    So BTFD and HODL your favourite asset classes.
     
    Oddjob and PMCollector like this.
  6. heartastack

    heartastack Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2010
    Messages:
    2,670
    Likes Received:
    3,046
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Raoul Pal reserved? More like:

    Mr. Burns.jpg
     
  7. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2010
    Messages:
    18,687
    Likes Received:
    4,452
    Trophy Points:
    113
    A couple more indicators:

    1. Illiquid supply of BTC at ATH.

    Screen Shot 2021-12-16 at 8.54.49 am.png

    Illiquid supply in red, BTC price in black.

    2. BTC ETF holdings example:

    Screen Shot 2021-12-16 at 8.54.38 am.png

    Rising institutional demand in the face of falling supply.
     
  8. jultorsk

    jultorsk Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2016
    Messages:
    1,902
    Likes Received:
    3,417
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Australia
    Russia is going full ret... China?
    --
    MOSCOW, Dec 16 (Reuters) - The Russian central bank wants to ban investments in cryptocurrencies in Russia, seeing risks to financial stability in the rising number of crypto transactions, two financial market sources close to the bank said.

    Leading cryptocurrency bitcoin fell after the report to $48,656 from levels around $49,144 seen shortly before.

    Russia has argued for years against cryptocurrencies, saying they could be used in money laundering or to finance terrorism. It eventually gave them legal status in 2020 but banned their use as a means of payment.

    The central bank is now in talks with market players and experts about a possible ban. If approved by lawmakers, it could apply to new purchases of crypto assets but not to those bought in the past, said one of the financial market sources, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.

    Another source close to the Bank of Russia said the central bank's current position was a "complete rejection" of all cryptocurrencies.

    In a reply to Reuters' request for comment, the central bank said it was preparing an advisory report to voice its stance on the issue. It did not comment on specifics.

    RISKS

    The annual volume of cryptocurrency transactions carried out by Russians is about $5 billion, the central bank has said.

    Central Bank First Deputy Governor Ksenia Yudaeva said this month that cryptocurrencies' increasing popularity raised concerns about risks to financial stability.

    "The situation in developed market countries more and more resembles the so-called shadow financial system," Yudaeva wrote in an article, adding that use of cryptocurrencies lowered the efficiency of monetary policies.

    Pointing to China's experience, she said Russia needed a further adjustment of cryptocurrency regulation.

    In September, China intensified its crackdown on cryptocurrencies with a blanket ban on all crypto transactions and mining, hitting bitcoin and other major coins and pressuring crypto and blockchain-related stocks. read more

    Meanwhile, the Bank of Russia is planning to issue its own digital rouble, joining the global trend to develop digital currencies to modernise financial systems, speed up payments and counter a potential threat from other cryptocurrencies.

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/cur...ment-cryptocurrencies-sources-say-2021-12-16/
     
  9. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2011
    Messages:
    12,102
    Likes Received:
    3,877
    Trophy Points:
    113
  10. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2011
    Messages:
    12,102
    Likes Received:
    3,877
    Trophy Points:
    113
  11. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2010
    Messages:
    18,687
    Likes Received:
    4,452
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Then you obviously don’t know enough.
     
  12. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2011
    Messages:
    12,102
    Likes Received:
    3,877
    Trophy Points:
    113
  13. jultorsk

    jultorsk Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2016
    Messages:
    1,902
    Likes Received:
    3,417
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Australia
    ?
     
  14. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2010
    Messages:
    18,687
    Likes Received:
    4,452
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Crypto transactions are not necessarily anonymous.
     
  15. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2011
    Messages:
    12,102
    Likes Received:
    3,877
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Yip is old and he has 49.1 BTC to deal in synthetic, wow
    but his crypto wallet got confiscated by US prosecutors
    he better find another way of dealing, maybe take an MBA cource with HSBC :p, those old opium tricks could come in handy.
     
  16. jultorsk

    jultorsk Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2016
    Messages:
    1,902
    Likes Received:
    3,417
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Australia
    Ah right.. didn't see the quote in you reply, only your comment right below my post, so was wondering. No worries.
     
    mmm....shiney! likes this.
  17. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2011
    Messages:
    12,102
    Likes Received:
    3,877
    Trophy Points:
    113
    someone commented after reading about confiscated wallet, but Yip...Fat the owner, an old man, is the synthetic distributor to Mexico living in Wuhan. is on wanted list in US lol
     
  18. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2011
    Messages:
    12,102
    Likes Received:
    3,877
    Trophy Points:
    113
    so it is very easy to entrap a person, and create direct deposits without him knowing, and wall-up he is on the wanted list in US and his wallet is gone.
    from all directions can be link to synthetics.
     
  19. Golden ChipMunk

    Golden ChipMunk Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 12, 2012
    Messages:
    7,900
    Likes Received:
    1,322
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Perth, Jupiter, Venus, Mars
    No VPN used???
     
  20. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2011
    Messages:
    12,102
    Likes Received:
    3,877
    Trophy Points:
    113
    don't think the pawn, an old man need a VPN
    the operators should have that covered, but VPN should be one based from outside of US
    back then China has not ban this, now VPN use is rampant in China, else no way access such sites
     

Share This Page