Black Swan event

Discussion in 'Markets & Economies' started by rbaggio, Jun 23, 2012.

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  1. rbaggio

    rbaggio Active Member Silver Stacker

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    I can't help but think there's a black swan event just around the corner, something big enough to take the world's focus away from economic woes.

    Something like:
    * Terrorist event at Olympic Games
    * Missle fired from 'rogue' state at enemy (Iran, North Korea), starting a conflict
    * Major health epidemic

    Thoughts?
     
    rbaggio, Jun 23, 2012
    #1
  2. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    thatguy, Jun 23, 2012
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  3. Load of Bullion

    Load of Bullion Well-Known Member

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    OMG, saw this thread title!!!........ I was looking over my black swan video footage from Canberra and looking up 'black swan event today.
     
    Load of Bullion, Jun 23, 2012
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  4. rbaggio

    rbaggio Active Member Silver Stacker

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    I'm sure that the end will justify the means.
     
    rbaggio, Jun 23, 2012
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  5. fiatphoney

    fiatphoney New Member

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    Swan flu spreading the black death
     
    fiatphoney, Jun 23, 2012
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  6. Clawhammer

    Clawhammer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Ironically, Taleb said that a black swan event couldn't be predicted until after the event.
     
    Clawhammer, Jun 23, 2012
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  7. rbaggio

    rbaggio Active Member Silver Stacker

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    Phew, we're all safe then!!!!!!
     
    rbaggio, Jun 23, 2012
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  8. SilverSanchez

    SilverSanchez Active Member

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    I'd agree, the chances of a military conflict are higher
    I do believe one real reason why the UN does not intervene in Syria has alot to do with the oil price.
     
    SilverSanchez, Jun 23, 2012
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  9. Nugget

    Nugget Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    My money is on the fact that Russia has 1) a permanent seat on the UN Security Council 2) Veto power in the UN and 3) it's only Mediterranean Naval Base in Syria


    EDIT TO ADD


    and Russia is a Nuclear Power that is unfriendly to US interests
     
    Nugget, Jun 23, 2012
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  10. renovator

    renovator Well-Known Member

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    :D
     
    renovator, Jun 23, 2012
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  11. Clawhammer

    Clawhammer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I LOL'd at that :)
     
    Clawhammer, Jun 23, 2012
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  12. Guest

    Guest Guest

    I too feel there will be one before years out. Cant guess what scenario they'll choose.
     
    Guest, Jun 23, 2012
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  13. hiho

    hiho Active Member Silver Stacker

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    from jan 11

    The phrase "Black Swan" is really making the rounds these last few months. Uttering the term a year ago would have earned you a collection of confused looks and a general attitude of disinterest. Now, people behave as if they had learned about economic shockwave events and the global domino effect when they were in kindergarten. The problem is that when this kind of terminology hits the mainstream, in most cases it comes prepackaged with dumbed down and diluted definitions which promote an inadequate, cartoonish understanding of the circumstances.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/article/guest-post-migration-black-swans
     
    hiho, Jun 23, 2012
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  14. Nugget

    Nugget Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    When the world wide Blackberry blackout happened, traffic accidents dropped dramatically.
     
    Nugget, Jun 23, 2012
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  15. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    Syria Shoots Down NATO-Member Turkey's Military F-4 Jet
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/syria-shoots-down-nato-member-turkeys-military-f-4-jet
    Escalation: Syria Says Turkish Jet Shot Down Was Over Syrian Territorial Waters
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/escal...-shot-down-was-over-syrian-territorial-waters
    Guest Post: Does Syria Want A War?
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-does-syria-want-war
    NATO Member Turkey Says Syrian Jet Take Down Is A Hostile Act
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/nato-member-turkey-says-syrian-jet-take-down-hostile-act
    Turkey Claims Syria Fired On Second Turkish Jet, Says "Act Won't Go Unpunished", Has Invoked NATO Articles 4 And 5
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/turke...act-wont-go-unpunished-has-invoked-nato-artic

    War :|
     
    thatguy, Jun 24, 2012
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  16. goldpelican

    goldpelican Administrator Staff Member

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    First thing I thought of when I saw "black swan event" was a Perth Mint logo privy Dragon :rolleyes:
     
    goldpelican, Jun 24, 2012
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  17. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    Turkey Claims Syria Fired On Second Turkish Jet, Says "Act Won't Go Unpunished", Has Invoked NATO Articles 4 And 5
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/turkey-cl nato-artic
    the pawns are shuffling around
     
    thatguy, Jun 25, 2012
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  18. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    Turkey Mobilizing: Media Manipulation, Provocation Or Reality?
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/turkey-mobilizing-media-manipulation-provocation-or-reality
    Proxy army vs Proxy army ::yawn::
     
    thatguy, Jun 27, 2012
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  19. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    Turkish jet shot down by Russians, opposition leader claims
    http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/tu...aims-.aspx?pageID=238&nID=24160&NewsCatID=338

    Rattle rattle go the sabres. This plot is almost as thick as an Australian politician
     
    thatguy, Jun 27, 2012
    #19
  20. Ozboy

    Ozboy Active Member

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    Not THAT thick, surely. - maybe julieliar could write them both a letter...
     
    Ozboy, Jun 27, 2012
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