More important than any actual hypothetical 'moon' number is the hive mind mentality surrounding such an event. Mass confidence levels. Will you view things differently than the average person, having bought in while those confidence levels were low? If silver starts to climb and the general public becomes more vested in the idea, confidence levels rise and maybe we even eventually breach the $50 mark and are in new territory, new possibilities, people are starting to view silver like they view Apple stock...would you keep buying? Would you agree with the general public and feel silver can only keep going up up up? Or would you, having the advantage of being one of the few that bought at low levels, feel that it might be too good to be true, that history will repeat itself, and it may come crashing back down? When everyone around you is raving about a golden opportunity to keep buying, will you be willing or able to walk away with your winnings or will you keep playing? Or stop buying but keep your stack?