Who would still stack If....

I'm interested in peoples views on stacking (and I don't mean hobby stacking, I mean proper hardcore investing/speculation) IF the following would SOMEHOW be true and known to all..

1. Hyperinflation of any major currency will not happen in the next 100 years.

2. Silver is not manipulated and the supply will continue to be prevalent for the next 100 years.

3. The stockmarket will trend upwards in real terms over the next 50 years.


If those three things were (somehow) KNOWN to be true... would you still stack?

If so - why?

Just interested.

(note I did not make any notes regarding the price of silver itself, only those three points are known - everything else not)

 

I should add, when I say silver i mean both silver and gold

 

yeah,sure,especially with the upwards only trend..would make it easy(er) to sell,trade whatever....

 

I said the stockmarket would trend upwards, not metal prices (that would still be an unknown)

 

NFW!

 

Pm's should be around for a while on the market so still saying yes...

 

There is another aspect that attracts investors. Anonymity. That alone is reason enough for me to have at least some investment in Silver or Gold.

 

Probably not. I'd ride the wave on a well diversified portfolio...with virtually no PM's.. I'd see that as a waste of capital.

 

Is this a world where George Soros is reported as dead, but strangely makes a guest appearance as The Hood on The Thunderbirds marionette reunion show - Puppets of Doom.

 

Sure. CB's balance sheets looking like crap, if not hyperinflation then why not a default here or there, or massive Cyprus like event? Plenty of options to choose from.

 

I would probably hold a little bit, but a lot less % wise than what I am in now.
Reasoning behing holding a bit would be ability to carry wealth, ease of transfer to others, out of the system form of wealth.

 

No thanks.

C

 

Short paper long physical

 

The stock market has recently moved upwards both here and in the US and it is still currently trending upwards.

However the real reason behind the bull movement is the massive injection of liquidity by the central banks buying up using freshly printed money (QE) to send the price upwards, Like all ponzi schemes something has to give eventually and this keeps cynical silver bugs like me on the sidelines confident about my silver obsession

Charlie Atkins from Bell Potter securities put it succinctly regarding the end game regarding the various government central bank's money being pumped into the stockmarkets.

http://www.afr.com/p/business/companies/it_bull_market_but_not_as_you_know_k6s3iPdZYKdNGCDOQ3WCfI

 

For me silver is like insurance against all those things you listed going bad. I would not insure my car if I knew I was not going to have an accident.

I would not have silver if I knew everything was going to be ok.

 

there would be people wanting to hide from taxes and pms are pretty invisble. So even though the stocks might be growing the government spending could be growing faster and property taxes rates etc as well as other taxes relating to other assets can be increased or new ones easily introduced while your gold/silver would be pretty much invisble.

 

if all those 1,2,3 are with probability of 1, meaning they are certain events
then if stockmarket uptrend will cover inflation rate and gain some %% in any and each given year during the next 50 years,
then I'll sell all my silver and buy stockmarket for the next 50 years.

forgot to mention "why?"
because if my return covers inflation and makes some + it is enough for me not to get bothered and keep my purchasing power through ages

 

If all 3 were to be true, then I also would say NFW.

 

So long as there are financial institutions who think they are above the law involved in money laundering, fraud, tax evasion, insider trading(should I go on?) and spineless governments who wont gaol these cunts.... yes

 

But it's a bit like asking if you could fly would you walk?