Will it go up or down? Will it be like Katrina? Wall St out of action for two days at least.. What a good time for a bank holiday! Thoughts and Opinions. Will silver go up or down? Regards Errol 43
Hope the gold deposits in the vaults in NY are not stained with mud. How will know the difference between gold and silver. Regards Errol 43
Are markets in NY open tonight? I seem to read that they are, any thoughts on direction. IMHO could be in for a dip
gold and silver will go up AUD will go down compared to USD American has a big rebuilding costs it will stimulate their economy jobs will be created new cars will have to be made builders / laborers and associated flow on effect etc this will help their economy silver will go up as all these people will have had iphone and touch screens destroyed in the floods i think catalytic converters use silver audio cables etc silver is used alot in industrial processes and technology that people will want to consume immediate effect - silver will increase in price
^ Firstly, you're probably right that the market will go up because markets do think like that (stimulate the economy) Secondly, how messed up is it when 'destruction' is considered favourable by the market. We live in a backwards world indeed.
I think the aftermath of the storms, combined with the presidential election next week, could make November the most interesting month for silver we've seen for a while...
Yes it will stimulate the economy, but how are they going to pay for it, with more debt? The money has run out, stimulate them further into a hole. The only way they can pay for this is more debt. A 3 - 4 year clean up operation wont be their economic savior thats for sure. Metals wont go anywhere, gold back at $1600 sub by xmas.
Peter Schiff covered it very well actually. [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dR6ExBQ4ASo[/youtube] Any 'stimulus' will be an illusion. The net gain on the cost of repairs will be negative.
I always like to point people to Bastiat's broken window fallacy in his fantastic "That which is seen, that which is not seen" essay. http://mises.org/daily/5593/The-BrokenWindow-Fallacy
Dont think it will drop greatly but dont see it breaking out either, not short term. $1600 I think it will hover each side, something big needs to happen before it breaks out, its just a question of WHEN.
Also there's this slightly different take: http://blog.tyrannyofthemouse.com/2011/12/broken-windows-part-i-pain-of-hard.html And John Aziz has a new post on it too: http://azizonomics.com/2012/11/01/hurricanes-and-broken-windows/
I love it when others enjoy Bastiat. He shows that the political and bad economic arguments of today were the same 200 years ago (and he writes fairly well as well). Here's a link to a PDF of a lot of his original essays including the one that includes the broken window fallacy. http://mises.org/document/6299/The-Bastiat-Collection