Doesn't look too good with the payroll report @ 9.2% unemployment but it's getting offset by the Euro debt crisis as well, seriously cannot say which way it will head right now although I'm bearish on the USD
I tend to think so to but the way it popped up at the start of the formation gives me a little doubt. I don't know enough about charts to know if that's normal. Even mainstream news is considering the decline of the dollar. http://www.marketwatch.com/story/wh...global-currency-2011-07-07?link=mw_home_kiosk
I also doubt that this could be a signal for a rebound. What should be the fundamental driver? I just see worsening finances at the states and munis. Trend is down and in my opinion in a quite ugly way
* Short term I'm bullish on the USD (I think it will rally over the coming months vs the Euro, and to a lesser extent other currencies ... solely due to the Euro crisis, which is going to take the financial headlines away from the US. Might see AUD buying USD 80c.) * However, long term I'm bearish on the USD. I have no charting skills, nor can I read tea leaves. Just the vibe, Mabo, and all that.
the great ironical or moronical fact is that if the debt ceiling is lifted the dollar will go up and if it isnt the dollar will go down as we are seeing nervousness here.
Jessie's Cafe Americain has put up another long term US dollar chart. http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Om0I7Ta8r...AARxg/YmSR8quQMMk/s1600/DXVeryLongTerm311.PNG http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2011/09/us-dollar-very-long-term-chart.html