Unemployment Down

Discussion in 'Markets & Economies' started by sammysilver, Aug 18, 2016.

  1. sammysilver

    sammysilver Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Unemployment down to 5.7%
    Dollar up to 77 cents
    Small drop in spot.

    Same old same old. All part time jobs.
     
  2. sammysilver

    sammysilver Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-...7-as-parttime-jobs-surge-20160818-gqvcv9.html

    A surprisingly large number of new part-time jobs has pulled the unemployment rate down to 5.7 per cent, taking some pressure off the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut interest rates further.

    The total number of people with jobs rose by 26,200 in July, as the economy added 71,600 part-time jobs which more than made up for the loss of 45,400 full-time jobs, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday.

    A surge in part-time jobs relieves pressure on the RBA to cut rates further.

    That pulled the unemployment rate down to 5.7 per cent, from 5.8 per cent in June. Economists had expected just 10,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 5.8 per cent.

    The participation rate remained steady at 64.9 per cent.

    The Australian dollar jumped nearly half a cent to around 77 US cents on the data. But despite the surprisingly strong employment numbers, markets are still pricing in a 100 per cent chance of another rate cut by May next year.
     
  3. Agnostic

    Agnostic Active Member Silver Stacker

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    On Silverstackers there is only one employment figure that really counts, one true economic indicator that cuts through the fog: has TheEnd found a job?
     
  4. errol43

    errol43 New Member Silver Stacker

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    Re Post1. That pulled the unemployment rate down to 5.7 per cent, from 5.8 per cent in June. Economists had expected just 10,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 5.8 per cent.

    Just like the USA these numbers are BS! How many at centrelink are shunted off to Disability,Green Army, Mature age, University (Steps), work for 1hrweek (not counted), training subsidies jobs?

    Now who is right..Government Department or me? Prove me wrong and I will stand corrected! :)

    Regards Errol 43

    PS. I hope that interest rates go up and not down! If they continue to drop then there is no ammunition left to fight the looming Recession!
     
  5. GRETZKY427

    GRETZKY427 Active Member Silver Stacker

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    We need more full time jobs, not this part time job crap.

    Who is going to lend money to a person working part time, saved near $20k house deposit with $10k sitting as a buffer on top ???

    Cheers, HAPPY STACKING :)
     
  6. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Will these numbers be quietly revised again at a later date?
     
  7. Big A.D.

    Big A.D. Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Well, they're coming from the ABS so...
     
  8. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    That's not going to happen until the price of labour falls.

    Hopefully for the part-time worker no one will.
     
  9. willrocks

    willrocks Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    That won't happen ... high labour costs are needed to support real estate prices and tax revenue.
     
  10. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    I'm don't think that is the real reason, high labour prices support government regulations and interference in the economy. In other words, they used to justify central planning.
     
  11. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Or protectionist policies put enough effective tariffs onto the cheaper offshore labour to make it less competetive....?

    Considering the makeup of our new senate cross bench I wouldn't rule that possibility out. Protectionist policy is a platform that many of them have in common.
     
  12. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    The minimum wage by itself is a protectionist policy.

    But I take your point and concede that it is possible. Of course, the tariffs could have the opposite effect by driving up the price of goods not produced in Australia, passing the cost on to consumers who will need pay rises in order to meet their budgets or face unemployment or a loss of full-time employment opportunities. And so continues the vicious circle of central planning as espoused by all folk economists.
     
  13. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    True enough.

    I am undecided on the protectionist issue, but considering we are currently living beyond our means and borrowing and importing more than we produce it might not be a bad thing for us to pay more for our imports and pull back on that expense.

    I'd be interested to see a breakdown of exactly what it is that we're importing. Basic standard of living requires food, shelter and clothing. We have enough agriculture and raw materials to really take care of the first 2 locally. Clothes we do import mostly from sweat shops in Asia although we do produce a fair amount of wool.

    From there are we talking about luxury items. If we had to pay 50% more for iPhones and cheap electronics....would it really hurt us that much?
     
  14. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    Putting aside the subjective nature of value for a moment, consumption destroys wealth in that the only way to get wealthier is to create wealth. And the only way to create wealth is by investing in capital goods that make production cheaper. The more we consume, the less we have to invest. If we had to pay more for electronics, especially if the cost of those goods were artificially raised it would have a twofold effect: a. it would raise the cost of production in those industries reliant upon cheap electronic parts/goods possibly impacting their bottom line and their capacity to drive productivity improvements through capital investment, and b. it would reduce the amount of wealth that a consumer of electronic goods or iphones would have at their disposal to invest in wealth creating opportunities such as shares, business ventures, precious metals, savings, property etc.

    Back to the subjective nature of value, those individuals that value an iphone even at 50% more than the current price would be spending an extra $400 - $500 on satisfying that need. Even though I would consider it foolish because i don't need a $1300 phone, and you may consider it foolish, it mightn't be foolish to someone who absolutely requires an iphone for whatever reason they have - and furthermore, it shouldn't be up to some central planner or politician to decide on behalf of another what constitutes fair value, because only the individual can decide for themselves. And by making a decision to increase the tariffs on imported electronics or phones, the central planners are doing just that, making value judgments on behalf of another - and in the process, destroying wealth.
     
  15. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    My point was kinda that maybe we wouldn't consume so much if our imports cost a bit more.

    Take my wife (please!) for instance. She gets a new iPhone every year. Why? Because she wants the new one and they are practically a disposable item these days. It is very wasteful IMHO and a big part of our problem in Australia is that we are rampant and wasteful consumers.

    If we're going to have taxes then I'd much rather see taxes on consumption and imports than on income and savings.
     
  16. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    I understand what you are saying but aren't you trying to force your values and your subjective judgments onto others. For example, you could try and reason with your wife, explaining to her that replacing her phone every year is unnecessary in your opinion and give her your reasons why. Failing the rational approach, you could restrict her household allowance or access to her bank account or demand a tariff from her every time she spends money on an item you consider useless. :p

    But on a serious note, driving the cost of consumer goods down through competition and innovation has resulted in less waste in many occasions. Consumer goods such as mobile phones used to be the size of shoe boxes, they are now the size of wallets, they use less materials in their construction, work far more efficiently, are more flexible which means we can do away with also having to buy or carry around a wallet/computer/digital camera/a credit card/buy a dictionary/gps unit and all the other applications that allow us to replace many consumer goods with a mobile phone. Motor vehicles used to be slow, heavy, fuel guzzling behemoths that required frequent servicing and were often unreliable, they are now made with lightweight materials that reduce our fuel consumption, are far more reliable than in the past, more user friendly and comfortable, safer and require servicing only about once a year on average. In both examples the explosion in the consumption of phones and cars has reduced the pressure on resources, not to mention spawned recycling industries, measures which are good for the environment. And whilst much of our technology domestic/industrial goods are now built to replace or become obsolete within years or are made from less parts or materials, they are much cheaper and more efficient to run, washing machines use less water, TV's use less power, reliable second hand cars can be bought for a song, the lids on bottled water use less plastic etc allowing us to use the cash saved from our consumption to invest in wealth building opportunities if we choose and reducing the cost to producers. The demand for consumption drives innovation.

    Australia doesn't really have a rampant and wasteful consumer problem, granted that some individuals are wasteful and spend too much on consumer goods (in my subjective opinion), we have a wealth problem because our opportunities to build wealth are either restricted or destroyed by our political representatives. Rather than restricting consumption, we should be encouraging wealth building opportunities, and the best way to do that is for the government to stop stealing the fruits of our own labour. Protectionist policies destroy our wealth.
     
  17. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    Another way of looking at it is should we ban consumers from buying goods from those who have a comparative advantage?

    For example, Coles are class leaders in offering fresh produce to consumers at an affordable price. It's hard to beat many of their products without growing it yourself (and dealing with the associated waste that back yard production always presents) or buying at the farm gate, buying from an actual grower selling first grade produce at a market (not the second grade stuff that most markets offer), or sourcing niche suppliers in specialty shops/online shops. For the vast majority of people Coles is the supremo, it is the best. The rest are in the main either expensive, overpriced or sell poorer quality. But just because Coles is the market leader, making it more difficult for much of the competition to turn a profit, doesn't mean that it should be excluded from the market.

    We don't ban the All Blacks from Rugby carnivals just because they're better than us, in the same way we shouldn't ban the importation of cheap overseas goods or artifially raise their prices just because they produce them at cost better than us.
     
  18. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Too much shiney.

    You have not beaten me with your arguments, but with your walls of text.

    The line count in your posts has gone from 2 -> 6 -> 17 -> 41

    That is an exponential escalation! I'm not taking the bait. :cool:
     
  19. bordsilver

    bordsilver Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    My iPhones and cheap electronics are predominantly used for work reasons and lower input costs (and the associated productivity) benefits my customers.

    If you want to alter the incentive for consumption vs savings advocate for sound money.
     
  20. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Actually I am more interested in preventing the debasement of 1st world employment circumstances until it becomes the equal of the 3rd world. That's kind of where the subject started.
     

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