Trading in OTC precious metals - illegal for US residents from 15 July

http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/89868.html

Meant to apply to trading on margin on products without physical delivery.

Presumably bullish for US mining shares and physical metals.

 

highly interesting

 

This could be bad news for Silver Stackers.....Who knows where this road will lead....When governments change the rules.....beware!

Regards Errol43

 

Will lead to less liquidity and likely a lower paper price. All positions would have to be liquidated by 15 July.


Not sure if the following is correct, but larger players (and banksters) might be excluded from these rules:

 

Hmm ... Are similar moves afoot here? This discussion paper was released by the RBA/ASIC/APRA yesterday:

Central Clearing of OTC Derivatives in Australia

http://www.rba.gov.au/publications/...tc-derivatives/pdf/201106-otc-derivatives.pdf

 

What does this mean for NYSE:GLD and other forms of exchange traded instruments based around gold futures?

 

That should get rid of the pesky traitors... I mean traders

Amusingly, that's the last trading day before GFC2 hits according to my tin foil hat, or bust!

 

I would think that this would be bearish for gold and silver leading up to the 15 July as traders are made to close their position. Or did they all see this coming and liquidated their position weeks ago.

 

I came to this post based on a Zero Hedge comment link (read it if you haven't already - could have a huge bearing on the short-term price): http://www.zerohedge.com/article/trading-over-counter-gold-and-silver-be-illegal-beginning-july-15

This Forex email was one of the first to come out I believe (after Friday close time) as Zero Hedge and the comments below the link seem to see it as a major, last minute change.

perthsilver,
I guess we all want to know if there is a risk of a gold/silver dropping like a stone tmrw morning. I'm tempted to take my profits and wait it out as nobody seems to know how they're going to open tmrw. Other than a SeekingAlpha link discussing this in mid-2010, ZeroHedge seems to be the first to pick up on gold/silver specific stories/news like this.

Yes, I know there are many here who don't trade paper (FYI I also hold physical). I knew there would be a point where the physical price would diverge vastly from the paper price - I just didn't think it would come this soon with such a desperate change from the US to push people into the COMEX and physical . This act was talked about last year but these OTC dealers are acting now.

 

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2011/06/cftc-to-curtail-off-exchange-highly.html

 

Thanks, hiho. Saw that link from ZH too, but it doesn't really address what's going to happen short-term. One of the links is an old article at the bottom though, and that does discuss it a bit so it shouldn't be a complete surprise I guess (http://seekingalpha.com/article/218529-obama-threatens-forex-says-goodbye-to-otc-gold-trading)

 

I must be misunderstanding it, Won't this reduce the 'manipulation' that people have argued is keeping the price surpressed? When paper is harder to trade, won't physical go up in value?

 

Possibly unrelated, but CMC has just sent an email saying all gold and silver futures positions must be liquidated by 29 July.

Spot gold and silver will still be available.

 

We have had nothing from our Approved Dealers that this affect them. I think the focus of the laws is leveraged transactions and requiring minimum deposits. I can't find any specific mention about precious metals in the act (only regarding swaps).

The CMC Markets decision is I think based on a commercial decision that the legal costs involved in assessing whether they can continue to allow Aussies to trade US futures is not worth it. Note that they will still do spot trading as that is most likely settled with bullion banks in London.

I think all this will do is pull trading volumes away from the US to other markets. For US residents of firms who could not be bothered complying, they will either have to close out or go onto COMEX. How this affects the price depends on whether those retail investors closing out are net short or long. Who knows?

 

Are they like the OTC derivatives where you can roll them over or are they CFD products only (which require interest to be paid daily)? If so, that really sucks...

 

goldpelican, after reading some ZH comments and enquiring with some other Australian suppliers I suspect there are a few avenues for it and going to proper futures isn't much different from what I can see. However, who knows how much they'll increase the margins on those for gold and silver when they REALLY go parabolic.

 

They are CFD only, however you can use them to hedge.

If you go short, you actually receive interest though not much if you trade in USD.