The Australian Banking Sector

Discussion in 'Markets & Economies' started by villiagegate, Aug 8, 2011.

  1. jnkmbx

    jnkmbx Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2011
    Messages:
    1,700
    Likes Received:
    54
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    Sydney, Australia
    *puts a sticker on piggy bank that reads 'Safety Deposit Box'*

    I've known about bank runs since I watched Merry Poppins when I was little :p
    Never thought I might actually see one in real life, but by the sounds of it it's getting likely.

    Not long ago I was discussing it with someone and we agreed that as soon as we felt it was gonna happen, that we'd inform each other.
    The idea is to be discreet of course, otherwise the mass panic ensures it occurs sooner and harder.

    I stack 20 cent coins for such incidents.
    Still, it would feel better to save every last cent if it were possible. :/
     
  2. Trichter

    Trichter Member

    Joined:
    Dec 15, 2010
    Messages:
    927
    Likes Received:
    9
    Trophy Points:
    18
    Location:
    Australia
    Why 20s in particular?

    For the record, I think the Australian banks are in a heap of trouble. But I don't expect they'll have to show their hand just yet. Give it a year, then maybe.
     
  3. Lovey80

    Lovey80 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 9, 2011
    Messages:
    2,322
    Likes Received:
    94
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Sunshine Coast, QLD
    If just 5% of the country all went to the banks over a day or two and withdrew they would all completely shut down. Or even EVERYONE just withdrawing 5% in a day into cash...
     
  4. jnkmbx

    jnkmbx Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2011
    Messages:
    1,700
    Likes Received:
    54
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    Sydney, Australia
    The 20s are easier to count and stack, the 5s are more tedious, so I prefer the 20s :p
    Though the 5s are more rewarding because they will probably be the first to go.

    You probably already know about how the metal content in 5/10/20 cent coins are slowly becoming more valuable than the denominated value, but just saying for lurkers reading this ;)
     
  5. errol43

    errol43 New Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Apr 13, 2010
    Messages:
    5,993
    Likes Received:
    15
    Trophy Points:
    3
    Location:
    Bundaberg
    Shorty after the crash of 08, I read somewhere that there are 35 places spread throughout Australia which the banks in major cities can access cash if there were to be a run on any branch. A telephone call and a wad of cash would be sent by armored car to replenish the banks that had a run against them..

    Surely they must have plans in place for such a scenario.

    Hope another SS member can shed a light on this.

    Regards Errol43
     
  6. Au.Ag.Mzch

    Au.Ag.Mzch New Member

    Joined:
    Aug 7, 2011
    Messages:
    147
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Geelong, AUS

    What about 50c coins?
     
  7. jnkmbx

    jnkmbx Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2011
    Messages:
    1,700
    Likes Received:
    54
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    Sydney, Australia
    Even though they are also 75% copper and 25% nickel, their ratio between denominated value and metal content is worse.
    20c: 20 cents / 11.30 grams = ~1.769 cents per gram
    50c: 50 cents / 15.55 grams = ~3.215 cents per gram

    Basically, you get more grams for your cents in a 20 cent coin than in a 50 cent coin.
     
  8. villiagegate

    villiagegate New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 20, 2010
    Messages:
    123
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Australia
    Hey Errol,

    The problem is one of confidence. In 2008 the government had a serious discussion about 'which banks we could afford to lose and which we couldn't.' They quickly realised that they couldn't afford to let any fail. This is how I see it :

    The question is not wether the banks can ultimately make all depositors whole. The question is what a run does to their balance sheets.

    Consider :

    Debt markets lock up and the banks can't borrow to keep funneling in to property. Simultaneously depositors are spooked and start pulling cash. Cash that has already been commited to loans..

    The question then becomes one of solvency, I'm sure with time depositors would be made whole, but from reading 'The Great Bust' by Jack Lang (thankyou to whoever it was that recommended it btw!), one realizes that depositors may be made whole in a creative way as they were then too should the issue become systemic.

    I'm just thinking out loud here, but I'm willing to take the inflationary hit and sit in cash for 6 months or so while the future becomes clearer..
     
  9. villiagegate

    villiagegate New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 20, 2010
    Messages:
    123
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Australia
    As a side note, banks class deposits as ASSETS.

    Think about it.
     
  10. SilverPhoenix

    SilverPhoenix New Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2011
    Messages:
    485
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Perth Western Australia
    WHAT????!!! Accounting Standards are explicit about this!

    If you hold others people money, its your liability, cos you have to pay it back.

    The loans you make could be considered assets, as could the mortgages held, b it not the deposits

    Crooks.
     
  11. Midnight Man

    Midnight Man Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 16, 2011
    Messages:
    832
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    16
    Somehow, I don't see that working from an accounting point of view.

    The money - from the banks POV - is owed to the depositor, thus, by anyones definition, it would be a liability.
     
  12. Shaddam IV

    Shaddam IV Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2010
    Messages:
    8,313
    Likes Received:
    7,710
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    House Corrino
    That's why they are called "banksters". :eek:
     
  13. villiagegate

    villiagegate New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 20, 2010
    Messages:
    123
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Australia
    Sure, but for the issuance of covered bonds they're considered an asset as far as I understand.
     
  14. villiagegate

    villiagegate New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 20, 2010
    Messages:
    123
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Australia
    If I'm talking out of my blowhole though, please somebody correct me? Don't wanna freak anyone out unnecessarily.
     
  15. Wout

    Wout New Member

    Joined:
    May 8, 2011
    Messages:
    502
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Australia
    why not instead of putting money in a safe deposit box buy hard assets like gold/silver ? :D
     
  16. hawkeye

    hawkeye New Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2010
    Messages:
    2,929
    Likes Received:
    4
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Perth, Australia
    If you owe someone money it's your liability.
    If someone owes you money it is an asset to you.

    The banks owe their depositors money so it is a liability to the bank and an asset to the depositor.

    At any rate, I don't think that, whatever happens, we will lose our deposits. You may lose access to them for awhile depending on what happens. Also, much cash may be printed meaning you'll still have them but they will be worth less. If the bank goes bankrupt, the depositors get paid first from the sale of the bank's assets. The bondholders and shareholders suffer. I wouldn't hold bank shares for awhile.

    I don't think people anywhere around the world have lost their deposits. eg. Ireland which has already had a massive housing crash, I think the people there still have their money (willing to be corrected on this if untrue).

    Basically I'm happy leaving my money in the bank but I have emergency cash in case the banks shut down for awhile. And also of course plenty of gold and silver.

    I don't see a need for more than that tbh. The govt will do whatever is necessary to make sure we keep our money I think. Anything else would result in total social chaos and I don't see that personally.
     
  17. Au.Ag.Mzch

    Au.Ag.Mzch New Member

    Joined:
    Aug 7, 2011
    Messages:
    147
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Geelong, AUS
    Don't forget that in Argentina in 2001-03, at the height of their crisis they shut down all the banks, then devalued the currency by knocking off a couple of zeros off the end and declaring the old currency invalid after a certain date. So people lost out regardless of whether they had cash in the bank or at home.

    Also North Korea did the same thing a few years back (2008-09 I think) - 40,000 won became 4,000 :(
     
  18. Lucky

    Lucky Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    May 27, 2011
    Messages:
    580
    Likes Received:
    403
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Western Australia
    Whoa!! Thats full on. I think i would shed a tear if that happened here.
     
  19. villiagegate

    villiagegate New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 20, 2010
    Messages:
    123
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Australia
    Because I will never go all in on anything.

    Thank you for all the input guys!
     
  20. mickjohn

    mickjohn New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 29, 2010
    Messages:
    615
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Canberra

    Excuse my ignorance, but that would include amounts of debt?

    eg car loan for $20,000 becomes car loan for $2,000?
    Car value obviously adjusts down as well...

    or am i missing something?
     

Share This Page